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Appalachian State vs Gardner Webb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-59
29-31 51-28
Position#14
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#195
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gardner Webb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#563
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-81 OT
71
81
-10
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
111-35
111
35
+76
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-21
43-28
36-48
42-43
32-43
31-20
33-34
53-22
33-28
34-29
44-24
34-34
42-22
30-39
33-31
36-33
59-19
52-16
45-38
48-43
144.5Avg total
81.2Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.263.3144.5+17.980%
Season at home (5)83.453.4136.8+30.0100%
Season away (5)79.073.2152.2+5.860%
Last 10 (10)81.263.3144.5+17.980%
Last 5 (5)84.659.8144.4+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.867.5127.2-7.825%
vs Similar (9)64.464.9129.3-0.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)73.465.4138.8+7.975%
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gardner WebbUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
A19/11
NCAA
Limestone College
#572
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H25/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H07/12
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-48
32-38
34-40
28-37
27-34
35-27
20-26
32-33
23-36
44-31
42-19
50-32
42-42
38-41
30-37
52-40
29-26
37-55
40-34
39-26
141.9Avg total
71.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.769.5143.2+4.345%
Season at home (6)79.864.7144.5+15.283%
Season away (5)66.475.2141.6-8.80%
Last 10 (10)71.370.6141.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.870.4150.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)65.669.0134.6-3.440%
vs Similar (11)65.571.2136.7-5.618%
vs Weaker (13)76.366.3142.6+10.077%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
Appalachian StateGardner Webb
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#563
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
59-19
59
19
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
40.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.629.764.3+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.826.761.5+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)34.432.767.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.130.870.9+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.626.871.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.530.057.5-2.525%-
vs Similar (9)30.930.961.8+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.929.766.6+7.288%-
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gardner WebbLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H17/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Limestone College
#572
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H07/12
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H12/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.964.8+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.565.2+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.364.4-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.266.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)26.834.661.4-7.80%-
vs Similar (11)31.131.562.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker (13)36.032.268.2+3.862%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Appalachian State wins
0
Gardner Webb wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23AQueens Royals93-81
06/12/23HCentral Penn111-35
03/12/23HAuburn69-64
29/11/23HEast Tennessee St72-61
26/11/23HAustin Peay78-58
22/11/23AMurray State67-57
21/11/23ANC Wilmington86-56
15/11/23AOregon State71-81 OT
11/11/23ANorthern Illinois78-91
07/11/23HOakland City87-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HNorth Greenville79-60
07/12/23HWofford66-81
03/12/23HWestern Carolina82-77
30/11/23AQueens Royals80-83
25/11/23HLimestone College92-51
19/11/23AYale70-71 OT
18/11/23AColgate52-59
17/11/23HWeber State62-61
12/11/23ABaylor62-77
11/11/23AArkansas68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game81.283.479.0
Allowed / game63.353.473.2
Point differential+17.9+30.0+5.8
Avg total144.5136.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
Gardner Webb
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%83%0%
Points / game73.779.866.4
Allowed / game69.564.775.2
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total143.2144.5141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison10100100%93.574.8+18.7
2 Appalachian State108280%81.263.3+17.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette106460%78.571.4+7.1
4 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
5 Troy105550%85.869.9+15.9
6 Southern Miss105550%68.667.2+1.4
7 Texas State105550%69.368.5+0.8
8 Georgia State94544%76.974.4+2.4
9 Louisiana Monroe94544%71.973.1-1.2
10 Arkansas State114736%74.678.3-3.6
11 Coastal Carolina93633%80.478.3+2.1
12 Old Dominion93633%69.474.4-5.0
13 Marshall103730%75.180.8-5.7
14 Georgia Southern110110%67.781.5-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Longwood1211192%80.861.2+19.7
2 High Point118373%89.173.2+15.9
3 Winthrop118373%80.867.5+13.4
4 Radford139469%75.367.0+8.3
5 Presbyterian128467%80.869.7+11.1
6 UNC Asheville115645%82.475.0+7.4
7 Gardner Webb115645%73.769.5+4.3
8 USC Upstate104640%73.170.9+2.2
9 Charleston Southern93633%70.073.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State295180
Gardner Webb312859
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