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Aris vs Vikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game87.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 9· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 81
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 81
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 81
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 81
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
162.0Avg total
88.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)88.173.9162.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)85.679.4165.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.975.2164.1+13.894%
This opponent (Vikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A14/04
A2
Lavrio
#8
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
H19/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H01/05
A2
Papagou
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A03/05
A2
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-103
74
103
-29
64avg 69
A04/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 69
A10/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 69
H18/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
64avg 69
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 69
H31/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
20-15
22-18
29-19
14-23
20-20
24-16
20-18
25-13
17-26
21-22
31-26
23-16
21-18
15-18
28-20
20-32
17-23
11-24
26-24
16-18
20-21
19-20
19-26
23-21
13-18
15-25
17-15
20-24
16-16
16-25
18-15
20-16
26-27
25-17
24-24
15-30
18-24
11-20
23-19
162.8Avg total
79.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.787.3162.0-12.717%
Season at home (2)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
Season away (4)71.290.2161.5-19.00%
Last 10 (10)79.483.4162.8-4.050%
Last 5 (5)74.884.2159.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.787.3162.0-12.717%
vs Similar (4)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (20)81.072.6153.6+8.470%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
ArisVikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
80.8Avg total
45.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.684.9+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.479.8+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)45.043.888.8+1.235%-
Last 10 (10)45.934.980.8+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.438.283.5+7.259%-
This opponent (Vikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/04
A2
Lavrio
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/05
A2
Papagou
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/05
A2
Panathinaikos
#3
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A04/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H31/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A07/11
Basket League
80.3Avg total
38.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.779.3-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.179.9-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.378.7+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.380.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.345.082.3-7.717%-
vs Similar (4)37.840.278.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (20)40.638.078.6+2.755%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vikos: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
50.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.8
37.3%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
71.8%12.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLWWWWWWWW
Vikos
LWLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#13
+16.5
Net rating
-12.0
96.8
Offensive rating
89.7
80.3
Defensive rating
101.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.6%
3-point %
37.3%
71.6%
Assist %
59.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 89.7Defence80.3 · 101.7Shooting52.7% · 50.5%3-point %36.6% · 37.3%Ball care15.6% · 16.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Aris   ■ Vikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Vikos wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
Vikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APAOK67-93
31/10/26HAEK Athens95-84
25/10/26AKolossos Rhodes70-80
18/10/26HOlympiacos68-79
10/10/26AAS Karditsas74-85
04/10/26APanathinaikos74-103
03/05/26APapagou87-72
01/05/26HProteas Voulas94-87
19/04/26HLavrio78-77
14/04/26ALavrio87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game74.781.571.2
Allowed / game87.381.590.2
Point differential-12.7+0.0-19.0
Avg total162.0163.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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