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Arabe Valparaiso vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-81
18-23 19-24 20-17 27-17
Position#10
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game71.3
Arabe Valparaiso 🏆
Chile
vs
Sergio Ceppi
Chile
Position#6
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game69.3
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi
11 May 2024
ARAB84
SERG81
06 Aug 2023
ARAB68
SERG72
05 Aug 2023
ARAB70
SERG71
23 Jul 2023
ARAB66
SERG69
29 Oct 2022
ARAB56
SERG71
11 Jun 2022
ARAB64
SERG58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
68-55
68
55
+13
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 67
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 67
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
73-51
73
51
+22
74avg 67
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 67
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 67
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
40avg 67
H27/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-11
11-20
22-7
13-17
17-16
12-20
14-22
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
12-13
10-24
19-17
27-18
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
18-5
18-14
22-14
15-18
18-18
18-13
20-23
24-22
24-25
23-13
4-26
25-15
9-24
14-16
15-23
13-20
140.0Avg total
69.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.871.3144.2+1.567%
Season at home (4)71.575.8147.2-4.250%
Season away (2)75.562.5138.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.970.1140.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)71.870.8142.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)58.376.3134.7-18.017%
vs Similar (11)66.470.4136.7-4.036%
vs Weaker (7)74.660.3134.9+14.386%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
H20/08
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 73
H30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
70-43
70
43
+27
67avg 73
H31/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 73
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-67
56
67
-11
45avg 73
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 73
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
102avg 73
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 73
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
53-74
53
74
-21
31avg 73
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 73
H05/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
21-23
25-22
27-20
15-17
23-10
13-17
21-20
14-16
19-14
15-6
22-7
20-24
19-22
15-14
24-16
13-23
15-17
21-5
7-22
18-17
26-18
21-20
20-18
29-20
12-18
6-16
29-22
27-8
20-12
16-18
28-20
10-13
15-11
11-23
17-27
27-13
18-21
20-22
17-17
149.3Avg total
77.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.669.3145.9+7.278%
Season at home (5)80.062.2142.2+17.8100%
Season away (4)72.278.2150.5-6.050%
Last 10 (10)77.471.9149.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)82.674.8157.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.187.2159.4-15.125%
vs Similar (15)70.765.2135.9+5.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)69.669.0138.6+0.657%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
Arabe ValparaisoSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H27/04
LNB 2
66.6Avg total
33.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.433.664.9-2.253%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.033.965.9-1.955%-
Last 30 away (8)30.533.163.6-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.066.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.669.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.934.964.8-5.050%-
vs Similar (8)31.931.863.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H20/08
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/05
LNB 2
72.0Avg total
37.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)35.436.071.4-0.660%-
Last 30 at home (9)36.934.271.1+2.767%-
Last 30 away (11)34.237.571.6-3.355%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.772.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.270.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.550.285.7-14.717%-
vs Similar (10)36.430.166.5+6.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.829.562.2+3.275%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.2%
44.9%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.8%
28.7%20.5
🏀 Free throws19.712.3
62.7%
63.6%12.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.024.0
50.0%
44.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.2
28.1%
28.7%15.7
🏀 Free throws20.713.0
62.9%
63.6%13.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 11 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LLWWWWLLLW
Sergio Ceppi
WLWWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#6
+1.8
Net rating
+9.2
89.4
Offensive rating
90.5
87.5
Defensive rating
81.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.8%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
39.2%
26.8%
Turnover %
23.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
28.1%
58.1%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 90.5Defence87.5 · 81.3Shooting50.0% · 47.8%3-point %30.8% · 28.1%Ball care26.8% · 23.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arabe Valparaiso wins
7
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateGameScore
06/08/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-56
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso55-68
23/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi66-69
28/05/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso85-76
29/10/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi56-71
25/09/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso67-53
31/07/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-106
11/06/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi64-58
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HColo Colo51-83
20/04/24HBoston C. C.76-79
13/04/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-76
07/04/24ABrisas73-51
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
06/08/23HSergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi56-75
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi68-55
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol82-73
28/04/24ALuis Matte Larrain53-74
21/04/24HBrisas91-58
14/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe102-96 OT
13/04/24HTruenos De Talca85-73
06/04/24AStadio Italiano56-67
04/04/24ABoston C. C.78-76
31/03/24HMunicipal Chillan70-43
30/03/24HAleman72-64
20/08/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game72.871.575.5
Allowed / game71.375.862.5
Point differential+1.5-4.2+13.0
Avg total144.2147.2138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game76.680.072.2
Allowed / game69.362.278.2
Point differential+7.2+17.8-6.0
Avg total145.9142.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo990100%81.263.6+17.7
2 Sergio Ceppi97278%76.669.3+7.2
3 Stadio Italiano96367%66.763.3+3.3
4 Arabe Valparaiso64267%72.871.3+1.5
5 Aleman85362%73.068.5+4.5
6 Quilpue Basquetbol84450%67.567.5+0.0
7 Luis Matte Larrain84450%68.070.1-2.1
8 Truenos De Talca94544%73.872.0+1.8
9 Boston C. C.94544%66.768.8-2.1
10 Municipal Chillan93633%64.472.6-8.1
11 Brisas8080%65.676.0-10.4
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe8080%69.484.8-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso1819202784
Sergio Ceppi2324171781
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