Apop Paphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 73-118

9-30 17-28 18-25 29-35

Position#7

Record3-14

FormLWWLL

Points / game71.5

Allowed / game83.1

Apop Paphou

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Position#1

Record14-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game73.9

Division ARound 21

Other2017-18

Meetings · Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apop Paphou winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apop Paphou Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

62-81

-19

H13/12

Division A

Apoel BC

82-86

-4

A21/12

Division A

Apollon

76-82

-6

H27/12

Division A

Keravnos

63-88

-25

A05/01

Division A

Paralimni

53-73

-20

H13/01

Division A

Keravnos

72-86

-14

A27/01

Division A

Paralimni

76-74

H02/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

97-88 OT

A06/02

Division A

Apoel BC

65-71

-6

H03/03

Division A

Apollon

76-92

-16

A18/03

Division A

17-20

21-22

15-21

9-18

19-26

24-21

19-19

20-20

11-16

19-24

24-24

22-18

19-20

12-30

12-24

20-14

14-20

9-20

6-20

24-13

10-27

19-21

21-23

22-15

19-16

18-25

15-16

24-17

20-14

19-31

20-14

21-21

10-20

13-18

23-17

19-16

15-21

22-22

20-29

19-20

154.3Avg total

72.2Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	71.5	83.1	154.6	-11.6	18%
Season at home (8)	66.6	77.5	144.1	-10.9	25%
Season away (9)	75.8	88.1	163.9	-12.3	11%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	82.1	154.3	-9.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	82.2	159.4	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	71.6	83.6	155.2	-12.1	21%
vs Similar (3)	71.0	80.7	151.7	-9.7	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apop Paphou

81-62

+19

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

79-70

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

84-82

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

87-61

+26

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

82-74

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

75-85

-10

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

73-61

+12

A07/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

86-81

H03/03

Division A

Apoel BC

87-94

-7

A18/03

Division A

Apollon

82-61

+21

H22/03

Division A

20-17

22-21

21-15

18-9

22-9

23-21

21-18

13-22

22-16

24-21

20-21

18-24

18-14

25-14

27-22

17-11

20-19

19-20

24-21

19-14

19-19

22-27

20-24

14-15

24-21

18-17

16-9

15-14

27-12

21-20

11-25

27-24

23-18

25-19

18-31

21-26

25-15

17-14

25-13

15-19

154.7Avg total

81.6Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	84.8	73.9	158.8	+10.9	82%
Season at home (9)	87.9	75.9	163.8	+12.0	78%
Season away (8)	81.4	71.8	153.1	+9.6	88%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	73.1	154.7	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	76.4	157.0	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.3	74.0	147.3	-0.7	33%
vs Similar (3)	80.3	78.0	158.3	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	82.7	70.0	152.7	+12.6	86%

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apop PaphouAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	15.7	21.4	37.1	-5.6	12%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	15.4	21.1	36.5	-5.8	12%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	20.0	35.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.6	34.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.4	22.0	38.4	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (3)	12.3	18.3	30.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	15.9	38.1	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.7	16.6	38.3	+5.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.7	24.2	41.9	-6.5	12%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	16.9	22.2	39.1	-5.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	26.0	44.4	-7.6	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	24.6	41.9	-7.2	14%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.1	39.5	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	18.7	36.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.1	76%	-

Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

38-42

-4

H13/12

Division A

Apoel BC

43-47

-4

A21/12

Division A

Apollon

30-40

-10

H27/12

Division A

Keravnos

31-50

-19

A05/01

Division A

Paralimni

23-40

-17

H13/01

Division A

Keravnos

29-48

-19

A27/01

Division A

Paralimni

37-41

-4

H02/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

39-45

-6

A06/02

Division A

Apoel BC

23-38

-15

H03/03

Division A

Apollon

37-43

-6

A18/03

Division A

76.4Avg total

33.0Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	33.4	45.6	79.0	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	32.2	43.4	75.6	-11.1	0%	-
Last 30 away (9)	34.4	47.6	82.0	-13.1	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	43.4	76.4	-10.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	43.0	76.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	33.8	46.6	80.4	-12.8	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	31.7	41.0	72.7	-9.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apop Paphou

42-38

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

45-30

+15

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

46-37

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

43-28

+15

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

39-39

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

41-46

-5

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

42-38

A07/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

48-32

+16

H03/03

Division A

Apoel BC

48-37

+11

A18/03

Division A

Apollon

42-29

+13

H22/03

Division A

79.0Avg total

43.6Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	35.5	78.1	+7.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	34.1	77.6	+9.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	35.4	79.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.4	80.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.6	34.4	78.0	+9.2	81%	-

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	29%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.7	38.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	37.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	18.5	34.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.1	18.0	38.2	+2.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.5	17.2	35.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.6	18.8	38.3	+0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.9	57%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	37.1	37.1	74.1	+0.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	34.4	34.1	68.5	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.4	39.7	79.1	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.6	36.5	73.1	+0.1	57%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	39.7	79.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	35.9	73.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.9	74.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	34.9	71.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	40.0	76.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.3	36.2	70.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	39.3	77.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.3	35.3	73.6	+3.0	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apop Paphou wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/17	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	62-81
28/10/17	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	106-77

Apop Paphoulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/18	A	Apollon	76-92
03/03/18	H	Apoel BC	65-71
06/02/18	A	ETHA Engomi	97-88 OT
02/02/18	H	Paralimni	76-74
27/01/18	A	Keravnos	72-86
13/01/18	H	Paralimni	53-73
05/01/18	A	Keravnos	63-88
27/12/17	H	Apollon	76-82
21/12/17	A	Apoel BC	82-86
13/12/17	H	AEK Larnaca	62-81

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/18	H	Apollon	82-61
18/03/18	A	Apoel BC	87-94
03/03/18	H	ETHA Engomi	86-81
07/02/18	A	Paralimni	73-61
03/02/18	H	Keravnos	75-85
21/01/18	A	Keravnos	82-74
14/01/18	H	Apollon	87-61
08/01/18	A	Apoel BC	84-82
20/12/17	H	ETHA Engomi	79-70
13/12/17	A	Apop Paphou	81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apop Paphou

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	18%
Home	LLLWL	25%
Away	LLLWL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	18%	25%	11%
Points / game	71.5	66.6	75.8
Allowed / game	83.1	77.5	88.1
Point differential	-11.6	-10.9	-12.3
Avg total	154.6	144.1	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	82%
Home	WWLWW	78%
Away	WWWWL	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	82%	78%	88%
Points / game	84.8	87.9	81.4
Allowed / game	73.9	75.9	71.8
Point differential	+10.9	+12.0	+9.6
Avg total	158.8	163.8	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	44%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	17	14	3	82%	82.2	67.8	+14.4
2	AEK Larnaca	17	14	3	82%	84.8	73.9	+10.9
3	Apoel BC	17	10	7	59%	80.5	77.7	+2.8
4	Paralimni	17	9	8	53%	73.3	74.8	-1.5
5	ETHA Engomi	18	6	12	33%	77.2	81.1	-3.9
6	Apollon	17	4	13	24%	68.8	79.6	-10.8
7	Apop Paphou	17	3	14	18%	71.5	83.1	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apop Paphou	9	17	18	29	73
AEK Larnaca	30	28	25	35	118

← all games of the day

Apop Paphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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