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Arizona vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-59
46-30 35-29
Position#7
Record29-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game68.6
Arizona 🏆
USA
vs
UCF Knights
USA
Position#92
Record21-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona v UCF Knights
06 Jan 2027
ARIZ v UCF
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
ARIZ81
UCF 59
11 Jan 2025
ARIZ88
UCF 80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
49-36
40-22
44-25
45-42
33-40
32-32
34-34
42-35
33-33
36-31
37-35
34-41
53-39
39-28
45-33
37-25
36-32
36-38
53-41
149.7Avg total
80.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.768.6155.3+18.194%
Season at home (19)88.664.6153.2+24.195%
Season away (12)83.674.9158.5+8.792%
Last 10 (10)80.569.2149.7+11.380%
Last 5 (5)81.268.6149.8+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)73.061.5134.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.468.4155.9+19.093%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
19-33
36-46
28-40
44-52
29-28
38-46
42-28
40-43
41-36
32-35
52-28
45-56
42-56
44-31
40-45
54-49
23-32
39-45
26-27
32-31
157.5Avg total
76.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.778.4160.1+3.368%
Season at home (21)84.677.1161.8+7.576%
Season away (10)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.481.1157.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)83.084.8167.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.282.0161.2-2.850%
vs Similar (17)82.579.9162.5+2.665%
vs Weaker (5)82.667.4150.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
ArizonaUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.632.273.8+9.480%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.830.172.9+12.889%-
Last 30 away (12)39.835.375.1+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.271.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.669.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.528.064.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.032.574.4+9.579%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A25/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H11/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.074.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.837.577.2+2.255%-
Last 30 away (10)34.235.970.1-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.369.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.674.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.036.971.9-1.938%-
vs Similar (17)38.038.876.8-0.847%-
vs Weaker (5)42.231.073.2+11.280%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arizona wins
0
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26UCF Knights v Arizona77-84
12/01/25Arizona v UCF Knights88-80
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AColorado89-79
03/03/26HIowa State73-57
28/02/26HKansas84-61
25/02/26ABaylor87-80
21/02/26AHouston73-66
19/02/26HBrigham Young75-68
14/02/26HTexas Tech75-78 OT
10/02/26AKansas78-82
07/02/26HOklahoma State84-47
31/01/26AArizona State87-74
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HCincinnati66-65 OT
07/03/26AWest Virginia62-77
04/03/26HOklahoma State104-111 OT
01/03/26HBaylor86-87
25/02/26ABrigham Young97-84
22/02/26AUtah Utes73-71
18/02/26HTCU82-71
14/02/26HWest Virginia67-74
08/02/26ACincinnati72-92
05/02/26AHouston55-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWLWWW95%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %94%95%92%
Points / game86.788.683.6
Allowed / game68.664.674.9
Point differential+18.1+24.1+8.7
Avg total155.3153.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%79%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeLWLLW76%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312110
Win %68%76%50%
Points / game81.784.675.5
Allowed / game78.477.181.0
Point differential+3.3+7.5-5.5
Avg total160.1161.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)86% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3129294%86.768.6+18.1
2 Houston3126584%77.662.7+14.9
3 Iowa State3326779%81.465.1+16.2
4 Kansas3122971%76.569.3+7.2
5 Brigham Young33231070%84.575.4+9.1
6 Texas Tech32221069%80.472.6+7.8
7 TCU32221069%78.571.9+6.6
8 UCF Knights31211068%81.778.4+3.3
9 Oklahoma State33191458%84.382.9+1.4
10 West Virginia32181456%69.264.8+4.4
11 Cincinnati33181555%73.167.6+5.5
12 Colorado32171553%80.079.4+0.5
13 Arizona State33171652%76.378.3-2.0
14 Baylor32161650%82.677.2+5.4
15 Kansas State32122038%79.681.8-2.3
16 Utah Utes32102231%74.379.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona463581
UCF Knights302959
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