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Alytaus Dzukija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 91-94
26-26 22-30 21-16 22-22
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Neptunas
09 Apr 2022
ADZ64
NEP65
28 Dec 2021
ADZ67
NEP79
29 Apr 2021
ADZ77
NEP86
30 Dec 2020
ADZ63
NEP71
18 Apr 2020
ADZ v NEP
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
ADZ80
NEP77
09 Mar 2019
ADZ82
NEP88
04 Oct 2018
ADZ91
NEP94
10 Feb 2018
ADZ63
NEP81
12 Nov 2017
ADZ76
NEP96
04 Feb 2017
ADZ66
NEP69
09 Oct 2016
ADZ56
NEP80
10 Jan 2016
ADZ58
NEP55
04 Oct 2015
ADZ62
NEP67
09 May 2015
ADZ55
NEP69
03 May 2015
ADZ65
NEP56
25 Jan 2015
ADZ66
NEP72
23 Nov 2014
ADZ75
NEP91
28 Feb 2014
ADZ66
NEP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
60-82
60
82
-22
H08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A11/04
LKL
Skycop
#10
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#5
L
99-107
99
107
-8
H21/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
103-85
103
85
+18
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A03/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A26/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H29/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-21
6-24
13-19
20-22
14-18
11-20
19-35
17-21
14-23
15-13
17-17
15-19
29-23
17-23
17-22
19-26
21-25
34-23
25-33
26-25
19-21
21-16
37-23
16-23
13-12
10-17
29-21
22-21
22-18
23-27
19-24
18-20
19-11
16-22
16-18
38-4
6-13
22-23
15-21
159.6Avg total
77.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.066.0141.0+9.050%
Season at home (1)81.061.0142.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)77.182.5159.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)81.476.0157.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.084.2158.1-10.210%
vs Similar (8)77.981.0158.9-3.138%
vs Weaker (1)81.061.0142.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A02/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H10/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H30/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
27-23
12-19
13-21
13-27
24-13
13-10
24-20
22-27
19-18
20-15
21-28
11-19
18-25
18-25
22-14
15-20
18-14
16-13
22-22
20-9
16-19
21-12
22-31
12-16
29-22
23-18
25-22
25-23
19-24
21-11
35-18
22-17
24-16
22-21
20-15
21-22
12-20
22-26
21-21
156.2Avg total
79.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.078.0166.0+10.067%
Season at home (2)88.082.5170.5+5.550%
Season away (1)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.576.7156.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)86.476.6163.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.881.0152.8-9.238%
vs Similar (3)75.781.7157.3-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.477.6163.1+7.874%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Alytaus DzukijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/04
LKL
Skycop
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H21/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A03/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H29/09
LKL
77.3Avg total
38.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.976.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.039.374.3-4.327%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.678.3-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.477.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.673.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.841.076.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (8)36.541.177.6-4.625%-
vs Weaker (1)44.017.061.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A02/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H10/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/09
LKL
76.7Avg total
38.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.039.278.2-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.078.9+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.576.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.043.081.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (3)38.035.373.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.338.178.4+2.358%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Dzukija wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/18HNevezis81-61
26/09/18ALietkabelis69-71
03/05/18ANeptunas86-90
29/04/18HJuventus68-73
26/04/18HPieno Zvaigzdes103-85
21/04/18HSiauliai99-107
18/04/18ANevezis78-87
15/04/18ASkycop63-74
11/04/18ALietkabelis64-95
08/04/18HZalgiris Kaunas60-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/18HLietkabelis76-89
26/09/18APieno Zvaigzdes88-69
23/09/18HNevezis100-76
17/06/18ALietkabelis89-78
15/06/18HLietkabelis79-71
12/06/18ALietkabelis71-69
10/06/18HLietkabelis69-83
06/06/18ARytas82-88
04/06/18HRytas74-70
02/06/18ARytas67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.081.069.0
Allowed / game66.061.071.0
Point differential+9.0+20.0-2.0
Avg total141.0142.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game88.088.088.0
Allowed / game78.082.569.0
Point differential+10.0+5.5+19.0
Avg total166.0170.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas330100%87.364.3+23.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%86.266.8+19.5
3 Neptunas32167%88.078.0+10.0
4 Lietkabelis32167%79.379.3+0.0
5 Alytaus Dzukija21150%75.066.0+9.0
6 Skycop42250%78.084.2-6.2
7 Juventus42250%75.582.8-7.2
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%73.888.0-14.2
9 Siauliai3030%82.388.0-5.7
10 Nevezis4040%68.885.5-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija2622212291
Neptunas2630162294
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