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Ancud vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 96-68
12-19 21-20 42-16 21-13
Position#3
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.5
Ancud 🏆
Chile
vs
Liceo Pablo Neruda
Chile
Position#13
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game78.1
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Fiscal de Ancud
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ancud winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AncudChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAncud
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
W
71-66
71
66
+5
62avg 74
H04/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
79avg 74
A09/02
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 74
A10/02
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
no box
H02/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 74
H03/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
66avg 74
H09/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 74
A16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 74
A22/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 74
A23/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 74
H30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
6-21
27-15
12-14
18-24
25-24
21-20
25-14
25-26
17-20
12-11
21-20
16-16
23-20
18-14
10-17
22-19
18-21
19-20
21-16
16-15
27-24
22-23
19-20
19-18
25-20
18-14
13-21
13-19
26-8
11-20
24-20
16-21
25-17
25-16
16-17
20-19
14-33
22-10
24-12
153.5Avg total
78.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.076.5159.5+6.588%
Season at home (8)78.475.0153.4+3.488%
Season away (9)87.177.8164.9+9.389%
Last 10 (10)78.575.0153.5+3.580%
Last 5 (5)79.073.4152.4+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
vs Similar (7)84.078.0162.0+6.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.177.1166.2+12.089%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 58
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
63avg 58
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 58
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 58
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
61-63
61
63
-2
47avg 58
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
51-88
51
88
-37
44avg 58
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
67avg 58
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
51avg 58
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 58
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
52-84
52
84
-32
50avg 58
A30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
20-17
11-12
20-21
13-25
19-28
14-22
21-12
17-19
22-18
15-17
23-20
16-19
15-10
17-23
19-24
23-11
14-15
9-19
15-18
9-20
15-28
16-17
11-23
15-6
21-23
17-21
13-24
18-19
22-18
5-30
12-28
20-28
24-15
16-17
22-14
11-15
12-18
17-29
12-22
144.7Avg total
65.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.278.1145.3-10.825%
Season at home (9)69.176.3145.4-7.233%
Season away (7)64.980.3145.1-15.414%
Last 10 (10)65.779.0144.7-13.330%
Last 5 (5)61.683.0144.6-21.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.586.9152.4-21.312%
vs Similar (4)72.867.8140.5+5.075%
vs Weaker (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Ancud) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
AncudLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H04/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A09/02
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/02
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H03/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A22/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
LNB
79.8Avg total
39.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.785.4+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.385.0+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.740.185.8+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.179.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.045.084.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (7)41.440.682.0+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.139.886.9+7.379%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H09/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H10/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A30/03
LNB
72.9Avg total
35.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.041.975.9-7.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.140.177.2-2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)30.943.774.6-12.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.772.9-2.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.071.4-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.243.575.8-11.338%-
vs Similar (4)38.237.876.0+0.575%-
vs Weaker (2)47.030.577.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Ancud) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ancudtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ancud: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
50.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.815.7
72.0%
70.3%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.1
49.5%
50.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.6
31.0%
32.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws13.68.7
64.0%
70.3%8.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ancud
WWWWWWLLWW
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LWLLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#13
+10.4
Net rating
-14.4
106.3
Offensive rating
91.7
95.9
Defensive rating
106.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
22.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
31.0%
53.7%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 91.7Defence95.9 · 106.2Shooting51.2% · 48.4%3-point %30.8% · 31.0%Ball care15.9% · 22.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Ancud   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ancud wins
1
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Liceo Pablo Neruda v Ancud77-75
Ancudlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HValdivia80-74
23/03/24ASportiva Italiana82-71
22/03/24APuente Alto74-67
16/03/24ANaviera Ulloa75-73
09/03/24HNaviera Ulloa84-82
03/03/24HSportiva Italiana80-76
02/03/24HPuente Alto75-82 OT
10/02/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda75-77
09/02/24AValdivia89-82
04/02/24HLeones Quilpue71-66
Liceo Pablo Nerudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ANaviera Ulloa52-84
24/03/24HEspanol de Talca82-74
23/03/24HU. De Concepcion57-95
17/03/24ALas Animas66-74
16/03/24AEspanol Osorno51-88
10/03/24HLas Animas61-63
09/03/24HEspanol Osorno67-76
03/03/24AEspanol de Talca77-74
02/03/24AU. De Concepcion67-87
10/02/24HAncud77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ancud
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWLWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game83.078.487.1
Allowed / game76.575.077.8
Point differential+6.5+3.4+9.3
Avg total159.5153.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%12%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%33%14%
Points / game67.269.164.9
Allowed / game78.176.380.3
Point differential-10.8-7.2-15.4
Avg total145.3145.4145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud1715288%83.076.5+6.5
2 Leones Quilpue1714382%83.067.8+15.2
3 U. De Concepcion1613381%87.178.7+8.4
4 Espanol Osorno1813572%79.167.9+11.2
5 Las Animas1811761%79.777.8+1.9
6 CD Puerto Varas178947%80.882.4-1.5
7 Valdivia1881044%84.083.2+0.8
8 Puente Alto167944%77.677.3+0.2
9 Naviera Ulloa1761135%74.175.5-1.4
10 Catolica1861233%74.779.1-4.4
11 Sportiva Italiana1551033%75.582.0-6.5
12 Puerto Montt1751229%69.180.5-11.4
13 Liceo Pablo Neruda1641225%67.278.1-10.8
14 Espanol de Talca1631319%77.287.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ancud1221422196
Liceo Pablo Neruda1920161368
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