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Alytaus Dzukija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-88 (OT)
19-15 15-24 21-17 20-19 7-13
Position#8
Record7-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Neptunas
09 Apr 2022
ADZ64
NEP65
28 Dec 2021
ADZ67
NEP79
29 Apr 2021
ADZ77
NEP86
30 Dec 2020
ADZ63
NEP71
18 Apr 2020
ADZ v NEP
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
ADZ80
NEP77
09 Mar 2019
ADZ82
NEP88
04 Oct 2018
ADZ91
NEP94
10 Feb 2018
ADZ63
NEP81
12 Nov 2017
ADZ76
NEP96
04 Feb 2017
ADZ66
NEP69
09 Oct 2016
ADZ56
NEP80
10 Jan 2016
ADZ58
NEP55
04 Oct 2015
ADZ62
NEP67
09 May 2015
ADZ55
NEP69
03 May 2015
ADZ65
NEP56
25 Jan 2015
ADZ66
NEP72
23 Nov 2014
ADZ75
NEP91
28 Feb 2014
ADZ66
NEP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A08/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H22/12
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A27/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A04/01
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A13/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A19/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H03/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H10/02
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
A02/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
22-25
11-18
13-19
25-12
18-29
16-19
18-26
18-24
22-23
16-25
23-17
23-16
19-20
26-17
17-15
18-24
21-19
18-17
19-27
10-24
26-16
15-17
21-28
24-19
27-21
21-36
18-14
25-15
26-15
22-22
13-21
23-25
20-27
18-17
14-21
15-18
24-11
14-27
23-20
166.6Avg total
80.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.081.9160.9-2.832%
Season at home (11)80.680.5161.1+0.245%
Season away (11)77.583.3160.7-5.818%
Last 10 (10)80.686.0166.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)84.488.2172.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.486.4161.8-10.97%
vs Similar (11)81.583.2164.6-1.727%
vs Weaker (5)81.674.0155.6+7.680%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H19/01
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H23/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
106-103 OT
106
103
+3
A26/01
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A30/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H02/02
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H06/02
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H03/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H06/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
28-17
25-20
21-16
16-13
18-16
30-19
21-20
29-20
22-22
18-20
13-12
28-20
21-29
24-25
20-19
26-15
22-24
12-11
22-19
21-26
19-27
20-30
29-20
19-12
24-21
19-20
21-20
15-29
26-19
22-15
26-25
23-15
25-22
16-19
17-15
14-23
27-20
13-18
20-25
167.6Avg total
86.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.079.3166.2+7.778%
Season at home (12)85.579.4164.9+6.167%
Season away (11)88.579.1167.6+9.591%
Last 10 (10)86.181.5167.6+4.680%
Last 5 (5)83.284.2167.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.283.8169.0+1.575%
vs Similar (12)83.281.0164.2+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.181.0168.1+6.179%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
Alytaus DzukijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H22/12
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/01
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H03/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H10/02
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/03
LKL
83.7Avg total
42.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.381.3+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.178.8+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.083.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.282.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.143.382.4-4.136%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.579.1+2.064%-
vs Weaker (5)43.032.475.4+10.680%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/01
Champions League
Skycop
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H19/01
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H23/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A26/01
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H02/02
LKL
Bayreuth
#35
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/02
Champions League
Juventus
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H03/03
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/03
Champions League
85.6Avg total
43.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.984.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.940.081.9+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.541.986.4+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.785.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.041.882.8-0.825%-
vs Similar (12)42.940.983.8+2.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.940.684.5+3.264%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Dzukija wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19ASkycop82-83 OT
10/02/19HZalgiris Kaunas75-90
03/02/19HNevezis86-73
19/01/19APieno Zvaigzdes107-110 OT
13/01/19ASkycop72-85
04/01/19ASiauliai76-87
29/12/18HLietkabelis85-68
27/12/18ARytas79-89
22/12/18HPieno Zvaigzdes77-86
08/12/18ANeptunas67-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/19HHapoel M. Jerusalem74-86
03/03/19HZalgiris Kaunas81-71
09/02/19AJuventus89-88
06/02/19HBayreuth83-73
02/02/19HPieno Zvaigzdes89-103
30/01/19APromitheas82-69
26/01/19ASiauliai106-103 OT
23/01/19HPetrol Olimpija82-74
19/01/19HSkycop85-68
15/01/19AStrasbourg90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game79.080.677.5
Allowed / game81.980.583.3
Point differential-2.8+0.2-5.8
Avg total160.9161.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %18%9%27%
Neptunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%67%91%
Points / game87.085.588.5
Allowed / game79.379.479.1
Point differential+7.7+6.1+9.5
Avg total166.2164.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2320387%86.170.1+16.0
2 Neptunas2318578%87.079.3+7.7
3 Rytas2217577%85.276.0+9.2
4 Lietkabelis24141058%82.279.9+2.3
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes24141058%84.586.8-2.2
6 Juventus2391439%80.781.3-0.7
7 Skycop2481633%77.485.8-8.3
8 Alytaus Dzukija2271532%79.081.9-2.8
9 Siauliai2451921%80.388.4-8.1
10 Nevezis2341917%73.185.0-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alytaus Dzukija19152120782
Neptunas152417191388
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