Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 94-87

18-23 19-25 31-18 26-21

Position#3

Record9-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game76.3

Apoel BC 🏆

AEK Larnaca

Position#1

Record13-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game73.5

Division ARound 19

Other2017-18

Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

102-90

102

+12

A28/11

Division A

Keravnos

71-87

-16

H09/12

Division A

Paralimni

76-77

-1

A12/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

86-82

H21/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

78-83

-5

A27/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

82-84

-2

H08/01

Division A

Apollon

82-76

A20/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

102-93

102

A29/01

Division A

Apollon

82-73

H06/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

71-65

A03/03

Division A

26-25

30-29

27-21

19-15

26-24

11-25

15-14

19-24

29-22

16-17

11-19

20-19

26-19

21-24

19-19

20-20

21-28

25-17

16-12

16-26

16-22

21-24

21-20

24-18

24-26

22-5

20-19

16-26

19-25

28-23

31-17

24-28

22-20

19-10

19-21

22-22

20-10

18-13

17-23

16-19

164.2Avg total

83.2Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.1	76.3	156.3	+3.8	60%
Season at home (7)	78.3	75.4	153.7	+2.9	57%
Season away (8)	81.6	77.0	158.6	+4.6	62%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	81.0	164.2	+2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	78.2	162.0	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	71.2	76.8	148.0	-5.5	15%
vs Similar (2)	70.5	68.0	138.5	+2.5	50%
vs Weaker (15)	83.0	72.5	155.5	+10.5	80%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

79-70

A03/12

Division A

Paralimni

102-71

102

+31

H09/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

81-62

+19

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

79-70

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

84-82

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

87-61

+26

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

82-74

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

75-85

-10

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

73-61

+12

A07/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

86-81

H03/03

Division A

24-19

19-12

19-25

17-14

30-27

23-17

31-15

18-12

20-17

22-21

21-15

18-9

22-9

23-21

21-18

13-22

22-16

24-21

20-21

18-24

18-14

25-14

27-22

17-11

20-19

19-20

24-21

19-14

19-19

22-27

20-24

14-15

24-21

18-17

16-9

15-14

27-12

21-20

11-25

27-24

154.5Avg total

82.8Scored

71.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	84.9	73.5	158.3	+11.4	87%
Season at home (8)	88.6	77.8	166.4	+10.9	75%
Season away (7)	80.6	68.6	149.1	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	71.7	154.5	+11.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	72.4	153.0	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.7	70.4	143.1	+2.3	43%
vs Similar (3)	80.3	78.0	158.3	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.8	69.5	152.3	+13.2	90%

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apoel BCAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.9	39.6	+3.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	18.8	37.7	+0.0	54%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	18.5	42.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.5	39.0	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	16.5	38.2	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.3	39.9	+5.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.6	37.6	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.0	36.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.6	20.5	37.1	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	14.0	33.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.9	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	70%	-

Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

56-54

A28/11

Division A

Keravnos

37-49

-12

H09/12

Division A

Paralimni

45-39

A12/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

47-43

H21/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

46-45

A27/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

37-46

-9

H08/01

Division A

Apollon

46-31

+15

A20/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

47-48

-1

A29/01

Division A

Apollon

41-30

+11

H06/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

38-23

+15

A03/03

Division A

84.8Avg total

44.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.7	76.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	36.9	76.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	36.4	77.0	+4.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	40.8	84.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.6	77.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.5	39.3	74.8	-3.8	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	32.5	76.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.9	34.9	78.9	+9.0	80%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

43-31

+12

A03/12

Division A

Paralimni

53-44

H09/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

42-38

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

45-30

+15

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

46-37

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

43-28

+15

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

39-39

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

41-46

-5

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

42-38

A07/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

48-32

+16

H03/03

Division A

80.5Avg total

44.2Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	35.7	77.8	+6.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	34.4	77.1	+8.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	36.3	80.5	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.6	79.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	37.3	74.9	+0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.6	34.7	78.3	+8.9	80%	-

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	16.6	34.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	10.5	18.5	29.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	16.6	32.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.9	17.4	37.2	+2.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	18.9	36.4	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.9	17.8	34.8	-0.9	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	15.9	33.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.6	34.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	16.6	35.4	+2.3	71%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	35.9	72.8	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	37.8	74.1	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.2	79.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.6	84.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.2	36.3	71.5	-1.1	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	35.5	62.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.1	37.6	76.7	+1.5	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	34.7	72.3	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	35.7	73.8	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	33.6	70.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	35.4	74.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	35.8	73.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	33.1	68.3	+2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	39.3	77.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.4	34.5	72.9	+3.9	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apoel BC wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/18	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	82-84
28/11/17	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	90-102
18/04/17	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	64-73
11/04/17	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	87-79 OT
07/04/17	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	75-72
04/04/17	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	64-60
05/03/17	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	69-73
03/02/17	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	78-67
02/12/16	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	89-77
05/11/16	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	77-66

Apoel BClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/18	A	Apop Paphou	71-65
06/02/18	H	Apollon	82-73
29/01/18	A	ETHA Engomi	102-93
20/01/18	A	Apollon	82-76
08/01/18	H	AEK Larnaca	82-84
27/12/17	A	ETHA Engomi	78-83
21/12/17	H	Apop Paphou	86-82
12/12/17	A	Paralimni	76-77
09/12/17	H	Keravnos	71-87
28/11/17	A	AEK Larnaca	102-90

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/18	H	ETHA Engomi	86-81
07/02/18	A	Paralimni	73-61
03/02/18	H	Keravnos	75-85
21/01/18	A	Keravnos	82-74
14/01/18	H	Apollon	87-61
08/01/18	A	Apoel BC	84-82
20/12/17	H	ETHA Engomi	79-70
13/12/17	A	Apop Paphou	81-62
09/12/17	H	Paralimni	102-71
03/12/17	A	Apollon	79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	60%
Home	LLWLW	57%
Away	LLWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	60%	57%	62%
Points / game	80.1	78.3	81.6
Allowed / game	76.3	75.4	77.0
Point differential	+3.8	+2.9	+4.6
Avg total	156.3	153.7	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	14%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	87%
Home	WWWLW	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	87%	75%	100%
Points / game	84.9	88.6	80.6
Allowed / game	73.5	77.8	68.6
Point differential	+11.4	+10.9	+12.0
Avg total	158.3	166.4	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	38%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	15	13	2	87%	84.9	73.5	+11.4
2	Keravnos	16	13	3	81%	81.7	67.4	+14.2
3	Apoel BC	15	9	6	60%	80.1	76.3	+3.8
4	Paralimni	16	8	8	50%	71.4	74.4	-3.0
5	ETHA Engomi	17	6	11	35%	77.0	79.8	-2.8
6	Apollon	16	4	12	25%	69.3	79.5	-10.2
7	Apop Paphou	17	3	14	18%	71.5	83.1	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apoel BC	18	19	31	26	94
AEK Larnaca	23	25	18	21	87

← all games of the day

Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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