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Keravnos vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-70
26-11 19-19 25-18 18-22
Position#22
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Keravnos 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#38
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Costas Papaellinas Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 85
H18/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 85
A22/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
86-66
86
66
+20
85avg 85
H25/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
76avg 85
A29/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
92-60
92
60
+32
96avg 85
H02/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
71avg 85
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
68avg 85
H13/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
73avg 85
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 85
H21/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
56avg 85
A25/05
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
14-17
17-29
25-23
18-23
18-23
21-20
28-15
30-19
18-8
22-24
16-15
21-23
19-19
24-17
18-28
22-20
30-16
20-11
20-13
16-13
24-19
14-18
21-18
25-14
19-27
15-25
22-20
27-22
17-18
17-13
14-23
16-15
27-24
25-19
26-22
18-18
16-16
11-21
19-13
157.3Avg total
81.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.475.9157.3+5.550%
Last 5 (5)77.875.6153.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.085.0153.0-17.00%
vs Similar (8)78.577.5156.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.073.1166.2+19.990%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 69
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 69
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 69
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 69
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 69
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 69
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 69
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
76-73
76
73
+3
61avg 69
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 69
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
63avg 69
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
13-17
17-24
27-17
18-25
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
13-20
16-22
19-18
19-20
16-18
23-18
18-16
19-21
19-19
21-17
17-13
16-12
21-17
17-27
19-19
21-16
153.1Avg total
74.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.070.5140.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)73.061.0134.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)74.878.3153.1-3.530%
Last 5 (5)76.476.4152.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.584.2158.7-9.77%
vs Similar (7)73.975.9149.7-2.029%
vs Weaker (9)86.173.6159.7+12.6100%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
KeravnosParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H25/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H02/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/05
Division A
79.1Avg total
41.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.481.6+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.136.183.1+11.087%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.880.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.279.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.036.060.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.240.581.8+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.236.382.6+9.976%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
77.6Avg total
37.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.979.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.078.8-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.879.9+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.077.6-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.141.478.6-4.329%-
vs Similar (7)36.038.374.3-2.343%-
vs Weaker (9)45.738.884.4+6.989%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.7
53.4%
53.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.7
34.4%
32.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.513.4
81.2%
72.8%13.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.2
48.3%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.9
26.0%
32.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.013.7
65.2%
72.8%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
LWLLWWLWWL
Parnu
LWWLLLWLLL
#22
League position
#38
+5.9
Net rating
-3.8
96.0
Offensive rating
85.5
90.1
Defensive rating
89.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
26.0%
56.6%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 85.5Defence90.1 · 89.3Shooting52.8% · 44.7%3-point %34.4% · 26.0%Ball care15.1% · 12.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Keravnos   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keravnos wins
0
Parnu wins
No previous meetings.
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26AAEK Larnaca64-68
21/05/26HAEK Larnaca94-80
17/05/26AAEK Larnaca75-76
13/05/26HAEK Larnaca81-86
09/05/26AAEK Larnaca75-68
02/05/26HAEL92-60
29/04/26AAEL82-87
25/04/26HAEL86-66
22/04/26AAEL85-81
18/04/26HAEL80-87
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo78-79
30/09/26HNeftchi IK73-61
26/09/26HBK Liepaja76-73
23/09/26ANeftchi IK67-80
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75
07/03/26ARigas Zelli75-83
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.073.067.0
Allowed / game70.561.080.0
Point differential-0.5+12.0-13.0
Avg total140.5134.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
2 Geneva Lions110100%105.083.0+22.0
3 Mykonos110100%78.058.0+20.0
4 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
5 Basquet Girona110100%87.075.0+12.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes110100%77.065.0+12.0
7 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
8 Oostende110100%76.069.0+7.0
9 Iraklis110100%64.059.0+5.0
10 Nancy110100%66.065.0+1.0
11 Dinamo Bucharest32167%92.076.0+16.0
12 BC Prievidza32167%90.077.0+13.0
13 Parnu21150%70.070.5-0.5
14 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
15 Vienna Basket1010%65.066.0-1.0
16 MZT Skopje1010%59.064.0-5.0
17 Levice1010%69.076.0-7.0
18 Szolnoki Olaj1010%80.090.0-10.0
19 SCM Craiova1010%65.077.0-12.0
20 Absheron Lions1010%83.0105.0-22.0
21 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
22 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
23 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 23 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos2619251888
Parnu1119182270
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