AEK Larnaca vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 93-57

26-14 19-17 25-17 23-9

Position#2

Record14-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game67.1

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Apop Paphou

Position#9

Record1-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game63.4

Allowed / game82.2

Division ARound 19

Other2019-20

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apop Paphou winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Omonia

85-67

+18

A29/11

Division A

Apop Paphou

81-56

+25

H04/12

Division A

AEL

82-69

+13

A18/12

Division A

Keravnos

68-70

-2

H21/12

Division A

Apoel BC

80-56

+24

A06/01

Division A

Apollon

94-85

H11/01

Division A

Paralimni

80-50

+30

A18/01

Division A

Omonia

85-58

+27

H26/01

Division A

Apop Paphou

96-67

+29

A29/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

75-67

H02/02

Division A

26-20

13-16

26-16

20-15

14-11

30-17

21-15

16-13

24-21

15-13

16-17

27-18

15-22

18-14

18-19

17-15

19-19

20-13

19-12

22-12

29-18

17-20

24-21

24-26

20-11

19-11

12-16

29-12

26-12

13-15

30-18

16-13

26-21

21-8

26-19

23-19

21-15

21-14

14-23

19-15

147.1Avg total

82.6Scored

64.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.2	67.1	150.2	+16.1	88%
Season at home (8)	81.4	68.2	149.6	+13.1	88%
Season away (8)	85.0	65.9	150.9	+19.1	88%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	64.5	147.1	+18.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	65.4	151.4	+20.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	93.0	174.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	72.3	76.1	148.4	-3.9	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	85.7	66.8	152.5	+18.9	100%

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apop Paphou Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

60-68

-8

H30/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

56-81

-25

A04/12

Division A

Keravnos

57-94

-37

H07/12

Division A

Apoel BC

63-78

-15

A17/12

Division A

Apollon

76-89

-13

H22/12

Division A

Paralimni

71-79

-8

A04/01

Division A

Omonia

60-79

-19

H11/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

70-81

-11

A26/01

Division A

AEK Larnaca

67-96

-29

H29/01

Division A

AEL

54-63

-9

A01/02

Division A

14-17

20-18

12-18

14-15

11-14

17-30

15-21

13-16

16-25

11-24

15-21

15-24

16-17

16-13

22-27

9-21

17-24

20-23

12-20

27-22

13-17

16-23

16-21

26-18

14-15

26-20

10-26

10-18

20-20

12-19

19-27

19-15

21-26

8-21

19-26

19-23

8-20

11-15

20-9

15-19

144.2Avg total

63.4Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	63.4	82.2	145.6	-18.8	6%
Season at home (8)	64.6	83.9	148.5	-19.2	12%
Season away (8)	62.1	80.5	142.6	-18.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	63.4	80.8	144.2	-17.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	64.4	79.6	144.0	-15.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	67.2	84.0	151.2	-16.8	11%
vs Similar (2)	76.0	87.0	163.0	-11.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApop Paphou

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.1	39.1	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	15.4	39.8	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	21.1	37.6	-4.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.2	16.5	39.7	+6.7	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.9	20.7	35.6	-5.8	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.9	21.3	36.3	-6.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.9	20.1	34.9	-5.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.6	34.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	15.0	20.9	35.9	-5.8	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.0	18.5	31.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	15.9	34.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	14.1	32.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	13.6	31.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	20.0	50.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.0	17.1	33.1	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.8	15.9	35.7	+3.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.8	40.3	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	23.5	40.9	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.6	36.3	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.6	34.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Omonia

39-36

A29/11

Division A

Apop Paphou

44-28

+16

H04/12

Division A

AEL

39-34

A18/12

Division A

Keravnos

33-36

-3

H21/12

Division A

Apoel BC

39-32

A06/01

Division A

Apollon

46-38

H11/01

Division A

Paralimni

39-22

+17

A18/01

Division A

Omonia

39-27

+12

H26/01

Division A

Apop Paphou

47-29

+18

A29/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

42-29

+13

H02/02

Division A

71.8Avg total

40.7Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	33.1	73.5	+7.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	35.7	76.9	+5.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	31.1	71.8	+9.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	29.0	71.6	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	51.0	50.0	101.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	32.4	38.3	70.7	-5.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.0	32.4	75.5	+10.6	100%	-

This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

34-35

-1

H30/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

28-44

-16

A04/12

Division A

Keravnos

27-49

-22

H07/12

Division A

Apoel BC

32-30

A17/12

Division A

Apollon

37-47

-10

H22/12

Division A

Paralimni

29-40

-11

A04/01

Division A

Omonia

40-35

H11/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

32-39

-7

A26/01

Division A

AEK Larnaca

29-47

-18

H29/01

Division A

AEL

19-35

-16

A01/02

Division A

70.8Avg total

30.7Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.4	43.5	75.9	-11.1	13%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.5	43.4	75.9	-10.9	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	43.6	75.9	-11.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.7	40.1	70.8	-9.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	39.2	69.0	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	32.3	43.6	75.9	-11.4	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	33.5	41.5	75.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.1	38.6	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	17.1	39.8	+5.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.7	16.5	38.3	+5.2	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	21.5	38.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.0	21.4	37.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.4	21.1	37.6	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	26.5	48.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.9	40.5	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.8	37.1	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.1	35.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	35.5	77.1	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.0	73.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	37.0	80.3	+6.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	33.4	75.3	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.4	79.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.9	37.9	77.7	+2.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.6	34.4	77.0	+8.2	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	40.4	75.3	-5.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.7	40.8	74.5	-7.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	40.1	76.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	40.7	73.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	40.4	75.0	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	34.3	40.1	74.4	-5.8	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	45.5	88.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apop Paphou wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/20	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	67-96
04/12/19	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	81-56
25/03/18	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	73-118
13/12/17	Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca	62-81
28/10/17	AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou	106-77

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/20	H	ETHA Engomi	75-67
29/01/20	A	Apop Paphou	96-67
26/01/20	H	Omonia	85-58
18/01/20	A	Paralimni	80-50
11/01/20	H	Apollon	94-85
06/01/20	A	Apoel BC	80-56
21/12/19	H	Keravnos	68-70
18/12/19	A	AEL	82-69
04/12/19	H	Apop Paphou	81-56
29/11/19	A	Omonia	85-67

Apop Paphoulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/20	A	AEL	54-63
29/01/20	H	AEK Larnaca	67-96
26/01/20	A	ETHA Engomi	70-81
11/01/20	H	Omonia	60-79
04/01/20	A	Paralimni	71-79
22/12/19	H	Apollon	76-89
17/12/19	A	Apoel BC	63-78
07/12/19	H	Keravnos	57-94
04/12/19	A	AEK Larnaca	56-81
30/11/19	H	ETHA Engomi	60-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	88%	88%	88%
Points / game	83.2	81.4	85.0
Allowed / game	67.1	68.2	65.9
Point differential	+16.1	+13.1	+19.1
Avg total	150.2	149.6	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	50%	88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Apop Paphou

Division A 2019-20

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	6%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	6%	12%	0%
Points / game	63.4	64.6	62.1
Allowed / game	82.2	83.9	80.5
Point differential	-18.8	-19.2	-18.4
Avg total	145.6	148.5	142.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	16	15	1	94%	83.6	66.2	+17.4
2	AEK Larnaca	16	14	2	88%	83.2	67.1	+16.1
3	Apollon	16	11	5	69%	81.8	77.8	+4.0
4	Paralimni	16	9	7	56%	72.6	73.7	-1.1
5	Apoel BC	17	8	9	47%	71.4	73.9	-2.5
6	ETHA Engomi	17	6	11	35%	76.4	80.1	-3.7
7	Omonia	16	5	11	31%	75.5	77.5	-2.0
8	AEL	16	4	12	25%	70.0	79.0	-9.0
9	Apop Paphou	16	1	15	6%	63.4	82.2	-18.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	26	19	25	23	93
Apop Paphou	14	17	17	9	57

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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