Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 55-70

17-13 9-20 13-17 16-20

Position#5

Record3-3

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game74.2

Amsterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#2

Record4-2

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game63.8

DBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Amsterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weert

80-69

+11

A28/03

DBL

Rotterdam

87-80

H06/04

DBL

Zwolle

66-68

-2

A12/04

DBL

LWD Basket

91-97

-6

A18/04

DBL

Weert

82-70

+12

A10/10

DBL

Rotterdam

68-70

-2

H17/10

DBL

LWD Basket

82-86 OT

-4

A24/10

DBL

Zwolle

75-71

H31/10

DBL

Den Bosch

54-82

-28

A07/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-66

+15

H14/11

DBL

15-16

12-25

26-8

27-20

23-10

20-15

26-31

18-24

23-19

15-17

16-15

12-17

–

24-14

19-14

13-14

26-28

17-19

25-9

16-23

10-19

17-28

19-15

24-11

10-16

18-21

14-16

24-10

19-24

12-32

18-15

11-21

13-14

19-11

11-9

21-22

30-24

152.5Avg total

76.6Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.7	74.2	147.8	-0.5	50%
Season at home (3)	74.7	69.0	143.7	+5.7	67%
Season away (3)	72.7	79.3	152.0	-6.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	75.9	152.5	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	75.0	147.0	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	67.0	82.5	149.6	-15.5	21%
vs Similar (2)	75.0	78.0	153.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker (4)	77.0	69.0	146.0	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

79-60

+19

A10/10

DBL

LWD Basket

91-60

+31

H17/10

DBL

Zwolle

58-73

-15

A25/10

DBL

Frankfurt

58-63

-5

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

68-58

+10

H31/10

DBL

FC Porto

#32

51-77

-26

A05/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

66-77

-11

A08/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

51-79

-28

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Weert

80-55

+25

H14/11

DBL

Frankfurt

51-76

-25

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

20-13

23-18

16-18

20-11

26-12

23-18

24-10

18-20

21-14

12-13

11-25

14-21

16-13

12-18

17-22

13-10

14-14

17-19

18-11

19-14

14-26

17-19

6-21

14-11

17-11

13-16

18-28

18-22

18-24

14-22

11-14

8-19

13-14

21-10

29-10

17-21

16-23

7-18

9-19

19-16

133.1Avg total

65.3Scored

67.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.7	63.8	137.5	+9.8	67%
Season at home (3)	79.7	57.7	137.3	+22.0	100%
Season away (3)	67.7	70.0	137.7	-2.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	65.3	67.8	133.1	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	59.8	72.8	132.6	-13.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	52.8	73.8	126.5	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (4)	66.8	77.5	144.2	-10.8	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	82.9	68.2	151.0	+14.7	77%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.6	19.7	37.4	-2.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.6	17.7	36.4	+0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.3	38.1	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.2	38.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.4	33.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	15.7	18.5	34.2	-2.8	44%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	15.5	18.6	34.1	-3.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	18.4	34.3	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	12.8	30.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.2	19.4	34.6	-4.3	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	12.0	34.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.0	16.7	31.7	-1.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	16.7	37.4	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.1	33.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	17.0	31.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.5	19.2	31.8	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	16.5	37.4	+4.4	75%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weert

27-41

-14

A28/03

DBL

Rotterdam

43-25

+18

H06/04

DBL

Zwolle

38-36

A12/04

DBL

Weert

43-28

+15

A10/10

DBL

Rotterdam

42-28

+14

H17/10

DBL

LWD Basket

36-43

-7

A24/10

DBL

Zwolle

32-37

-5

H31/10

DBL

Den Bosch

30-47

-17

A07/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

30-20

+10

H14/11

DBL

69.6Avg total

35.7Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	33.3	38.2	71.6	-4.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	34.1	36.4	70.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.7	39.7	72.4	-7.0	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.7	33.9	69.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	35.0	69.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	32.6	39.1	71.8	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	35.5	74.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	34.3	68.3	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

43-31

+12

A10/10

DBL

LWD Basket

49-30

+19

H17/10

DBL

Zwolle

33-27

A25/10

DBL

Frankfurt

28-31

-3

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

31-33

-2

H31/10

DBL

FC Porto

#32

31-45

-14

A05/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

30-27

A08/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

32-46

-14

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Weert

34-24

+10

H14/11

DBL

Frankfurt

23-41

-18

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

66.9Avg total

33.4Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.9	34.4	72.2	+3.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	33.4	73.2	+6.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	35.4	71.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	33.5	66.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	36.6	66.6	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	28.5	40.8	69.2	-12.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	31.0	66.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.2	33.8	74.0	+6.4	70%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.1	35.4	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.8	33.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.4	33.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	10.8	19.0	29.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	13.2	23.8	37.0	-10.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.3	16.4	36.8	+3.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.1	12%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.9	9%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.9	20.9	35.7	-6.0	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.1	21.8	37.9	-5.8	10%	-
vs Similar (2)	10.0	17.5	27.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	17.9	38.0	+2.3	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.8	33.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.5	14.0	27.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	17.6	39.6	+4.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	34.8	41.6	76.5	-6.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.7	42.5	80.3	-4.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	40.9	73.5	-8.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.8	72.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.5	43.8	78.3	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	30.0	34.5	64.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	32.0	72.0	+8.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.1	35.7	73.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	34.4	76.6	+7.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	37.0	71.1	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	34.3	66.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	36.2	66.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	33.0	57.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	31.2	46.5	77.8	-15.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.2	34.1	76.3	+8.1	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
22/03/15	Amsterdam v Leiden	73-76
31/01/15	Leiden v Amsterdam	97-61
07/12/14	Amsterdam v Leiden	75-87
18/10/14	Leiden v Amsterdam	95-66
23/03/14	Amsterdam v Leiden	58-87
29/01/14	Leiden v Amsterdam	77-49
16/11/13	Leiden v Amsterdam	76-64
10/10/13	Amsterdam v Leiden	50-60
03/02/13	Amsterdam v Leiden	72-69
12/01/13	Leiden v Amsterdam	100-49

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/15	H	Donar Groningen	81-66
07/11/15	A	Den Bosch	54-82
31/10/15	H	Zwolle	75-71
24/10/15	A	LWD Basket	82-86 OT
17/10/15	H	Rotterdam	68-70
10/10/15	A	Weert	82-70
18/04/15	A	LWD Basket	91-97
12/04/15	A	Zwolle	66-68
06/04/15	H	Rotterdam	87-80
28/03/15	A	Weert	80-69

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/15	H	Frankfurt	51-76
14/11/15	H	Weert	80-55
11/11/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	51-79
08/11/15	A	Donar Groningen	66-77
05/11/15	A	FC Porto	51-77
31/10/15	H	Den Bosch	68-58
27/10/15	A	Frankfurt	58-63
25/10/15	A	Zwolle	58-73
17/10/15	H	LWD Basket	91-60
10/10/15	A	Rotterdam	79-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	73.7	74.7	72.7
Allowed / game	74.2	69.0	79.3
Point differential	-0.5	+5.7	-6.7
Avg total	147.8	143.7	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	0%	33%

Leiden

DBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	73.7	79.7	67.7
Allowed / game	63.8	57.7	70.0
Point differential	+9.8	+22.0	-2.3
Avg total	137.5	137.3	137.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	6	5	1	83%	77.7	64.8	+12.8
2	Leiden	6	4	2	67%	73.7	63.8	+9.8
3	Den Bosch	6	4	2	67%	76.7	67.3	+9.3
4	Donar Groningen	7	4	3	57%	79.6	71.4	+8.1
5	Amsterdam	6	3	3	50%	73.7	74.2	-0.5
6	Rotterdam	7	3	4	43%	71.0	75.0	-4.0
7	LWD Basket	6	2	4	33%	67.0	79.2	-12.2
8	Weert	6	0	6	0%	64.0	88.2	-24.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amsterdam	17	9	13	16	55
Leiden	13	20	17	20	70

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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