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Aris vs Iraklis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record3-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Aris v Iraklis
03 Jan 2027
ARI v IRA
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
ARI78
IRA76
14 Nov 2021
ARI83
IRA78
10 Nov 2020
ARI81
IRA75
11 Jan 2020
ARI69
IRA63
18 Dec 2010
ARI94
IRA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 83
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 83
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 83
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 83
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 83
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 83
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 74
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 74
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 74
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 74
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 74
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 74
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#13
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
103-73
103
73
+30
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
99-92
99
92
+7
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
21-23
27-11
14-11
19-19
24-16
25-10
29-19
17-19
29-17
18-18
31-18
25-20
26-23
24-24
33-25
16-20
162.6Avg total
86.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.176.4156.6+3.743%
Season at home (4)71.864.5136.2+7.250%
Season away (3)91.392.3183.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)86.376.3162.6+10.060%
Last 5 (5)86.271.2157.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.780.6152.3-8.914%
vs Similar (12)81.485.2166.6-3.825%
vs Weaker (11)93.178.5171.5+14.673%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
ArisIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#13
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/11
Basket League
77.6Avg total
40.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.982.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.877.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.544.688.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.777.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.280.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.943.080.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (12)38.243.081.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker (11)47.237.484.5+9.891%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
71.8%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
Iraklis
WWWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#7
+16.5
Net rating
-2.2
96.8
Offensive rating
88.3
80.3
Defensive rating
90.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
30.7%
71.6%
Assist %
59.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 88.3Defence80.3 · 90.5Shooting52.7% · 50.2%3-point %36.6% · 30.7%Ball care15.6% · 17.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aris wins
2
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Aris v Iraklis78-76
13/12/25Iraklis v Aris80-82
02/04/22Iraklis v Aris91-86
14/11/21Aris v Iraklis83-78 OT
10/03/21Iraklis v Aris54-76
10/11/20Aris v Iraklis81-75
11/01/20Aris v Iraklis69-63
05/10/19Iraklis v Aris82-66
26/03/11Iraklis v Aris70-86
18/12/10Aris v Iraklis94-85
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APromitheas99-92
11/11/26HMZT Skopje103-73
07/11/26HMykonos95-64
04/11/26HAEK Larnaca81-64
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game80.171.891.3
Allowed / game76.464.592.3
Point differential+3.7+7.2-1.0
Avg total156.6136.2183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %29%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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