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Arkansas State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-46
34-24 34-22
Position#101
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#276
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game58.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-92
53
92
-39
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
41-30
26-48
27-44
38-30
52-33
39-33
33-27
23-36
28-39
39-32
27-23
51-35
44-47
38-48
46-25
33-34
49-43
28-45
34-30
144.3Avg total
73.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.670.7144.3+2.970%
Season at home (5)76.666.0142.6+10.680%
Season away (5)70.675.4146.0-4.860%
Last 10 (10)73.670.7144.3+2.970%
Last 5 (5)77.872.4150.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.273.2135.5-11.025%
vs Similar (11)69.071.7140.7-2.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.869.5147.3+8.477%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#219
L
52-80
52
80
-28
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-39
31-41
22-32
31-27
30-25
29-33
28-33
33-24
26-24
46-29
39-41
34-24
47-25
19-40
21-24
38-24
45-13
31-45
24-35
24-31
122.8Avg total
61.9Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.058.8121.8+4.278%
Season at home (5)66.856.2123.0+10.6100%
Season away (4)58.262.0120.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)61.960.9122.8+1.070%
Last 5 (5)64.460.4124.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.972.0130.9-13.223%
vs Similar (8)64.661.6126.2+3.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
Arkansas StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A15/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.167.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.466.8+6.176%-
Last 30 away (13)31.736.868.5-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.672.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.876.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.539.871.2-8.225%-
vs Similar (11)31.131.362.4-0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.433.570.9+3.862%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#219
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A09/12
NCAA
59.4Avg total
30.3Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.633.261.8-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.032.760.7-4.727%-
Last 30 away (15)29.133.762.9-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.159.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.227.662.8+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.834.362.1-6.518%-
vs Similar (8)30.630.260.9+0.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Air Force wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21ATexas Tech62-75
11/12/21AMiss. Valley St.82-77
09/12/21AArkansas-Pine Bluff84-73
04/12/21HCentral Arkansas95-82
28/11/21HUMKC66-55
27/11/21HMorehead State51-75
20/11/21ASoutheast Missouri State72-60
16/11/21HCentral Baptist90-63
13/11/21AIllinois53-92
10/11/21HHarding81-55
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21AMontana48-66
04/12/21HArmy76-58
27/11/21HIdaho State59-48
24/11/21HDenver66-65
21/11/21ABethune-Cookman73-65
20/11/21HHoly Cross72-53
18/11/21HTexas Southern61-57
13/11/21ATulsa59-58
11/11/21ASouth Dakota Coyotes53-59
10/03/21AUNLV52-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game73.676.670.6
Allowed / game70.766.075.4
Point differential+2.9+10.6-4.8
Avg total144.3142.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game63.066.858.2
Allowed / game58.856.262.0
Point differential+4.2+10.6-3.8
Avg total121.8123.0120.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State119282%76.960.9+16.0
2 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
3 South Alabama129375%74.260.3+13.9
4 Coastal Carolina107370%78.362.6+15.7
5 Arkansas State107370%73.670.7+2.9
6 Troy128467%73.866.1+7.8
7 Georgia Southern117464%72.159.6+12.5
8 Louisiana Monroe117464%80.775.4+5.4
9 Georgia State106460%76.767.1+9.6
10 Marshall127558%79.773.6+6.1
11 Appalachian State126650%69.560.8+8.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette105550%71.269.2+2.0
13 Old Dominion115645%63.264.1-0.9
14 Southern Miss114736%60.870.3-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State10100100%83.467.0+16.4
2 Wyoming109190%79.762.8+16.9
3 Grand Canyon1210283%72.257.8+14.4
4 Fresno State119282%67.856.0+11.8
5 Air Force97278%63.058.8+4.2
6 San Diego State107370%63.458.6+4.8
7 Utah State128467%79.470.2+9.2
8 Boise State117464%68.759.2+9.5
9 Nevada106460%79.274.4+4.8
10 San Jose State106460%70.070.1-0.1
11 UNLV127558%70.867.4+3.4
12 New Mexico116555%81.377.8+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State343468
Air Force242246
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