PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iowa State vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-65
37-41 49-24
Position#34
Record23-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game66.3
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#194
Record16-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa State v Arizona State
11 Mar 2026
IOWA91
ARIZ42
07 Mar 2026
IOWA86
ARIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
52-29
45-38
50-21
45-40
37-33
35-36
30-29
25-33
37-27
37-29
43-40
27-27
30-39
39-40
41-31
34-28
29-45
44-37
25-37
32-36
141.2Avg total
73.7Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.166.3147.4+14.877%
Season at home (17)86.662.6149.3+24.094%
Season away (13)73.871.1144.9+2.854%
Last 10 (10)73.767.5141.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)68.872.0140.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)63.570.0133.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.466.0148.4+16.379%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
37-44
38-38
36-49
41-25
30-38
32-39
38-39
39-34
46-42
37-36
35-31
40-32
28-41
30-33
48-57
34-24
39-36
40-20
30-40
147.0Avg total
73.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.677.6155.3+0.053%
Season at home (18)78.173.3151.4+4.867%
Season away (12)76.984.2161.1-7.233%
Last 10 (10)73.773.3147.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)72.270.0142.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.180.8156.9-4.641%
vs Similar (13)79.673.5153.2+6.169%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -5.0-5.0
Iowa StateArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.431.771.1+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.530.372.8+12.288%-
Last 30 away (13)35.333.568.8+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.170.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.472.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.038.572.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)39.831.271.0+8.675%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H04/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.673.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.234.873.0+3.461%-
Last 30 away (12)35.339.374.7-4.042%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.668.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.065.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.437.874.2-1.453%-
vs Similar (13)37.935.072.9+2.954%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iowa State wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Arizona State v Iowa State61-76
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AArizona57-73
28/02/26HTexas Tech73-82
25/02/26AUtah Utes75-59
22/02/26ABrigham Young69-79
17/02/26HHouston70-67
14/02/26HKansas74-56
11/02/26ATCU55-62
07/02/26HBaylor72-69
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
30/01/26HColorado97-67
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HKansas70-60
28/02/26HUtah Utes73-60
25/02/26ATCU78-90
21/02/26ABaylor68-73
18/02/26HTexas Tech72-67
11/02/26HOklahoma State85-76
08/02/26AColorado70-78
05/02/26AUtah Utes71-63
31/01/26HArizona74-87
28/01/26AUCF Knights76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL77%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %77%94%54%
Points / game81.186.673.8
Allowed / game66.362.671.1
Point differential+14.8+24.0+2.8
Avg total147.4149.3144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%76%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game77.678.176.9
Allowed / game77.673.384.2
Point differential+0.0+4.8-7.2
Avg total155.3151.4161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3028293%86.668.2+18.4
2 Houston3126584%77.662.7+14.9
3 Iowa State3023777%81.166.3+14.8
4 Texas Tech3022873%81.572.2+9.2
5 Kansas3021970%75.668.8+6.8
6 Brigham Young30201067%84.475.8+8.6
7 TCU30201067%78.171.6+6.5
8 UCF Knights30201067%82.278.8+3.4
9 West Virginia31181358%69.964.6+5.2
10 Oklahoma State31181358%83.982.5+1.4
11 Cincinnati30171357%73.767.5+6.2
12 Colorado30171357%79.978.7+1.2
13 Arizona State30161453%77.677.6+0.0
14 Baylor30151550%82.177.0+5.0
15 Kansas State30121840%79.080.3-1.3
16 Utah Utes30102033%74.678.6-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State374986
Arizona State412465
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.