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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-70
21-22 16-14 20-18 14-16
Position#5
Record19-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.7
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record16-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
108-102
108
102
+6
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H19/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A21/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H23/03
BBL
Valencia
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A25/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
25-20
21-26
30-21
15-17
18-16
12-27
26-18
18-20
28-22
23-32
39-28
14-19
20-31
20-10
24-9
18-23
19-23
22-17
21-16
16-15
15-20
27-20
21-19
19-13
19-19
21-23
26-11
19-26
14-20
30-12
13-25
19-21
24-20
14-17
22-21
15-18
19-17
10-18
24-24
162.3Avg total
82.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.377.7156.0+0.759%
Season at home (16)79.875.7155.4+4.175%
Season away (16)76.979.6156.6-2.744%
Last 10 (10)82.579.8162.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)78.878.2157.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.572.5147.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.882.6163.4-1.850%
vs Weaker (14)86.877.2164.0+9.686%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
102-78
102
78
+24
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A09/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A18/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H23/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H25/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
23-22
27-15
18-18
13-19
19-15
13-16
19-19
27-18
24-16
27-24
24-20
19-9
25-14
24-34
20-17
12-26
16-23
20-27
14-13
18-16
19-20
31-14
28-10
18-28
8-17
20-21
15-18
25-20
22-29
17-16
22-15
26-18
14-20
23-26
18-24
21-23
20-28
27-10
28-25
160.4Avg total
82.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.178.0155.1-0.950%
Season at home (16)82.877.8160.6+5.056%
Season away (16)71.478.2149.6-6.844%
Last 10 (10)82.178.3160.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.786.0151.7-20.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.878.7152.5-4.940%
vs Weaker (17)91.870.6162.4+21.294%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A21/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/03
BBL
Valencia
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
37.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.678.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.177.9-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.873.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.581.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.339.777.0-2.436%-
vs Weaker (14)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A09/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A18/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H23/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H30/03
Euroleague
78.7Avg total
38.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.581.5+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.381.7+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.178.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.882.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.347.379.7-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.440.978.3-3.530%-
vs Weaker (17)46.437.383.7+9.176%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.5
51.6%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.0
39.6%
38.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
79.3%12.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.8
42.6%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.712.1
82.3%
79.3%12.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLLWWWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#11
+6.6
Net rating
+5.9
115.0
Offensive rating
114.4
108.5
Defensive rating
108.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.6%
3-point %
42.6%
57.7%
Assist %
67.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 114.4Defence108.5 · 108.5Shooting54.3% · 55.3%3-point %39.6% · 42.6%Ball care16.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21HFenerbahce68-77
27/03/21AHamburg86-91 OT
25/03/21AValencia76-83
23/03/21HSyntainics MBC85-66
21/03/21ACrailsheim Merlins79-74
19/03/21HAnadolu Efes80-79
16/03/21HBonn78-69
14/03/21HOldenburg108-102
12/03/21ABaskonia71-78
09/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig94-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21HAlba Berlin96-86
25/03/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-88
23/03/21HAlytaus Dzukija86-80
18/03/21AFenerbahce61-84
14/03/21HSiauliai96-60
12/03/21AAnadolu Efes62-89
09/03/21ASiauliai88-74
07/03/21AJuventus102-78
05/03/21HOlimpia Milano64-69
02/03/21HLyon-Villeurbanne85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game78.379.876.9
Allowed / game77.775.779.6
Point differential+0.7+4.1-2.7
Avg total156.0155.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)71% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %9%19%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game77.182.871.4
Allowed / game78.077.878.2
Point differential-0.9+5.0-6.8
Avg total155.1160.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3223972%80.973.3+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow31211068%83.580.1+3.4
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Fenerbahce32201262%79.078.5+0.5
5 Olimpia Milano33201361%80.978.0+2.8
6 Bayern32191359%78.377.7+0.7
7 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
8 Zenit Petersburg31171455%76.975.5+1.4
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia32171553%81.581.1+0.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32161650%77.178.0-0.9
12 Olympiacos32151747%79.080.2-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%79.179.9-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31121939%77.780.6-2.9
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.582.2-2.7
16 Alba Berlin32112134%78.383.2-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda3292328%74.680.1-5.6
18 Khimki M.3142713%78.290.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2116201471
Zalgiris Kaunas2214181670
← all games of the day
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