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Aris vs Iraklis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 78-76
22-21 23-19 22-17 11-19
Position#5
Record5-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game81.6
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v Iraklis
03 Jan 2027
ARI v IRA
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
ARI78
IRA76
14 Nov 2021
ARI83
IRA78
10 Nov 2020
ARI81
IRA75
11 Jan 2020
ARI69
IRA63
18 Dec 2010
ARI94
IRA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
96avg 73
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
88-98
88
98
-10
75avg 73
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 73
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 73
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
92-89
92
89
+3
85avg 73
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
71avg 73
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 73
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
60-89
60
89
-29
43avg 73
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 73
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
83avg 73
A06/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-15
26-18
23-25
21-17
20-21
17-22
30-38
33-22
23-21
14-20
20-23
21-16
18-21
17-18
26-25
23-27
24-12
17-26
28-24
16-20
23-15
19-15
13-21
18-18
18-19
24-25
16-20
15-19
16-25
11-22
18-23
21-25
22-20
20-28
21-22
18-35
20-28
28-24
33-26
173.6Avg total
84.8Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.881.6163.4+0.242%
Season at home (6)79.577.2156.7+2.350%
Season away (6)84.286.0170.2-1.833%
Last 10 (10)84.888.8173.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)80.091.0171.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.291.0172.2-9.823%
vs Similar (7)83.483.4166.9+0.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.680.9167.5+5.770%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
85avg 76
H16/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 76
A23/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
108-80
108
80
+28
114avg 76
A03/12
ENBL
AS Karditsas
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 76
A06/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 76
H13/12
Basket League
Dubrava
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
53avg 76
A17/12
ENBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A20/12
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
82avg 76
H27/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
73avg 76
H03/01
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 76
H07/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-21
27-14
13-13
23-20
20-26
25-17
24-24
30-10
25-25
30-22
23-23
18-22
19-11
25-14
25-33
16-21
21-18
18-17
25-26
16-11
21-19
18-14
12-28
26-27
26-24
15-24
15-22
20-12
28-10
19-20
13-24
21-11
23-14
16-19
13-15
18-26
19-14
20-16
30-19
161.1Avg total
84.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.180.8161.9+0.250%
Season at home (7)77.674.1151.7+3.457%
Season away (5)86.090.2176.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)84.276.9161.1+7.370%
Last 5 (5)77.873.8151.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.087.2168.2-6.217%
vs Similar (11)80.171.2151.3+8.982%
vs Weaker (13)74.266.8141.1+7.477%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
ArisIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/01
Eurocup
83.5Avg total
41.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.482.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.879.6+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.486.8-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.883.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.882.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.145.289.3-1.238%-
vs Similar (7)39.737.777.4+2.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.436.178.5+6.390%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A23/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A03/12
ENBL
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/12
Basket League
Dubrava
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A17/12
ENBL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H27/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H03/01
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
ENBL
80.1Avg total
43.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.475.1+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.433.972.4+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)41.337.078.3+4.379%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.580.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.677.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.544.885.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.135.075.1+5.164%-
vs Weaker (13)39.231.370.5+7.8100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.4
47.7%
54.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.5
80.6%
74.4%17.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.9
55.6%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.918.7
75.1%
74.4%18.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLWWWWLW
Iraklis
WWWLLLWWWW
#5
League position
#8
-4.7
Net rating
+10.1
109.2
Offensive rating
112.2
113.8
Defensive rating
102.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.8%
3-point %
32.1%
60.1%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 112.2Defence113.8 · 102.1Shooting51.3% · 52.7%3-point %37.8% · 32.1%Ball care17.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 36.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aris wins
2
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Iraklis v Aris80-82
02/04/22Iraklis v Aris91-86
14/11/21Aris v Iraklis83-78 OT
10/03/21Iraklis v Aris54-76
10/11/20Aris v Iraklis81-75
11/01/20Aris v Iraklis69-63
05/10/19Iraklis v Aris82-66
26/03/11Iraklis v Aris70-86
18/12/10Aris v Iraklis94-85
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AManresa99-113
04/01/26HOlympiacos84-95
30/12/25HCedevita Olimpija60-89
27/12/25AAEK Athens76-82
20/12/25HPeristeri81-76 OT
17/12/25AHamburg92-89
13/12/25AIraklis82-80
10/12/25HVenezia90-86
04/12/25HCluj-Napoca88-98
22/11/25HPromitheas96-80
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HDziki Warszawa87-75
03/01/26HPeristeri73-59
27/12/25HPanionios80-66
20/12/25APanathinaikos82-97
17/12/25ADubrava67-72
13/12/25HAris80-82
06/12/25AAS Karditsas87-80
03/12/25ANewcastle Eagles108-80
23/11/25AMaroussi92-87
16/11/25HKolossos Rhodes86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game81.879.584.2
Allowed / game81.677.286.0
Point differential+0.2+2.3-1.8
Avg total163.4156.7170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game81.177.686.0
Allowed / game80.874.190.2
Point differential+0.2+3.4-4.2
Avg total161.9151.7176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos12120100%95.678.1+17.5
2 Panathinaikos1211192%92.375.8+16.6
3 PAOK129375%84.881.3+3.4
4 AEK Athens128467%82.879.9+2.8
5 Iraklis126650%81.180.8+0.2
6 Promitheas126650%85.185.2-0.2
7 Mykonos126650%79.181.9-2.8
8 Aris125742%81.881.6+0.2
9 Peristeri125742%75.981.2-5.3
10 AS Karditsas124833%80.584.5-4.0
11 Kolossos Rhodes123925%77.483.6-6.2
12 Maroussi1221017%85.893.1-7.2
13 Panionios121118%77.392.4-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2223221178
Iraklis2119171976
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