Apoel BC will host Keravnos on 7 November 2026 in Division A, with the model favouring Keravnos at 68% to win against Apoel's 32% chance. Apoel, 3-1 overall, averages 80.0 points and allows 70.5, while Keravnos, unbeaten 4-0, posts 92.5 points and 75.8 allowed, both occupying the top three league positions. Apoel's home slate is flawless 2-0, scoring 82.0 and conceding 67.5, yet their last five games include two defeats, one of which was a 79-83 loss to AEK Larnaca, and a recent 77-64 win over Apollon. Keravnos remains undefeated on the road, 2-0, with 92.5 points and 68.5 allowed, and their recent five contain a 73-86 loss to Nancy but three victories, including a 94-84 home win over Anorthosis. Historically, Keravnos has won all ten encounters, most recently defeating Apoel 94-84 on 26 March 2026. The projected score is 79-84, with a total of 162.8 points; the home line is 2.5 and the model gives a 39% chance of the home team covering, while the over line of 158.5 carries a 60% probability. An overtime probability of 5% rounds out the preview.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 80.0 | 70.5 | 150.5 | +9.5 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 67.5 | 149.5 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 78.0 | 73.5 | 151.5 | +4.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.2 | 80.7 | 160.9 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 73.4 | 151.6 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 74.4 | 86.5 | 160.9 | -12.1 | 17% |
| vs Similar (13) | 82.9 | 81.3 | 164.2 | +1.6 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 85.2 | 75.2 | 160.4 | +10.0 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 92.5 | 75.8 | 168.2 | +16.8 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.5 | 83.0 | 175.5 | +9.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 92.5 | 68.5 | 161.0 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.3 | 76.6 | 159.9 | +6.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.4 | 81.2 | 162.6 | +0.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 73.0 | 86.0 | 159.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 75.1 | 78.0 | 153.1 | -2.9 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 92.3 | 74.4 | 166.7 | +18.0 | 90% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.8 | 42.1 | 84.9 | +0.6 | 53% | 83% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.1 | 41.3 | 84.5 | +1.8 | 60% | 87% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.4 | 42.9 | 85.3 | -0.5 | 47% | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 41.8 | 85.5 | +1.9 | 50% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 41.2 | 83.2 | +0.8 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 39.4 | 45.2 | 84.6 | -5.8 | 17% | 75% |
| vs Similar (13) | 43.8 | 40.7 | 84.5 | +3.2 | 69% | 85% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 48.0 | 38.6 | 86.6 | +9.4 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.9 | 38.0 | 83.0 | +6.9 | 73% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.3 | 37.2 | 83.6 | +9.1 | 81% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.4 | 38.9 | 82.3 | +4.4 | 64% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 38.8 | 82.1 | +4.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 42.0 | 83.8 | -0.2 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 38.0 | 42.0 | 80.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 39.1 | 40.4 | 79.5 | -1.2 | 50% | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 47.5 | 37.0 | 84.4 | +10.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keravnos over 78.5 | 70.4% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Keravnos over 77.5 | 73.7% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Keravnos over 76.5 | 76.8% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Keravnos over 75.5 | 79.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Won |
| Keravnos over 74.5 | 82.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Keravnos +2.5 | 73.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Keravnos +3.5 | 76.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Apoel BC over 72.5 | 72.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
| Apoel BC under 84.5 | 71.1% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Keravnos +2 | 72.6% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.3 | 18.6 | 52.0% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.1 | 9.9 | 34.4% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 12.7 | 72.9% | 12.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 22.2 | 52.0% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.4 | 9.2 | 34.4% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 13.4 | 72.9% | 13.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 94-84 |
| 17/01/26 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 83-74 |
| 02/11/25 | Apoel BC v Keravnos | 69-83 |
| 28/03/25 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 112-97 |
| 17/01/25 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 102-80 |
| 01/12/24 | Apoel BC v Keravnos | 83-87 |
| 01/04/24 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 81-74 |
| 09/02/24 | Apoel BC v Keravnos | 61-75 |
| 27/11/23 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 88-86 |
| 05/03/23 | Keravnos v Apoel BC | 86-59 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | Apollon | 77-64 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Achilleas K. | 84-62 |
| 18/10/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 79-83 |
| 12/10/26 | H | AEL | 80-73 |
| 01/05/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 71-85 |
| 28/04/26 | H | AEK Larnaca | 95-87 |
| 24/04/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 72-89 |
| 21/04/26 | H | AEK Larnaca | 82-79 |
| 17/04/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 77-99 |
| 08/04/26 | H | Paralimni | 85-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Nancy | 73-86 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Anorthosis | 94-84 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Vienna Basket | 85-83 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Apollon | 90-75 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Szczecin | 65-78 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Morphou | 91-82 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Nitra Blue Wings | 88-78 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Achilleas K. | 95-62 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Parnu | 88-70 |
| 25/05/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 64-68 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWW | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 82.0 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.5 | 67.5 | 73.5 |
| Point differential | +9.5 | +14.5 | +4.5 |
| Avg total | 150.5 | 149.5 | 151.5 |
| Over 158.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 92.5 | 92.5 | 92.5 |
| Allowed / game | 75.8 | 83.0 | 68.5 |
| Point differential | +16.8 | +9.5 | +24.0 |
| Avg total | 168.2 | 175.5 | 161.0 |
| Over 158.5 | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 86.2 | 67.5 | +18.8 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 75.8 | +16.8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.0 | 70.5 | +9.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.8 | 69.0 | +7.8 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 73.4 | 73.6 | -0.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.8 | 83.8 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 68.0 | 78.0 | -10.0 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 71.2 | 86.2 | -15.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 75.2 | 82.2 | -7.0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 74.4 | 91.6 | -17.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 19 | 11 | 22 | 73 | |
| 17 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 80 |
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