PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alytaus Dzukija vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 78-95
15-17 18-26 19-28 26-24
Position#9
Record9-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#1
Record21-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game70.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2022
ADZ63
ZAL74
23 Sep 2021
ADZ100
ZAL105
14 Apr 2021
ADZ78
ZAL95
23 Sep 2020
ADZ62
ZAL95
10 Nov 2019
ADZ65
ZAL91
16 May 2019
ADZ62
ZAL81
10 Feb 2019
ADZ75
ZAL90
12 Nov 2018
ADZ65
ZAL94
08 Apr 2018
ADZ60
ZAL82
20 Sep 2017
ADZ70
ZAL89
02 May 2017
ADZ74
ZAL87
27 Mar 2017
ADZ64
ZAL79
05 Dec 2016
ADZ61
ZAL94
29 Mar 2016
ADZ69
ZAL79
23 Dec 2015
ADZ72
ZAL80
15 Dec 2014
ADZ75
ZAL78
09 Oct 2014
ADZ76
ZAL81
13 Oct 2013
ADZ71
ZAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 74
A28/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 74
A03/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
79avg 74
H06/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H14/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 74
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 74
H20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 74
A23/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 74
A27/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 74
A01/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 74
H10/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
27-19
15-24
21-17
12-14
14-26
16-17
26-22
21-24
29-16
16-22
20-33
20-19
19-17
22-27
24-22
16-16
24-16
7-23
27-25
29-20
24-25
20-19
14-12
20-25
29-22
16-17
15-22
15-16
18-24
24-23
29-16
17-19
26-22
23-16
16-31
22-25
26-15
14-25
26-33
167.5Avg total
82.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.284.3165.5-3.133%
Season at home (14)81.085.4166.4-4.436%
Season away (13)81.483.2164.5-1.831%
Last 10 (10)82.385.2167.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)84.685.4170.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.790.9172.6-9.29%
vs Similar (12)80.280.4160.7-0.242%
vs Weaker (7)84.776.7161.4+8.086%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
54avg 81
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
96-60
96
60
+36
99avg 81
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 81
A18/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 81
H23/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 81
H25/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 81
H30/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
69avg 81
A01/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
94-88
94
88
+6
94avg 81
A06/04
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
93-78
93
78
+15
91avg 81
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H11/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
16-23
20-27
14-13
18-16
19-20
31-14
28-10
18-28
8-17
20-21
15-18
25-20
22-29
17-16
22-15
26-18
14-20
23-26
18-24
21-23
20-28
27-10
28-25
22-21
14-16
18-20
16-14
26-30
32-16
18-18
18-24
27-14
25-33
22-13
19-18
21-23
19-19
21-25
24-19
163.4Avg total
82.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.670.1159.7+19.588%
Season at home (12)87.669.0156.6+18.683%
Season away (12)91.671.2162.8+20.492%
Last 10 (10)82.481.0163.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)87.681.8169.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.087.5149.5-25.50%
vs Similar (12)75.178.0153.1-2.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.871.4161.2+18.388%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Alytaus DzukijaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A28/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A03/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H14/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A23/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A27/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/04
LKL
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.781.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.240.182.4+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.481.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.343.885.1-2.555%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.677.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)44.339.683.9+4.771%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A18/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H23/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H30/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/04
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/04
LKL
84.5Avg total
40.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.181.2+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.882.1+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.838.480.2+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.084.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.690.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.548.581.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (12)38.541.179.6-2.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.036.582.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.8
53.3%
54.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.511.6
66.3%
75.2%11.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.1
53.7%
54.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.7
42.7%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws13.010.6
81.5%
75.2%10.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Dzukija
LLWLWLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLWLWLWL
#9
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+2.7
108.4
Offensive rating
115.3
113.4
Defensive rating
112.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
57.5%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.9%
3-point %
42.7%
67.7%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 115.3Defence113.4 · 112.6Shooting54.1% · 57.5%3-point %36.9% · 42.7%Ball care17.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Alytaus Dzukija   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21HSiauliai88-98
01/04/21ACBet82-88
27/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-79
23/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
20/03/21HNevezis-OPTIBET87-76
17/03/21ARytas74-80
14/03/21HLietkabelis90-96 OT
06/03/21HRytas86-95
03/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes68-79
28/02/21ASiauliai82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HRytas85-86
08/04/21HPanathinaikos93-78
06/04/21ALietkabelis94-88
01/04/21ABayern70-71
30/03/21HAlba Berlin96-86
25/03/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-88
23/03/21HAlytaus Dzukija86-80
18/03/21AFenerbahce61-84
14/03/21HSiauliai96-60
12/03/21AAnadolu Efes62-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%36%31%
Points / game81.281.081.4
Allowed / game84.385.483.2
Point differential-3.1-4.4-1.8
Avg total165.5166.4164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%83%92%
Points / game89.687.691.6
Allowed / game70.169.071.2
Point differential+19.5+18.6+20.4
Avg total159.7156.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2421388%89.670.1+19.5
2 Rytas2822679%88.079.4+8.5
3 Lietkabelis2819968%84.178.7+5.4
4 Juventus28181064%87.785.1+2.6
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes28111739%79.282.3-3.1
6 CBet28111739%84.988.2-3.3
7 Alytaus Dzukija2791833%81.284.3-3.1
8 Siauliai2791833%83.390.2-6.9
9 Neptunas2891932%76.884.9-8.1
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET2882029%75.885.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija1518192678
Zalgiris Kaunas1726282495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.