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AEK Larnaca vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-56
14-11 30-17 21-15 16-13
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game82.1
CyprusDivision ARound 9
Other2019-20
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou
04 Mar 2024
ALA90
APOP55
21 Mar 2023
ALA92
APOP57
03 Feb 2022
ALA96
APOP40
01 Nov 2020
ALA94
APOP53
05 Feb 2020
ALA93
APOP57
04 Dec 2019
ALA81
APOP56
28 Oct 2017
ALA106
APOP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A04/05
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
111-70
111
70
+41
A12/10
Division A
AEL
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H25/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A03/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H10/11
Division A
Apollon
#3
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H24/11
Division A
Omonia
#6
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A29/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
16-12
34-25
22-29
10-25
15-18
20-19
21-17
24-27
19-21
17-21
26-24
22-17
27-24
37-18
25-11
24-17
21-19
17-19
22-22
11-20
13-20
22-21
18-16
26-16
14-22
20-14
17-15
24-17
22-12
17-17
19-25
24-22
9-8
24-21
30-15
26-20
13-16
26-16
20-15
157.9Avg total
82.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.370.7155.0+13.686%
Season at home (3)82.770.0152.7+12.7100%
Season away (4)85.571.2156.8+14.275%
Last 10 (10)82.375.6157.9+6.760%
Last 5 (5)79.069.6148.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.283.2160.5-6.025%
vs Similar (6)73.077.2150.2-4.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.568.5153.1+16.095%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H03/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A18/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
73-118
73
118
-45
H25/03
Division A
AEL
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H13/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
52-94
52
94
-42
A19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-85
60
85
-25
H27/10
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A01/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
59-87
59
87
-28
H11/11
Division A
Omonia
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A16/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H30/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
13-18
23-17
19-16
15-21
22-22
20-29
19-20
9-30
17-28
18-25
29-35
22-22
23-16
17-15
16-20
11-30
17-27
7-15
17-22
14-21
19-22
15-25
12-17
9-24
20-16
16-22
10-19
16-25
20-20
12-28
11-14
16-13
27-22
9-29
24-23
14-17
20-18
12-18
14-15
151.0Avg total
65.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)62.982.1145.0-19.314%
Season at home (4)64.278.2142.5-14.025%
Season away (3)61.087.3148.3-26.30%
Last 10 (10)65.485.6151.0-20.210%
Last 5 (5)62.081.6143.6-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.984.7153.6-15.918%
vs Similar (3)71.080.7151.7-9.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
AEK LarnacaApop Paphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A12/10
Division A
AEL
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H25/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A03/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/11
Division A
Apollon
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A15/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/11
Division A
Omonia
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A29/11
Division A
74.5Avg total
36.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.276.1+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.433.573.9+6.988%-
Last 30 away (13)41.537.578.9+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.674.5-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.671.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.238.281.5+5.075%-
vs Similar (6)32.338.771.0-6.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.033.676.6+9.495%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H03/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-58
26
58
-32
H25/03
Division A
AEL
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H13/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/10
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A01/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Division A
Omonia
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
Division A
76.6Avg total
33.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)33.745.078.7-11.48%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.243.576.8-10.38%-
Last 30 away (12)34.246.780.8-12.58%-
Last 10 (10)33.443.276.6-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.674.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.045.679.5-11.69%-
vs Similar (3)31.741.072.7-9.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Apop Paphou wins
DateGameScore
25/03/18Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca73-118
13/12/17Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca62-81
28/10/17AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou106-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/19AOmonia85-67
24/11/19HParalimni87-66
15/11/19AApollon82-71
10/11/19HApoel BC77-67
03/11/19AKeravnos64-77
25/10/19HAEL84-77
12/10/19AETHA Engomi111-70
04/05/19AKeravnos86-93
01/05/19HKeravnos66-79
23/04/19AKeravnos81-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/19HETHA Engomi60-68
16/11/19AOmonia76-87
11/11/19HParalimni59-87
01/11/19AApollon55-81
27/10/19HApoel BC60-85
19/10/19AKeravnos52-94
13/10/19HAEL78-73
25/03/18HAEK Larnaca73-118
18/03/18AApollon76-92
03/03/18HApoel BC65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.382.785.5
Allowed / game70.770.071.2
Point differential+13.6+12.7+14.2
Avg total155.0152.7156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apop Paphou
Division A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game62.964.261.0
Allowed / game82.178.287.3
Point differential-19.3-14.0-26.3
Avg total145.0142.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos770100%89.669.0+20.6
2 AEK Larnaca76186%84.370.7+13.6
3 Apollon75271%82.676.7+5.9
4 Paralimni74357%75.373.1+2.1
5 Apoel BC73443%71.073.9-2.9
6 ETHA Engomi83538%76.681.6-5.0
7 AEL72529%73.080.4-7.4
8 Omonia71614%77.384.1-6.9
9 Apop Paphou71614%62.982.1-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1430211681
Apop Paphou1117151356
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