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Alvik vs Trelleborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.0
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvik v Trelleborg
10 Jan 2027
ALVI v TREL
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
ALVI91
TREL81
26 Sep 2020
ALVI74
TREL83
22 Feb 2020
ALVI20
TREL0
28 Sep 2019
ALVI104
TREL66
10 Feb 2019
ALVI80
TREL75
03 Nov 2018
ALVI68
TREL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trelleborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 80
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 80
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 80
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 80
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 80
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 80
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 80
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 80
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
52avg 76
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
106-91
106
91
+15
102avg 76
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
53avg 76
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
91avg 76
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 76
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
39avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
25-24
30-16
16-24
35-27
28-12
21-19
9-28
19-28
30-30
20-15
20-23
16-16
18-10
19-23
34-19
22-15
20-19
27-30
18-16
19-32
23-24
19-22
20-16
26-18
23-21
5-19
11-22
24-20
22-21
24-17
11-10
13-10
25-19
21-19
13-22
19-25
163.9Avg total
81.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.980.0159.9-0.150%
Season at home (4)83.084.0167.0-1.025%
Season away (4)76.876.0152.8+0.875%
Last 10 (10)81.682.3163.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.286.9170.1-3.744%
vs Similar (16)87.684.6172.2+3.150%
vs Weaker (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
AlvikTrelleborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/11
Superettan
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.286.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.146.088.1-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.342.984.2-1.644%-
vs Similar (16)46.543.590.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker (5)42.242.284.4+0.060%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
29.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.016.4
65.6%
65.7%16.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
Trelleborg
LWLWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#10
+12.7
Net rating
+0.3
94.6
Offensive rating
92.0
81.8
Defensive rating
91.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
32.2%
65.0%
Assist %
50.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 92.0Defence81.8 · 91.7Shooting51.2% · 49.7%3-point %33.3% · 32.2%Ball care16.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Alvik   ■ Trelleborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alvik wins
2
Trelleborg wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Trelleborg v Alvik84-97
31/01/26Trelleborg v Alvik99-61
25/01/26Alvik v Trelleborg91-81
26/09/20Alvik v Trelleborg74-83
22/02/20Alvik v Trelleborg20-0
28/09/19Alvik v Trelleborg104-66
10/02/19Alvik v Trelleborg80-75
13/01/19Trelleborg v Alvik62-86
03/11/18Alvik v Trelleborg68-64
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMalbas78-85
07/11/26AOckelbo70-58
25/10/26ASollentuna63-82
24/10/26ANorrort88-80
17/10/26HAlvik84-97
10/10/26HSollentuna93-67
27/09/26AHuddinge86-84
19/09/26HWetterbygden Stars77-87
11/04/26HAIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trelleborg
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game79.983.076.8
Allowed / game80.084.076.0
Point differential-0.1-1.0+0.8
Avg total159.9167.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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