Alvark vs Xac Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 10:10

Final 113-78

35-13 12-13 26-31 40-21

Position#5

Record-

FormWWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Alvark 🏆

Xac Broncos

Position#12

Record-

FormWWLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

EASL· Toyota Arena Tokyo

Other2027

Meetings · Alvark v Xac Broncos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Xac Broncos winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlvark

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

96-97

-1

99avg 81

A03/05

B League

Nagasaki

78-93

-15

70avg 81

A07/05

B League

Nagasaki

56-96

-40

40avg 81

A08/05

B League

Ryukyu

#12

84-73

+11

no box

H22/09

B League

Ryukyu

#12

74-85

-11

62avg 81

H23/09

B League

Chiba

#19

138-131 OT

138

131

132avg 81

A02/10

B League

Chiba

#19

96-71

+25

86avg 81

A04/10

B League

Saga

#25

90-74

+16

92avg 81

H08/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

94-82

+12

83avg 81

A10/10

B League

Osaka

#26

103-78

103

+25

104avg 81

A12/10

B League

17-23

26-34

28-18

25-22

20-22

22-14

15-30

21-27

15-23

12-22

17-25

12-26

23-30

27-21

22-12

12-10

25-23

16-28

17-16

16-18

26-26

21-29

24-18

26-24

22-18

25-21

27-14

22-18

29-15

15-19

22-22

24-18

17-19

26-24

30-21

21-18

26-17

25-21

27-19

25-21

178.9Avg total

90.9Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	90.9	88.0	178.9	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	104.2	87.2	191.4	+17.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	66.0	92.2	158.2	-26.2	0%
vs Similar (7)	89.1	90.6	179.7	-1.4	29%
vs Weaker (18)	88.2	76.5	164.7	+11.7	89%

Xac BroncosLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBroncos

Date

Competition

Alvark

84-69

+15

no box

A08/10

EASL

New Taipei Kings

90-76

+14

89avg 86

H01/11

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

105-77

105

+28

101avg 86

H05/11

EASL

New Taipei Kings

94-109

109

-15

85avg 86

A06/12

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

83-98

-15

77avg 86

A09/12

EASL

Alvark

93-97

-4

79avg 86

H11/02

EASL

28-25

18-24

16-10

22-10

35-18

17-20

12-14

26-24

30-25

23-17

26-22

26-13

29-34

16-27

16-23

33-25

14-22

27-27

14-21

28-28

20-22

21-22

24-22

28-31

179.2Avg total

91.5Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (6)	91.5	87.7	179.2	+3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.0	91.4	184.4	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	88.5	83.0	171.5	+5.5	50%
vs Weaker (4)	93.0	90.0	183.0	+3.0	50%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkXac Broncos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	19.3	44.0	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	22.9	44.4	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.9	19.6	43.4	+4.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	26.0	24.3	50.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	28.3	21.7	50.0	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (3)	23.7	27.0	50.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (6)	26.0	24.3	50.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.2	49.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.0	24.8	51.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.0	22.9	46.9	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	20.3	22.8	43.2	-2.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.3	26.0	46.3	-5.7	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	20.3	22.8	43.2	-2.5	17%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	25%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

43-57

-14

A03/05

B League

Nagasaki

42-36

A07/05

B League

Nagasaki

27-45

-18

A08/05

B League

Ryukyu

#12

50-51

-1

H22/09

B League

Ryukyu

#12

41-51

-10

H23/09

B League

Chiba

#19

47-55

-8

A02/10

B League

Chiba

#19

47-39

A04/10

B League

Saga

#25

44-34

+10

H08/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

43-43

A10/10

B League

Osaka

#26

51-38

+13

A12/10

B League

88.4Avg total

43.5Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.5	84.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	39.2	83.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	43.9	85.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	44.9	88.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	41.8	88.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	45.8	82.2	-9.4	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.6	45.7	91.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.7	38.7	82.4	+5.0	56%	-

Xac BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

46-49

-3

A08/10

EASL

New Taipei Kings

52-38

+14

H01/11

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

53-42

+11

H05/11

EASL

New Taipei Kings

45-61

-16

A06/12

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

41-49

-8

A09/12

EASL

Alvark

41-44

-3

H11/02

EASL

93.5Avg total

46.3Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	46.3	47.2	93.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	48.7	41.3	90.0	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (3)	44.0	53.0	97.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	46.3	47.2	93.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	46.8	93.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	43.5	46.5	90.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	47.5	95.2	+0.2	50%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.3	41.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.5	42.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	18.8	44.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.0	26.8	40.8	-12.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.6	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (3)	15.3	18.0	33.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	18.2	40.2	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	27.2	21.8	49.0	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	26.7	22.7	49.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (3)	27.7	21.0	48.7	+6.7	67%	-
Last 10 (6)	27.2	21.8	49.0	+5.3	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	24.2	52.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.0	20.5	45.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.2	22.5	50.8	+5.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.2	79.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	37.5	75.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	41.0	82.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	39.7	83.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	38.6	88.2	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	29.6	46.4	76.0	-16.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.0	42.7	84.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.2	35.9	78.1	+6.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	45.2	40.5	85.7	+4.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	47.3	42.0	89.3	+5.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (3)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (6)	45.2	40.5	85.7	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	44.6	91.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	42.5	87.8	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 93.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game

50%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	24.1	59.7%	52.3%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.0	33.0%	36.8%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.2	71.0%	75.1%	15.2

They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Xac Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xac Broncos: 90.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game

50%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	22.2	51.2%	52.3%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	10.0	39.5%	36.8%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	15.8	86.4%	75.1%	15.8

They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	23.1	54.2%	52.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.8	34.0%	36.8%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.5	74.2%	75.1%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.7	48.4%	52.3%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	36.8%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.8	82.3%	75.1%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	21.3	58.9%	52.3%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.4	33.7%	36.8%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	13.8	68.1%	75.1%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.9	54.8%	52.3%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.2	31.1%	36.8%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.9	71.0%	75.1%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.7	48.4%	52.3%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	36.8%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.8	82.3%	75.1%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Alvark

WWWWWLWLLL

Xac Broncos

LLLWWW

League position

#12

+2.5

Net rating

+3.8

102.6

Offensive rating

113.1

100.0

Defensive rating

109.3

55.3%

Effective FG%

54.1%

52.9%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

12.0%

Turnover %

16.3%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.27

33.0%

3-point %

39.5%

65.4%

Assist %

61.1%

60%

Form (last 10/6)

50%

Profile

■ Alvark ■ Xac Broncos

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Xac Broncos wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/26	Xac Broncos v Alvark	93-97
08/10/25	Alvark v Xac Broncos	69-84

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/26	A	Osaka	103-78
10/10/26	A	Brave Thunders	94-82
08/10/26	H	Saga	90-74
04/10/26	A	Chiba	96-71
02/10/26	A	Chiba	138-131 OT
23/09/26	H	Ryukyu	74-85
22/09/26	H	Ryukyu	84-73
08/05/26	A	Nagasaki	56-96
07/05/26	A	Nagasaki	78-93
03/05/26	A	Hokkaido	96-97

Xac Broncoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/26	H	Alvark	93-97
09/12/25	A	LG Sakers	83-98
06/12/25	A	New Taipei Kings	94-109
05/11/25	H	LG Sakers	105-77
01/11/25	H	New Taipei Kings	90-76
08/10/25	A	Alvark	84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

EASL 2027

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Xac Broncos

EASL 2027

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fubon Braves	1	1	0	100%	103.0	89.0	+14.0
2	Abra Weavers	1	1	0	100%	79.0	72.0	+7.0
3	Hong Kong Eastern	1	0	1	0%	72.0	79.0	-7.0
4	Macau Hou Chon	1	0	1	0%	89.0	103.0	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	35	12	26	40	113
Xac Broncos	13	13	31	21	78

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Alvark vs Xac Broncos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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