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Arizona vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-80
37-43 45-37
Position#7
Record30-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game68.3
Arizona 🏆
USA
vs
Position#34
Record26-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona v Iowa State
13 Mar 2026
ARIZ82
IOWA80
02 Mar 2026
ARIZ73
IOWA57
27 Jan 2025
ARIZ86
IOWA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-22
44-25
45-42
33-40
32-32
34-34
42-35
33-33
36-31
37-35
34-41
53-39
39-28
45-33
37-25
36-32
36-38
53-41
46-30
35-29
147.6Avg total
79.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.568.3154.8+18.294%
Season at home (20)88.264.3152.6+24.095%
Season away (12)83.674.9158.5+8.792%
Last 10 (10)79.967.7147.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)82.867.2150.0+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)73.061.5134.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker (28)87.068.1155.1+18.993%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
91-42
91
42
+49
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
25-33
37-27
37-29
43-40
27-27
30-39
39-40
41-31
34-28
29-45
44-37
25-37
32-36
37-41
49-24
45-16
46-26
36-33
39-20
136.3Avg total
72.5Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.465.1146.5+16.279%
Season at home (19)86.861.7148.5+25.295%
Season away (14)73.969.8143.7+4.157%
Last 10 (10)72.563.8136.3+8.760%
Last 5 (5)76.463.0139.4+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)63.570.0133.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (28)81.764.3146.0+17.482%
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
ArizonaIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.731.973.6+9.780%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.929.772.6+13.389%-
Last 30 away (12)39.835.375.1+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.471.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.528.064.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker (28)42.032.274.2+9.879%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/03
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.370.5+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.130.872.9+11.482%-
Last 30 away (13)35.432.067.4+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.869.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.468.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.038.572.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (28)39.630.870.4+8.875%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arizona wins
1
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
03/03/26Arizona v Iowa State73-57
02/03/25Iowa State v Arizona84-67
28/01/25Arizona v Iowa State86-75 OT
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HUCF Knights81-59
08/03/26AColorado89-79
03/03/26HIowa State73-57
28/02/26HKansas84-61
25/02/26ABaylor87-80
21/02/26AHouston73-66
19/02/26HBrigham Young75-68
14/02/26HTexas Tech75-78 OT
10/02/26AKansas78-82
07/02/26HOklahoma State84-47
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ATexas Tech75-53
11/03/26HArizona State91-42
07/03/26HArizona State86-65
03/03/26AArizona57-73
28/02/26HTexas Tech73-82
25/02/26AUtah Utes75-59
22/02/26ABrigham Young69-79
17/02/26HHouston70-67
14/02/26HKansas74-56
11/02/26ATCU55-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeLWWWW95%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %94%95%92%
Points / game86.588.283.6
Allowed / game68.364.374.9
Point differential+18.2+23.9+8.7
Avg total154.8152.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%80%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWWLWW95%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %79%95%57%
Points / game81.486.873.9
Allowed / game65.161.769.8
Point differential+16.2+25.2+4.1
Avg total146.5148.5143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%79%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3230294%86.568.3+18.2
2 Houston3227584%77.562.8+14.7
3 Iowa State3326779%81.465.1+16.2
4 Kansas3223972%76.569.4+7.1
5 Texas Tech32221069%80.472.6+7.8
6 Brigham Young34231168%83.975.3+8.6
7 TCU33221167%78.372.1+6.2
8 UCF Knights32211166%81.078.5+2.5
9 Oklahoma State33191458%84.382.9+1.4
10 West Virginia32181456%69.264.8+4.4
11 Cincinnati33181555%73.167.6+5.5
12 Colorado32171553%80.079.4+0.5
13 Arizona State33171652%76.378.3-2.0
14 Baylor32161650%82.677.2+5.4
15 Kansas State32122038%79.681.8-2.3
16 Utah Utes32102231%74.379.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona374582
Iowa State433780
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