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Aris vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-80
28-14 25-16 16-25 24-25
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game74.0
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#30
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 78
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 78
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 78
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 78
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 78
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 78
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
97avg 78
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 78
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 78
A03/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
163.4Avg total
81.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.581.9163.4-0.440%
Last 5 (5)85.083.6168.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.995.3180.2-10.422%
vs Similar (9)82.781.8164.4+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.179.9168.0+8.292%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
101-94
101
94
+7
91avg 80
A26/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 80
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
58avg 80
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
97-90
97
90
+7
91avg 80
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
70avg 80
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 80
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
110-105
110
105
+5
108avg 80
H29/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
86avg 80
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
85-81
85
81
+4
81avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
84avg 80
A04/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
24-21
35-23
19-22
22-24
25-31
26-22
26-14
15-29
20-26
22-18
19-18
27-22
28-24
24-25
18-19
27-14
14-27
22-23
22-19
23-26
18-19
14-21
24-20
20-33
31-23
27-21
32-28
24-30
21-19
30-16
22-33
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
182.3Avg total
92.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.390.0182.3+2.370%
Last 5 (5)93.090.2183.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.891.9176.7-7.217%
vs Similar (13)93.193.0186.1+0.154%
vs Weaker (5)96.488.0184.4+8.480%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
ArisSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
83.6Avg total
41.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.386.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.640.082.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (17)42.845.888.5-3.024%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.346.387.7-5.022%-
vs Similar (9)42.242.985.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.141.285.3+2.850%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H29/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#17
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
92.3Avg total
44.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.646.189.7-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.546.191.6-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)41.446.287.6-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)44.447.992.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.690.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.246.788.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (13)43.546.289.7-2.631%-
vs Weaker (5)47.044.891.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.3
75.7%
75.6%15.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.124.2
53.7%
54.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
75.6%15.4
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLWLWLLLW
San Pablo Burgos
WWLWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#30
-0.1
Net rating
+2.5
93.4
Offensive rating
101.1
93.5
Defensive rating
98.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
37.7%
67.4%
Assist %
50.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 101.1Defence93.5 · 98.6Shooting51.0% · 54.7%3-point %34.9% · 37.7%Ball care16.2% · 14.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
San Pablo Burgos wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
27/09/26HBaskonia97-98
29/05/26HGranada110-105
24/05/26AJoventut Badalona79-86
17/05/26AMoraBanc Andorra85-83
14/05/26HUnicaja97-90
09/05/26ABarcelona76-91
02/05/26HForca Lleida99-91
26/04/26AManresa101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
San Pablo Burgos
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%96.069.0+27.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Ulm110100%98.084.0+14.0
4 Aris110100%87.074.0+13.0
5 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
6 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
7 PAOK220100%84.075.0+9.0
8 San Pablo Burgos110100%85.081.0+4.0
9 Lietkabelis110100%75.072.0+3.0
10 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
11 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
12 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
13 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
14 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
15 Rigas Zelli21150%86.085.5+0.5
16 Siauliai21150%72.575.0-2.5
17 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
18 Trento21150%78.583.5-5.0
19 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
20 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
21 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
22 Cluj-Napoca21150%76.590.5-14.0
23 Tortona1010%84.086.0-2.0
24 KK Bosna2020%72.075.0-3.0
25 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
26 Cedevita Olimpija2020%72.580.0-7.5
27 JL Bourg2020%79.086.5-7.5
28 BC Roma1010%78.091.0-13.0
29 Chemnitz1010%69.082.0-13.0
30 Le Mans1010%74.087.0-13.0
31 Manresa1010%78.093.0-15.0
32 Balkan2020%72.099.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2825162493
San Pablo Burgos1416252580
← all games of the day
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