PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aris vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-68
31-21 14-23 17-11 26-13
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game77.0
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 79
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 79
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 79
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 79
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
97avg 79
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 79
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 79
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 79
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#8
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
162.8Avg total
83.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.077.0167.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.779.1162.8+4.650%
Last 5 (5)87.077.6164.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.296.5180.8-12.212%
vs Similar (9)82.781.8164.4+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.978.2167.2+10.792%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 79
A17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
67avg 79
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 79
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 79
H24/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 79
A26/05
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 79
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#18
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 79
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
70-108
70
108
-38
52avg 79
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
86avg 79
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-29
15-14
27-24
21-18
20-20
11-26
23-23
20-15
23-16
15-23
24-17
23-17
15-16
25-15
26-23
23-23
17-25
26-20
17-21
30-24
22-24
24-27
25-18
21-31
25-19
16-13
22-23
23-25
21-31
15-24
11-28
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
171.1Avg total
84.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.584.5171.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)84.187.0171.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)86.092.6178.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.291.2171.3-11.017%
vs Similar (14)83.681.3164.9+2.457%
vs Weaker (10)90.986.3177.2+4.670%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
ArisTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#8
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
80.6Avg total
41.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.385.0+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.780.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)43.046.389.3-3.319%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.980.6+2.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.678.6+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.546.886.2-7.212%-
vs Similar (9)42.242.985.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.039.284.2+5.854%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/05
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
88.4Avg total
43.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.784.7+1.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.782.1+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.844.287.0-1.556%-
Last 10 (10)43.844.688.4-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.249.096.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.346.789.0-4.350%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.582.2+1.264%-
vs Weaker (10)45.340.385.6+5.080%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.4
51.0%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.717.5
77.1%
75.6%17.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.0
51.7%
54.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.2
38.2%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
75.6%14.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWLWLWLL
Tortona
LWLLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#16
+5.5
Net rating
-3.4
94.4
Offensive rating
98.1
88.9
Defensive rating
101.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.4%
3-point %
38.2%
72.0%
Assist %
54.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 98.1Defence88.9 · 101.5Shooting50.6% · 53.8%3-point %33.4% · 38.2%Ball care16.0% · 13.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
04/10/26ABC Roma70-108
30/09/26ARigas Zelli84-86
27/09/26HVerona101-93
26/05/26AVenezia83-89
24/05/26HVenezia89-71
22/05/26HVenezia82-71
19/05/26AVenezia75-87
17/05/26AVenezia82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.093.087.0
Allowed / game77.080.074.0
Point differential+13.0+13.0+13.0
Avg total167.0173.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.589.084.0
Allowed / game84.583.086.0
Point differential+2.0+6.0-2.0
Avg total171.0172.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%97.375.3+22.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Aris220100%90.077.0+13.0
4 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
5 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
6 Rigas Zelli32167%87.083.3+3.7
7 Ulm32167%96.392.7+3.7
8 PAOK32167%84.781.7+3.0
9 Lietkabelis32167%85.783.3+2.3
10 Chemnitz32167%83.382.0+1.3
11 BC Roma32167%82.383.3-1.0
12 Cluj-Napoca32167%82.085.3-3.3
13 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
14 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
15 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
16 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
17 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
18 Tortona21150%86.584.5+2.0
19 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
20 San Pablo Burgos21150%82.587.0-4.5
21 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
22 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
23 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
24 Neptunas31233%83.386.0-2.7
25 Manresa31233%89.094.0-5.0
26 Trento31233%79.085.0-6.0
27 Siauliai31233%73.381.0-7.7
28 KK Bosna3030%79.084.0-5.0
29 JL Bourg3030%82.388.7-6.3
30 Cedevita Olimpija3030%74.783.0-8.3
31 Le Mans2020%78.588.0-9.5
32 Balkan3030%72.092.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris3114172688
Tortona2123111368
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.