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Alytaus Dzukija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 77-86
18-22 23-26 19-21 17-17
Position#9
Record10-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#6
Record11-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Neptunas
09 Apr 2022
ADZ64
NEP65
28 Dec 2021
ADZ67
NEP79
29 Apr 2021
ADZ77
NEP86
30 Dec 2020
ADZ63
NEP71
18 Apr 2020
ADZ v NEP
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
ADZ80
NEP77
09 Mar 2019
ADZ82
NEP88
04 Oct 2018
ADZ91
NEP94
10 Feb 2018
ADZ63
NEP81
12 Nov 2017
ADZ76
NEP96
04 Feb 2017
ADZ66
NEP69
09 Oct 2016
ADZ56
NEP80
10 Jan 2016
ADZ58
NEP55
04 Oct 2015
ADZ62
NEP67
09 May 2015
ADZ55
NEP69
03 May 2015
ADZ65
NEP56
25 Jan 2015
ADZ66
NEP72
23 Nov 2014
ADZ75
NEP91
28 Feb 2014
ADZ66
NEP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 74
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 74
H20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 74
A23/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 74
A27/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 74
A01/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 74
H10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
72avg 74
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
71-57
71
57
+14
64avg 74
A20/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
57avg 74
A22/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 74
H25/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
24-16
7-23
27-25
29-20
24-25
20-19
14-12
20-25
29-22
16-17
15-22
15-16
18-24
24-23
29-16
17-19
26-22
23-16
16-31
22-25
26-15
14-25
26-33
15-17
18-26
19-28
26-24
21-13
20-17
14-18
16-9
10-27
14-29
22-22
22-14
29-26
17-21
20-17
16-22
163.3Avg total
79.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.484.1164.5-3.732%
Season at home (16)80.986.1166.9-5.231%
Season away (15)79.882.0161.8-2.233%
Last 10 (10)79.683.7163.3-4.130%
Last 5 (5)77.485.6163.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.191.1173.2-9.09%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.681.7160.2-3.133%
vs Weaker (7)84.074.7158.7+9.386%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
60avg 73
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
56avg 73
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
68-99
68
99
-31
no box
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
86avg 73
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 73
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
86avg 73
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
88avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
18-15
13-28
7-19
5-22
18-15
18-18
18-25
18-22
10-27
15-26
25-24
22-23
21-17
24-22
17-21
17-25
25-17
23-23
12-17
16-22
20-26
18-22
23-18
26-25
21-16
18-20
24-30
16-17
15-21
20-26
21-24
22-19
22-19
23-17
25-26
19-19
19-19
30-17
18-17
160.6Avg total
77.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.884.6162.4-6.834%
Season at home (16)81.184.8165.9-3.750%
Season away (16)74.484.4158.9-10.019%
Last 10 (10)77.083.6160.6-6.630%
Last 5 (5)83.284.0167.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.487.5161.9-13.17%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.779.8161.5+1.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Alytaus DzukijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A23/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A27/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-56
24
56
-32
A22/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/04
LKL
83.1Avg total
41.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.983.0+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.480.3-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.183.1-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.484.8-3.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.639.177.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker (7)44.439.483.9+5.071%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
LKL
77.4Avg total
37.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.879.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.780.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.978.0-3.919%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.341.979.2-4.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.739.779.5+0.047%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
75.2%12.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.2
58.4%
54.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
36.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
75.2%13.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Dzukija
LLWLLLWLWL
Neptunas
WWLLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#6
-6.1
Net rating
-8.9
106.3
Offensive rating
102.4
112.4
Defensive rating
111.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
22.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
29.2%
66.6%
Assist %
63.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 102.4Defence112.4 · 111.3Shooting51.6% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 29.2%Ball care16.8% · 22.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Alytaus Dzukija   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Dzukija wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HCBet82-86
22/04/21AZalgiris Kaunas68-92
20/04/21ANevezis-OPTIBET71-57
14/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-95
10/04/21HSiauliai88-98
01/04/21ACBet82-88
27/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-79
23/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
20/03/21HNevezis-OPTIBET87-76
17/03/21ARytas74-80
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-72
22/04/21HCBet92-81
18/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas72-88
14/04/21HJuventus89-91
11/04/21ANevezis-OPTIBET77-88
08/04/21ALietkabelis77-82
03/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET84-83
21/03/21ASiauliai68-99
13/03/21HRytas59-80
07/03/21ACBet66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLWLLL31%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game80.480.979.8
Allowed / game84.186.182.0
Point differential-3.7-5.2-2.2
Avg total164.5166.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW34%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%50%19%
Points / game77.881.174.4
Allowed / game84.684.884.4
Point differential-6.8-3.7-10.0
Avg total162.4165.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)67% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3128390%90.571.2+19.3
2 Rytas3023777%87.779.9+7.9
3 Lietkabelis32211166%85.280.3+4.8
4 Juventus33201361%87.485.7+1.7
5 CBet32131941%84.388.2-3.9
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes32122038%79.883.2-3.4
7 Siauliai32122038%84.790.0-5.3
8 Neptunas32112134%77.884.6-6.8
9 Alytaus Dzukija31102132%80.484.1-3.7
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3392427%75.584.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija1823191777
Neptunas2226211786
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