PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Arizona State faces Oakland in the NCAA on 18 November 2026, with the model rating Arizona State as the clear favourite at 90% versus 10% for Oakland, a reflection of the Sun Devils' perfect 3-0 record, 83.3 points per game and 63.7 allowed, and their league position of 64, compared with the Golden Grizzlies' 0-5 record, 69.0 points per game and 95.0 allowed, ranked 399; Arizona State has won all three of its home games, scoring 83.3 points per game and allowing 63.7, while Oakland has lost all five of its road contests, scoring 69.0 and conceding 95.0; the Sun Devils' last five games include a 90-63 victory over Northern Colorado, a 85-63 win over Hofstra, and a 75-65 win over East Tennessee St, whereas Oakland's recent road results feature losses to Boise State 79-111, Alabama 68-109 and UC Santa Barbara 67-90; the projected score is 86-71, with a total of 156.4 points and a 2% chance of overtime, underscoring Arizona State's dominance as the model's favourite.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 85.5 | 63.2 | 148.8 | +22.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 85.5 | 63.2 | 148.8 | +22.2 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 75.3 | 71.9 | 147.2 | +3.4 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.8 | 68.8 | 145.6 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 73.5 | 81.8 | 155.2 | -8.3 | 35% |
| vs Similar (10) | 78.8 | 73.3 | 152.1 | +5.5 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 84.0 | 63.3 | 147.3 | +20.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 69.0 | 95.0 | 164.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (5) | 69.0 | 95.0 | 164.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.3 | 87.2 | 162.5 | -11.9 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 95.0 | 164.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 74.4 | 86.0 | 160.4 | -11.6 | 21% |
| vs Similar (10) | 87.5 | 82.8 | 170.3 | +4.7 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 83.3 | 78.3 | 161.7 | +5.0 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.5 | 35.7 | 73.3 | +1.8 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 39.9 | 32.6 | 72.5 | +7.3 | 78% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.0 | 40.4 | 74.4 | -6.4 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.8 | 30.5 | 68.3 | +7.3 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 31.2 | 69.0 | +6.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 36.2 | 38.0 | 74.2 | -1.8 | 59% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 38.6 | 34.1 | 72.7 | +4.5 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 41.7 | 28.3 | 70.0 | +13.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.7 | 40.7 | 79.4 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 39.7 | 40.6 | 80.2 | -0.9 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 38.1 | 40.8 | 78.9 | -2.7 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.6 | 42.1 | 77.7 | -6.5 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.4 | 46.2 | 79.6 | -12.8 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 35.1 | 42.5 | 77.6 | -7.4 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 41.4 | 41.6 | 83.0 | -0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.7 | 35.0 | 77.7 | +7.7 | 83% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Louisiana Monroe | 92-62 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Hofstra | 85-63 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Northern Colorado | 90-63 |
| 03/11/26 | H | East Tennessee St | 75-65 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Iowa State | 42-91 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Baylor | 83-79 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Iowa State | 65-86 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Kansas | 70-60 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Utah Utes | 73-60 |
| 25/02/26 | A | TCU | 78-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Boise State | 79-111 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Alabama | 68-109 |
| 07/11/26 | A | UC Santa Barbara | 67-90 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Stanford | 63-81 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Michigan | 68-84 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Northern Kentucky | 84-85 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Detroit | 89-95 |
| 25/02/26 | A | IU Indy | 86-74 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 81-70 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Wisc. Green Bay | 68-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 85.5 | 85.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 63.2 | 63.2 | - |
| Point differential | +22.2 | +22.2 | - |
| Avg total | 148.8 | 148.8 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | - | 5 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 69.0 | - | 69.0 |
| Allowed / game | 95.0 | - | 95.0 |
| Point differential | -26.0 | - | -26.0 |
| Avg total | 164.0 | - | 164.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baylor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 59.7 | +35.7 |
| 2 |  West Virginia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 53.3 | +32.3 |
| 3 |  Kansas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.7 | +31.3 |
| 4 |  TCU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.2 | +27.8 |
| 5 | Arizona State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 63.2 | +22.2 |
| 6 |  Brigham Young | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 96.5 | 75.8 | +20.8 |
| 7 |  Texas Tech | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 59.3 | +19.3 |
| 8 |  Utah Utes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 61.3 | +11.3 |
| 9 |  UCF Knights | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 10 |  Arizona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 74.0 | +13.2 |
| 11 |  Houston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 62.3 | +22.3 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 72.0 | +20.7 |
| 13 |  Iowa State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 60.0 | +13.7 |
| 15 |  Colorado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 70.3 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kansas State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 76.0 | +7.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wright State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.2 | 69.0 | +22.2 |
| 2 |  Wisc. Green Bay | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 75.2 | 66.8 | +8.4 |
| 3 |  Cleveland State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.2 | 88.0 | -12.8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kentucky | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 99.8 | -20.8 |
| 5 |  Wisc. Milwaukee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 76.0 | 77.4 | -1.4 |
| 6 |  IPFW | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 74.7 | +3.0 |
| 7 |  Youngstown State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 83.7 | -9.7 |
| 8 | Oakland | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 69.0 | 95.0 | -26.0 |
| 9 |  Robert Morris | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 52.7 | 80.3 | -27.7 |
| 10 |  Detroit | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 43.5 | 96.5 | -53.0 |
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