Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 58-87

10-14 7-27 25-23 16-23

Position#9

Record7-24

FormWLWLW

Points / game60.5

Allowed / game74.8

Amsterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#4

Record17-12

FormWLWWL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game68.8

DBL

Other2013-14

Meetings · Amsterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leiden

49-77

-28

A29/01

DBL

Den Bosch

50-69

-19

A02/02

DBL

Den Helder

56-63

-7

H06/02

DBL

Wijchen

43-73

-30

H16/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

47-78

-31

A18/02

DBL

Rotterdam

60-58

H27/02

DBL

Weert

#10

60-62

-2

A01/03

DBL

Rotterdam

74-64

+10

A08/03

DBL

Zwolle

67-88

-21

H16/03

DBL

Weert

#10

84-71

+13

H20/03

DBL

17-22

10-9

8-17

14-29

15-16

9-19

12-18

14-16

14-24

5-17

23-9

14-13

8-23

11-16

10-18

14-16

14-19

11-22

12-21

10-16

14-22

11-12

22-10

13-14

17-15

22-21

14-11

7-15

12-18

20-14

17-10

25-22

17-14

18-24

13-14

19-36

25-20

14-16

25-10

20-25

129.3Avg total

59.0Scored

70.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	60.5	74.8	135.2	-14.3	23%
Season at home (14)	62.2	69.9	132.1	-7.7	29%
Season away (17)	59.0	78.8	137.8	-19.8	18%
Last 10 (10)	59.0	70.3	129.3	-11.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	68.6	137.6	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	57.5	79.5	136.9	-22.0	5%
vs Similar (4)	67.2	59.8	127.0	+7.5	75%
vs Weaker (4)	67.8	62.8	130.5	+5.0	75%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

63-78

-15

H25/01

DBL

Amsterdam

77-49

+28

H29/01

DBL

LWD Basket

80-68

+12

H01/02

DBL

Den Bosch

68-80

-12

A09/02

DBL

Rotterdam

84-51

+33

A13/02

DBL

Weert

#10

81-51

+30

H15/02

DBL

Den Bosch

83-86 OT

-3

H01/03

DBL

Zwolle

78-75

A09/03

DBL

Den Helder

82-52

+30

H15/03

DBL

LWD Basket

71-83

-12

A19/03

DBL

17-18

20-27

18-10

8-23

22-17

9-10

17-8

29-14

21-16

15-16

18-20

26-16

–

16-19

25-10

23-8

20-14

17-13

25-17

19-12

20-9

16-17

23-23

18-18

15-14

11-17

23-17

16-24

28-17

21-11

20-12

22-15

19-14

18-22

19-15

7-22

27-24

144.0Avg total

76.7Scored

67.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.6	68.8	143.3	+5.8	59%
Season at home (15)	75.0	66.8	141.8	+8.2	73%
Season away (14)	74.1	70.9	144.9	+3.2	43%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	67.3	144.0	+9.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	69.4	148.4	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	68.8	78.4	147.2	-9.6	0%
vs Similar (13)	68.7	70.3	139.0	-1.6	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	81.9	64.2	146.1	+17.8	92%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.0	20.3	35.3	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-3.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.4	21.0	35.4	-6.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.3	34.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	14.2	22.0	36.2	-7.8	5%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	15.5	35.8	+4.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	16.7	34.3	+1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	16.2	32.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.4	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	13.9	16.4	30.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	13.0	14.8	27.8	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.6	17.8	32.4	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.1	17.0	30.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	13.4	16.7	30.1	-3.3	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.2	13.5	27.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	17.8	33.8	-1.8	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	23.8	44.2	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.7	18.2	34.8	-1.5	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.8	15.0	32.8	+2.8	67%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leiden

27-31

-4

A29/01

DBL

Den Bosch

24-35

-11

A02/02

DBL

Den Helder

19-41

-22

H06/02

DBL

Wijchen

19-39

-20

H16/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

25-41

-16

A18/02

DBL

Rotterdam

25-34

-9

H27/02

DBL

Weert

#10

39-36

A01/03

DBL

Rotterdam

32-32

A08/03

DBL

Zwolle

35-38

-3

H16/03

DBL

Weert

#10

39-36

H20/03

DBL

64.7Avg total

28.4Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.8	36.7	65.6	-7.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.6	34.4	63.0	-5.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	29.0	38.8	67.8	-9.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.4	36.3	64.7	-7.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	35.2	69.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	27.6	38.7	66.3	-11.1	9%	-
vs Similar (4)	28.2	29.5	57.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.2	33.2	69.5	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

37-45

-8

H25/01

DBL

Amsterdam

31-27

H29/01

DBL

LWD Basket

36-32

H01/02

DBL

Rotterdam

41-29

+12

A13/02

DBL

Weert

#10

42-30

+12

H15/02

DBL

Den Bosch

39-40

-1

H01/03

DBL

Zwolle

34-34

A09/03

DBL

Den Helder

41-23

+18

H15/03

DBL

LWD Basket

37-37

A19/03

DBL

70.6Avg total

37.6Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.3	34.2	70.5	+2.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	33.4	70.8	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.8	35.3	70.1	-0.6	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.6	33.0	70.6	+4.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	32.8	71.4	+5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.5	40.0	76.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	34.2	34.2	68.4	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.5	32.2	70.8	+6.2	75%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.3	17.7	33.0	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	15.1	32.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	13.5	20.0	33.5	-6.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	13.8	29.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	11.0	29.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	14.2	19.5	33.7	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	13.8	31.0	+3.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	14.4	32.2	+3.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.9	19.2	37.2	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	15.2	32.8	+2.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	15.2	30.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.8	14.9	32.7	+2.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	20.1	36.2	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.3	20.4	36.7	-4.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	19.9	35.7	-4.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.4	39.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	15.6	21.3	36.9	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.2	15.8	30.0	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	17.8	37.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	18.1	36.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.3	16.1	37.4	+5.2	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	15.6	37.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	19.2	33.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	15.8	18.0	33.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.7	17.0	42.7	+8.7	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.3	37.9	69.2	-6.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.6	35.6	69.1	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	29.3	39.9	69.2	-10.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.6	34.0	64.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	33.4	68.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	29.9	40.8	70.6	-10.9	9%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	30.2	69.2	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	31.5	29.5	61.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.5	34.2	71.7	+3.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.8	32.5	68.4	+3.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.9	31.3	70.2	+7.6	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.8	72.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	34.5	64.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	34.5	36.2	70.6	-1.7	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.4	31.9	75.3	+11.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/14	Leiden v Amsterdam	77-49
16/11/13	Leiden v Amsterdam	76-64
10/10/13	Amsterdam v Leiden	50-60
03/02/13	Amsterdam v Leiden	72-69
12/01/13	Leiden v Amsterdam	100-49
09/12/12	Amsterdam v Leiden	68-85
20/10/12	Leiden v Amsterdam	84-64
25/04/11	Amsterdam v Leiden	58-79
23/04/11	Leiden v Amsterdam	80-61
05/03/11	Leiden v Amsterdam	70-55

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/14	H	Weert	84-71
16/03/14	H	Zwolle	67-88
08/03/14	A	Rotterdam	74-64
01/03/14	A	Weert	60-62
27/02/14	H	Rotterdam	60-58
18/02/14	A	Donar Groningen	47-78
16/02/14	H	Wijchen	43-73
06/02/14	H	Den Helder	56-63
02/02/14	A	Den Bosch	50-69
29/01/14	A	Leiden	49-77

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/14	A	LWD Basket	71-83
15/03/14	H	Den Helder	82-52
09/03/14	A	Zwolle	78-75
01/03/14	H	Den Bosch	83-86 OT
15/02/14	H	Weert	81-51
13/02/14	A	Rotterdam	84-51
09/02/14	A	Den Bosch	68-80
01/02/14	H	LWD Basket	80-68
29/01/14	H	Amsterdam	77-49
25/01/14	H	Donar Groningen	63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	23%
Home	LLWLW	29%
Away	LLLLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	14	17
Win %	23%	29%	18%
Points / game	60.5	62.2	59.0
Allowed / game	74.8	69.9	78.8
Point differential	-14.3	-7.7	-19.8
Avg total	135.2	132.1	137.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	14%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	59%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	LLWWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	59%	73%	43%
Points / game	74.6	75.0	74.1
Allowed / game	68.8	66.8	70.9
Point differential	+5.8	+8.2	+3.2
Avg total	143.3	141.8	144.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	40%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Donar Groningen	30	26	4	87%	76.5	59.2	+17.3
2	Den Bosch	31	24	7	77%	78.5	66.5	+12.0
3	Den Helder	30	21	9	70%	79.2	71.6	+7.6
4	Zwolle	29	19	10	66%	78.3	70.2	+8.1
5	Wijchen	30	18	12	60%	77.5	69.8	+7.8
6	Leiden	29	17	12	59%	74.6	68.8	+5.8
7	LWD Basket	30	9	21	30%	75.5	84.4	-8.9
8	Amsterdam	31	7	24	23%	60.5	74.8	-14.3
9	Rotterdam	30	6	24	20%	63.7	77.6	-13.8
10	Weert	30	3	27	10%	58.8	79.8	-21.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amsterdam	10	7	25	16	58
Leiden	14	27	23	23	87

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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