PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 57-67
28-33 29-34
Position#296
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#14
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
36-40
27-24
47-34
34-46
35-38
33-32
32-33
38-25
40-25
31-33
31-41
54-33
37-25
36-26
42-46
34-43
47-43
37-35
35-37
148.3Avg total
76.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.874.8157.5+8.050%
Season at home (3)83.372.0155.3+11.367%
Season away (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)76.771.6148.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)78.674.6153.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.578.7146.2-11.223%
vs Similar (12)71.770.8142.4+0.967%
vs Weaker (5)77.861.8139.6+16.0100%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-81 OT
71
81
-10
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
31-34
33-31
49-44
35-32
28-42
42-25
36-27
29-29
35-44
37-34
24-34
44-21
43-28
36-48
42-43
32-43
31-20
33-34
53-22
142.0Avg total
72.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.569.2149.8+11.250%
Season at home (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season away (3)78.376.0154.3+2.333%
Last 10 (10)72.769.3142.0+3.440%
Last 5 (5)76.669.0145.6+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.067.0127.0-7.020%
vs Similar (10)63.965.8129.7-1.920%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.162.3138.4+13.773%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
Murray StateAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
36.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.967.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.533.268.7+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)30.634.765.3-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.269.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.436.969.3-4.523%-
vs Similar (12)32.533.766.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)37.026.663.6+10.480%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.963.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.027.060.0+6.071%-
Last 30 away (16)34.332.566.8+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.768.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.072.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.830.456.2-4.620%-
vs Similar (10)32.430.963.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.229.166.3+8.180%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23ANC Wilmington81-83 OT
15/11/23HWestern Kentucky81-86
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
07/11/23HMidway91-58
04/03/23ADrake62-74
03/03/23HValparaiso78-50
26/02/23HValparaiso77-76 OT
22/02/23AMissouri State69-84
18/02/23HEvansville74-58
16/02/23AIllinois State76-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23ANC Wilmington86-56
15/11/23AOregon State71-81 OT
11/11/23ANorthern Illinois78-91
07/11/23HOakland City87-49
02/03/23ASouth Alabama61-68
25/02/23AGeorgia Southern64-73
23/02/23AGeorgia State78-52
18/02/23HOld Dominion63-74
16/02/23HTexas State82-75
11/02/23ASouth Alabama57-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game82.883.381.0
Allowed / game74.872.083.0
Point differential+8.0+11.3-2.0
Avg total157.5155.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game80.587.078.3
Allowed / game69.249.076.0
Point differential+11.2+38.0+2.3
Avg total149.8136.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville440100%84.554.2+30.2
2 Bradley440100%77.869.2+8.5
3 Drake54180%80.873.0+7.8
4 Southern Illinois43175%81.565.5+16.0
5 Indiana State43175%92.276.8+15.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)43175%78.863.8+15.0
7 Illinois State53260%69.664.6+5.0
8 Valparaiso53260%71.467.8+3.6
9 Murray State42250%82.874.8+8.0
10 Belmont42250%81.586.2-4.8
11 Northern Iowa31233%77.369.0+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison550100%91.483.8+7.6
2 Louisiana Lafayette53260%82.071.2+10.8
3 South Alabama74357%75.679.1-3.6
4 Appalachian State42250%80.569.2+11.2
5 Georgia State42250%79.076.5+2.5
6 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
7 Troy52340%87.870.0+17.8
8 Southern Miss52340%65.260.0+5.2
9 Marshall52340%72.473.8-1.4
10 Texas State52340%63.070.0-7.0
11 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern6060%70.385.0-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State282957
Appalachian State333467
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.