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Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 88-58
23-10 19-11 22-14 24-23
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game74.0
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game70.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 78
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 78
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 78
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 78
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 78
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 78
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
97avg 78
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 78
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 78
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 78
H07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
164.7Avg total
82.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.682.1164.7+0.540%
Last 5 (5)87.482.2169.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.296.5180.8-12.212%
vs Similar (9)82.781.8164.4+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.579.9168.4+8.592%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 81
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 81
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 81
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 81
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 81
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 81
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 81
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 81
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 81
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 81
H07/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
172.2Avg total
84.9Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.070.0161.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)91.070.0161.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.987.3172.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)86.690.2176.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.090.7170.7-10.733%
vs Similar (13)83.382.0165.3+1.362%
vs Weaker (11)89.875.9165.7+13.9100%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
83.6Avg total
41.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.439.081.4+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)42.845.888.5-3.024%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.783.6+0.220%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.286.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.546.886.2-7.212%-
vs Similar (9)42.242.985.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.840.485.2+4.454%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
82.7Avg total
42.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.341.984.2+0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)42.240.682.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.882.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.885.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.042.783.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (13)40.941.882.7-0.846%-
vs Weaker (11)44.640.284.8+4.555%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.1
50.6%
50.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.7
76.6%
71.8%16.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.7
37.7%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
71.8%16.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLWLWLWLLL
AEK Athens
WWLLWLWLWL
#4
League position
#10
+0.9
Net rating
-3.2
93.0
Offensive rating
99.5
92.1
Defensive rating
102.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.9%
3-point %
37.7%
69.6%
Assist %
71.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 99.5Defence92.1 · 102.7Shooting50.7% · 55.3%3-point %33.9% · 37.7%Ball care16.6% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
25/05/26AEK Athens v Aris102-99
17/05/26Aris v AEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AEK Athens v Aris87-81
04/04/26Aris v AEK Athens82-78
27/12/25AEK Athens v Aris82-76
28/12/24AEK Athens v Aris102-89
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%103.074.0+29.0
2 AEK Athens110100%91.070.0+21.0
3 Kolossos Rhodes110100%91.075.0+16.0
4 Olympiacos110100%78.068.0+10.0
5 AS Karditsas220100%79.571.0+8.5
6 PAOK220100%87.079.0+8.0
7 Peristeri220100%92.588.5+4.0
8 Mykonos21150%83.583.5+0.0
9 Aris1010%68.074.0-6.0
10 Iraklis2020%78.584.5-6.0
11 Promitheas1010%88.094.0-6.0
12 Maroussi2020%74.586.5-12.0
13 Lefkadas2020%74.088.5-14.5
14 Vikos2020%74.094.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2319222488
AEK Athens1011142358
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