Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 79-100

23-25 22-23 14-28 20-24

Position#7

Record6-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game80.2

Amsterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#3

Record17-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game70.4

DBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Amsterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

82-76

H20/01

DBL

Den Bosch

64-89

-25

A25/01

DBL

Leiden

69-82

-13

A01/02

DBL

Rotterdam

84-91

-7

H03/02

DBL

BAL Weert

80-55

+25

A06/02

DBL

Den Helder

94-72

+22

H10/02

DBL

Den Bosch

73-78

-5

A15/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-87

-6

H02/03

DBL

Zwolle

69-73

-4

A08/03

DBL

LWD Basket

68-70

-2

A11/03

DBL

26-21

13-18

16-19

27-18

16-17

18-24

19-25

11-23

12-28

21-15

17-19

19-20

14-22

27-22

25-23

18-24

25-15

17-5

16-15

22-20

21-22

20-11

28-17

25-22

19-19

13-17

20-18

21-24

25-24

19-22

21-26

16-15

12-18

23-21

19-14

15-20

21-21

14-15

20-20

13-14

153.7Avg total

76.4Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.6	80.2	154.8	-5.7	26%
Season at home (11)	77.9	83.3	161.2	-5.4	27%
Season away (12)	71.5	77.4	148.9	-5.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	77.3	153.7	-0.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	76.0	153.0	+1.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	69.6	82.2	151.8	-12.7	12%
vs Similar (7)	75.7	80.1	155.9	-4.4	29%
vs Weaker (7)	83.6	71.6	155.1	+12.0	71%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

60-68

-8

A21/01

DBL

Rotterdam

76-77

-1

A27/01

DBL

Amsterdam

82-69

+13

H01/02

DBL

BAL Weert

74-70

H03/02

DBL

Den Helder

84-68

+16

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

79-61

+18

H10/02

DBL

Zwolle

64-71

-7

H03/03

DBL

LWD Basket

81-72

A08/03

DBL

Donar Groningen

61-85

-24

H10/03

DBL

Rotterdam

102-74

102

+28

H15/03

DBL

21-14

14-14

12-18

13-22

18-20

15-17

24-17

19-23

28-12

15-21

19-17

20-19

18-20

21-26

25-9

10-15

25-16

19-10

25-19

15-23

25-19

16-15

21-17

17-10

12-22

21-16

16-16

15-17

27-25

17-15

23-12

14-20

10-18

13-21

11-27

27-19

27-18

26-9

26-23

23-24

147.8Avg total

76.3Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.7	70.4	149.1	+8.3	74%
Season at home (13)	80.8	68.8	149.6	+11.9	85%
Season away (10)	76.0	72.4	148.4	+3.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	71.5	147.8	+4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	72.6	150.0	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	71.2	74.8	146.0	-3.7	50%
vs Similar (10)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	84.3	69.0	153.3	+15.3	93%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	20.9	40.7	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	15.6	36.7	+5.6	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	20.4	38.8	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.9	14.4	33.3	+4.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.7	35.4	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.4	34.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.2	33.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	16.2	32.2	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.9	16.6	36.4	+3.3	71%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

39-39

H20/01

DBL

Den Bosch

34-41

-7

A25/01

DBL

Leiden

33-43

-10

A01/02

DBL

Rotterdam

41-44

-3

H03/02

DBL

BAL Weert

42-20

+22

A06/02

DBL

Den Helder

41-33

H10/02

DBL

Den Bosch

32-36

-4

A15/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

44-46

-2

H02/03

DBL

Zwolle

35-39

-4

A08/03

DBL

LWD Basket

35-36

-1

A11/03

DBL

75.3Avg total

37.6Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	38.4	76.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	37.9	73.8	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.7	75.3	-0.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.8	41.4	77.2	-5.6	6%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.3	38.6	75.9	-1.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	30.0	70.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

35-28

A21/01

DBL

Rotterdam

33-37

-4

A27/01

DBL

Amsterdam

43-33

+10

H01/02

DBL

BAL Weert

39-46

-7

H03/02

DBL

Den Helder

44-26

+18

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

41-34

H10/02

DBL

Zwolle

33-38

-5

H03/03

DBL

LWD Basket

44-40

A08/03

DBL

Donar Groningen

23-39

-16

H10/03

DBL

Rotterdam

53-27

+26

H15/03

DBL

73.6Avg total

38.8Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.6	74.1	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.3	74.9	+6.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	37.0	73.2	-0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	34.8	73.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.6	74.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.8	35.8	69.7	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.3	35.7	71.0	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.9	35.4	78.3	+7.6	71%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	15.2	38.1	+7.6	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.4	21.3	36.8	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.9	37.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	40.0	76.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	42.4	80.0	-4.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	37.8	72.6	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.6	78.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.8	40.8	74.6	-7.1	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.4	41.6	80.0	-3.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.1	36.4	75.6	+2.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.3	75.6	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	35.3	75.4	+4.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.7	74.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	39.0	76.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.4	33.6	75.0	+7.7	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/18	Leiden v Amsterdam	82-69
02/12/17	Amsterdam v Leiden	64-83
20/04/17	Leiden v Amsterdam	75-56
17/04/17	Amsterdam v Leiden	70-78
15/04/17	Leiden v Amsterdam	79-82
06/04/17	Leiden v Amsterdam	73-68
16/02/17	Amsterdam v Leiden	66-79
17/12/16	Leiden v Amsterdam	90-66
05/11/16	Amsterdam v Leiden	88-86 OT
12/03/16	Amsterdam v Leiden	71-78

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/18	A	LWD Basket	68-70
08/03/18	A	Zwolle	69-73
02/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	81-87
15/02/18	A	Den Bosch	73-78
10/02/18	H	Den Helder	94-72
06/02/18	A	BAL Weert	80-55
03/02/18	H	Rotterdam	84-91
01/02/18	A	Leiden	69-82
25/01/18	A	Den Bosch	64-89
20/01/18	H	LWD Basket	82-76

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/18	H	Rotterdam	102-74
10/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	61-85
08/03/18	A	LWD Basket	81-72
03/03/18	H	Zwolle	64-71
10/02/18	H	Den Bosch	79-61
08/02/18	A	Den Helder	84-68
03/02/18	H	BAL Weert	74-70
01/02/18	H	Amsterdam	82-69
27/01/18	A	Rotterdam	76-77
21/01/18	A	Den Bosch	60-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	26%
Home	LWLWL	27%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	26%	27%	25%
Points / game	74.6	77.9	71.5
Allowed / game	80.2	83.3	77.4
Point differential	-5.7	-5.4	-5.9
Avg total	154.8	161.2	148.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	18%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	74%
Home	WWLLW	85%
Away	LLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	74%	85%	60%
Points / game	78.7	80.8	76.0
Allowed / game	70.4	68.8	72.4
Point differential	+8.3	+11.9	+3.6
Avg total	149.1	149.6	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	69%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Donar Groningen	22	20	2	91%	82.0	60.6	+21.4
2	Den Bosch	21	17	4	81%	81.9	66.5	+15.4
3	Leiden	23	17	6	74%	78.7	70.4	+8.3
4	Zwolle	23	16	7	70%	78.2	70.4	+7.8
5	Rotterdam	24	13	11	54%	76.6	80.9	-4.2
6	LWD Basket	24	7	17	29%	67.9	77.5	-9.6
7	Amsterdam	23	6	17	26%	74.6	80.2	-5.7
8	Den Helder	24	5	19	21%	67.0	83.3	-16.3
9	BAL Weert	24	3	21	12%	69.1	82.0	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amsterdam	23	22	14	20	79
Leiden	25	23	28	24	100

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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