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Arizona State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-79
44-35 39-44
Position#194
Record16-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.9
Arizona State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record16-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona State v Baylor
10 Mar 2026
ARIZ83
BAYL79
11 Jan 2025
ARIZ66
BAYL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
36-49
41-25
30-38
32-39
38-39
39-34
46-42
37-36
35-31
40-32
28-41
30-33
48-57
34-24
39-36
40-20
30-40
41-37
24-49
146.6Avg total
72.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.277.9155.1-0.752%
Season at home (18)78.173.3151.4+4.867%
Season away (13)76.084.3160.3-8.331%
Last 10 (10)72.674.0146.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)70.873.8144.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.581.1156.6-5.639%
vs Similar (12)79.574.3153.8+5.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-21
41-46
33-37
36-35
41-41
53-58
34-34
37-48
34-41
40-49
32-40
41-28
41-34
39-53
56-42
31-44
35-35
29-42
53-33
48-42
160.2Avg total
79.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.777.0159.6+5.752%
Season at home (20)88.477.7166.1+10.760%
Season away (11)72.375.6147.9-3.436%
Last 10 (10)79.980.3160.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.078.6159.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.577.5144.0-11.00%
vs Similar (13)80.578.7159.2+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.874.3167.1+18.582%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
Arizona StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
37.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.974.0+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.135.273.3+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.839.274.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.869.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.266.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.737.874.4-1.156%-
vs Similar (12)37.835.673.3+2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H07/03
NCAA
76.2Avg total
40.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.176.7+4.550%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.335.778.1+6.658%-
Last 30 away (11)37.736.774.5+1.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.876.2+4.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.233.065.2-0.817%-
vs Similar (13)38.237.475.5+0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.236.384.5+11.973%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arizona State wins
4
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Baylor v Arizona State73-68
12/01/25Arizona State v Baylor66-72 OT
25/11/21Baylor v Arizona State75-63
23/03/13Baylor v Arizona State89-86
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AIowa State65-86
04/03/26HKansas70-60
28/02/26HUtah Utes73-60
25/02/26ATCU78-90
21/02/26ABaylor68-73
18/02/26HTexas Tech72-67
11/02/26HOklahoma State85-76
08/02/26AColorado70-78
05/02/26AUtah Utes71-63
31/01/26HArizona74-87
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HUtah Utes101-75
05/03/26AHouston64-77
01/03/26AUCF Knights87-86
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90
14/02/26HLouisville71-82
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %52%67%31%
Points / game77.278.176.0
Allowed / game77.973.384.3
Point differential-0.7+4.8-8.3
Avg total155.1151.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %52%60%36%
Points / game82.788.472.3
Allowed / game77.077.775.6
Point differential+5.7+10.7-3.4
Avg total159.6166.1147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3129294%86.768.6+18.1
2 Houston3126584%77.662.7+14.9
3 Iowa State3124777%81.366.3+15.0
4 Texas Tech3122971%81.372.5+8.7
5 Kansas3122971%76.569.3+7.2
6 Brigham Young31211068%84.375.8+8.5
7 TCU31211068%77.971.4+6.6
8 UCF Knights30201067%82.278.8+3.4
9 West Virginia31181358%69.964.6+5.2
10 Oklahoma State31181358%83.982.5+1.4
11 Cincinnati31171455%73.467.7+5.7
12 Colorado31171455%79.979.0+0.8
13 Baylor31161552%82.777.0+5.7
14 Arizona State31161552%77.277.9-0.7
15 Kansas State31121939%79.281.1-1.9
16 Utah Utes31102132%74.679.3-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State443983
Baylor354479
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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