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Texas Tech vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-62
45-28 30-34
Position#46
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#101
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H19/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H16/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A20/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H24/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
89-57
89
57
+32
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
57-52 OT
57
52
+5
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-26
42-27
31-33
35-35
50-36
39-38
44-31
44-31
45-23
39-26
36-31
48-31
43-20
53-20
52-33
37-24
30-28
38-44
29-25
15-19
137.5Avg total
78.6Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.958.5140.4+23.488%
Season at home (5)89.256.4145.6+32.8100%
Season away (3)69.762.0131.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.658.9137.5+19.780%
Last 5 (5)78.856.6135.4+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.578.0144.5-11.50%
vs Similar (11)68.567.5135.9+1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.161.3140.4+17.882%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-92
53
92
-39
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
35-37
40-25
41-30
26-48
27-44
38-30
52-33
39-33
33-27
23-36
28-39
39-32
27-23
51-35
44-47
38-48
46-25
33-34
49-43
144.5Avg total
74.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.970.2145.1+4.778%
Season at home (5)76.666.0142.6+10.680%
Season away (4)72.875.5148.2-2.875%
Last 10 (10)74.270.3144.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.372.7135.0-10.333%
vs Similar (11)69.071.7140.7-2.736%
vs Weaker (14)80.568.0148.5+12.579%
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
Texas TechArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H19/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H16/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H24/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A08/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
38.3Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.365.4+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.628.263.8+7.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.532.867.3+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.328.666.9+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)38.027.465.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (11)30.933.764.6-2.89%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.928.267.1+10.894%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A09/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.467.8+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.629.967.6+7.778%-
Last 30 away (12)32.036.168.1-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.571.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.073.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.738.070.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (11)31.131.362.4-0.245%-
vs Weaker (14)38.832.871.6+6.064%-
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas Tech wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
Texas Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/21ATennessee57-52 OT
02/12/21AProvidence68-72
27/11/21HLamar89-57
24/11/21HNebraska O.96-40
20/11/21AIncarnate Word84-62
16/11/21HPrairie View A&M84-49
13/11/21HGrambling St.88-62
10/11/21HNorth Florida89-74
21/03/21AArkansas66-68
19/03/21HUtah State65-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21AMiss. Valley St.82-77
09/12/21AArkansas-Pine Bluff84-73
04/12/21HCentral Arkansas95-82
28/11/21HUMKC66-55
27/11/21HMorehead State51-75
20/11/21ASoutheast Missouri State72-60
16/11/21HCentral Baptist90-63
13/11/21AIllinois53-92
10/11/21HHarding81-55
06/03/21AGeorgia State68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas Tech
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game81.989.269.7
Allowed / game58.556.462.0
Point differential+23.4+32.8+7.7
Avg total140.4145.6131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game74.976.672.8
Allowed / game70.266.075.5
Point differential+4.7+10.6-2.8
Avg total145.1142.6148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona990100%90.761.7+29.0
2 Baylor990100%81.054.1+26.9
3 Iowa State10100100%72.157.1+15.0
4 West Virginia109190%69.860.7+9.1
5 Kansas98189%86.467.0+19.4
6 TCU98189%71.761.2+10.4
7 Texas Tech87188%81.958.5+23.4
8 Houston108280%80.956.4+24.5
9 Brigham Young108280%76.165.1+11.0
10 UCF Knights86275%74.565.5+9.0
11 Cincinnati118373%70.559.6+10.8
12 Colorado118373%72.066.9+5.1
13 Oklahoma State107370%76.365.9+10.4
14 Utah Utes107370%74.665.0+9.6
15 Kansas State96367%71.059.7+11.3
16 Arizona State104640%64.767.8-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
2 South Alabama108280%77.059.7+17.3
3 Texas State97278%78.265.2+13.0
4 Arkansas State97278%74.970.2+4.7
5 Marshall107370%83.173.3+9.8
6 Troy117464%72.966.3+6.6
7 Georgia State85362%78.168.5+9.6
8 Coastal Carolina85362%71.466.4+5.0
9 Louisiana Monroe106460%81.476.4+5.0
10 Georgia Southern95456%71.059.9+11.1
11 Louisiana Lafayette95456%72.969.0+3.9
12 Appalachian State116555%69.758.0+11.7
13 Old Dominion115645%63.264.1-0.9
14 Southern Miss94544%61.470.8-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas Tech453075
Arkansas State283462
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