Apop Paphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2020

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 76-87

14-21 17-27 20-26 25-13

Position#6

Record4-7

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game84.7

Apop Paphou

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Position#2

Record8-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game68.9

Division ARound 13

Other2020-21

Meetings · Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apop Paphou winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apop Paphou Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

75-92

-17

A17/10

Division A

Apollon

79-87

-8

H25/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

53-94

-41

A01/11

Division A

Keravnos

78-79

-1

H07/11

Division A

Apoel BC

68-83

-15

A12/11

Division A

Omonia

85-91

-6

H15/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

82-73

A24/11

Division A

AEL

102-100 OT

102

100

A05/12

Division A

Paralimni

80-73

H10/12

Division A

Apollon

64-95

-31

A13/12

Division A

18-19

22-25

11-22

24-26

21-21

23-19

10-31

25-16

11-28

17-25

13-23

12-18

21-21

19-24

13-16

25-18

14-18

19-18

21-18

14-29

28-22

21-23

16-23

20-23

28-18

21-14

18-18

15-23

22-17

23-23

17-22

22-22

23-25

19-14

17-21

21-13

18-26

14-25

23-25

9-19

163.3Avg total

76.6Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	75.6	84.7	160.4	-9.1	36%
Season at home (5)	77.6	79.0	156.6	-1.4	40%
Season away (6)	74.0	89.5	163.5	-15.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	86.7	163.3	-10.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	86.4	169.0	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	66.3	83.2	149.5	-16.9	7%
vs Similar (1)	82.0	73.0	155.0	+9.0	100%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	82.5	166.5	+1.5	100%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

76-60

+16

A10/10

Division A

Omonia

75-79

-4

H18/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

76-82

-6

A23/10

Division A

Apop Paphou

94-53

+41

H01/11

Division A

AEL

73-60

+13

A08/11

Division A

Paralimni

80-77

H11/11

Division A

Apollon

75-78

-3

A14/11

Division A

Apoel BC

88-60

+28

H05/12

Division A

Omonia

93-80

+13

A09/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

106-64

106

+42

H13/12

Division A

15-16

18-17

23-12

20-15

13-24

18-13

21-17

23-25

23-27

22-17

19-16

12-22

28-11

25-17

23-13

18-12

19-21

22-10

18-11

14-18

28-19

26-24

17-16

9-18

16-19

16-17

27-18

16-24

21-11

19-11

24-20

24-18

26-12

22-23

17-21

28-24

27-16

26-17

30-18

23-13

152.9Avg total

83.6Scored

69.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.3	68.9	151.2	+13.4	73%
Season at home (6)	85.3	66.3	151.7	+19.0	83%
Season away (5)	78.6	72.0	150.6	+6.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	69.3	152.9	+14.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	71.8	160.2	+16.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	68.2	70.0	138.2	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	83.3	67.0	150.3	+16.3	85%

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apop PaphouAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	21.6	39.1	-4.0	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	19.8	35.7	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.1	21.2	37.3	-5.0	11%	-
vs Similar (1)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	14.0	32.5	+4.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.9	39.0	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.1	40.1	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	17.6	37.8	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.4	39.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.4	17.5	40.0	+4.9	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	16.3	35.8	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	15.2	34.1	+3.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	73%	-

Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

40-44

-4

A17/10

Division A

Apollon

44-40

H25/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

28-53

-25

A01/11

Division A

Keravnos

40-45

-5

H07/11

Division A

Apoel BC

33-36

-3

A12/11

Division A

Omonia

49-45

H15/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

49-32

+17

A24/11

Division A

AEL

45-40

A05/12

Division A

Paralimni

42-39

H10/12

Division A

Apollon

32-51

-19

A13/12

Division A

82.7Avg total

40.2Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	40.4	74.5	-6.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.6	40.7	76.3	-5.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.9	40.1	73.0	-7.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.5	82.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	41.4	84.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	33.3	41.2	74.5	-7.9	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	49.0	32.0	81.0	+17.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	33.5	71.5	+4.5	100%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

33-33

A10/10

Division A

Omonia

31-37

-6

H18/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

45-44

A23/10

Division A

Apop Paphou

53-28

+25

H01/11

Division A

AEL

41-31

+10

A08/11

Division A

Paralimni

54-43

+11

H11/11

Division A

Apollon

32-36

-4

A14/11

Division A

Apoel BC

40-22

+18

H05/12

Division A

Omonia

48-35

+13

A09/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

53-33

+20

H13/12

Division A

77.2Avg total

43.0Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	33.7	74.0	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	34.4	75.9	+7.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	32.9	71.9	+6.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	34.2	77.2	+8.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	33.8	79.2	+11.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	30.2	36.0	66.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	41.9	33.3	75.2	+8.6	81%	-

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	22.2	38.1	-6.2	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.1	21.9	37.0	-6.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	21.9	37.8	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.6	22.4	38.0	-6.9	11%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.2	38.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.5	17.2	33.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.2	37.1	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.0	37.6	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.6	38.1	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.5	16.8	38.2	+4.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.2	41.9	75.1	-8.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.9	41.1	74.0	-8.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.5	42.6	76.1	-9.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	42.6	77.2	-8.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	41.8	77.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	33.0	42.0	75.0	-9.0	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	41.0	74.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	33.7	74.7	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	33.3	75.4	+8.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	34.2	73.8	+5.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	35.1	75.7	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	38.0	34.0	72.0	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	41.4	33.7	75.1	+7.7	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apop Paphou wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
01/11/20	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	94-53
05/02/20	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	93-57
29/01/20	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	67-96
04/12/19	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	81-56
25/03/18	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	73-118
13/12/17	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	62-81
28/10/17	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	106-77

Apop Paphoulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/20	A	Apollon	64-95
10/12/20	H	Paralimni	80-73
05/12/20	A	AEL	102-100 OT
24/11/20	A	ETHA Engomi	82-73
15/11/20	H	Omonia	85-91
12/11/20	A	Apoel BC	68-83
07/11/20	H	Keravnos	78-79
01/11/20	A	AEK Larnaca	53-94
25/10/20	H	Apollon	79-87
17/10/20	A	Paralimni	75-92

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/20	H	ETHA Engomi	106-64
09/12/20	A	Omonia	93-80
05/12/20	H	Apoel BC	88-60
14/11/20	A	Apollon	75-78
11/11/20	H	Paralimni	80-77
08/11/20	A	AEL	73-60
01/11/20	H	Apop Paphou	94-53
23/10/20	A	ETHA Engomi	76-82
18/10/20	H	Omonia	75-79
10/10/20	A	Apoel BC	76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apop Paphou

Division A 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	36%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	40%	33%
Points / game	75.6	77.6	74.0
Allowed / game	84.7	79.0	89.5
Point differential	-9.1	-1.4	-15.5
Avg total	160.4	156.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	73%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	82.3	85.3	78.6
Allowed / game	68.9	66.3	72.0
Point differential	+13.4	+19.0	+6.6
Avg total	151.2	151.7	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apollon	11	9	2	82%	80.3	72.8	+7.5
2	Keravnos	10	8	2	80%	79.5	70.7	+8.8
3	AEK Larnaca	11	8	3	73%	82.3	68.9	+13.4
4	Paralimni	11	7	4	64%	72.6	67.7	+4.9
5	Apoel BC	10	5	5	50%	72.7	70.1	+2.6
6	Apop Paphou	11	4	7	36%	75.6	84.7	-9.1
7	Omonia	10	3	7	30%	74.6	82.8	-8.2
8	ETHA Engomi	11	3	8	27%	68.1	78.2	-10.1
9	AEL	9	0	9	0%	66.4	78.0	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apop Paphou	14	17	20	25	76
AEK Larnaca	21	27	26	13	87

← all games of the day

Apop Paphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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