PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 66-55
39-32 27-23
Position#101
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#120
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#44
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-92
53
92
-39
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-21
27-36
31-31
40-42
33-35
23-29
31-26
31-32
33-34
35-37
40-25
41-30
26-48
27-44
38-30
52-33
39-33
33-27
23-36
28-39
132.4Avg total
65.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.469.0138.4+0.460%
Season at home (3)74.064.3138.3+9.767%
Season away (2)62.576.0138.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)65.666.8132.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)69.469.0138.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)57.879.0136.8-21.20%
vs Similar (13)68.271.6139.8-3.531%
vs Weaker (11)78.765.5144.2+13.373%
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#351
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A28/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#147
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#658
W
99-36
99
36
+63
H18/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
48-38
26-31
23-36
39-43
38-46
22-38
43-31
25-33
31-38
23-37
34-52
32-23
48-43
45-11
54-25
33-26
41-32
25-34
37-36
138.3Avg total
69.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.365.0136.3+6.350%
Season at home (1)99.036.0135.0+63.0100%
Season away (5)65.870.8136.6-5.040%
Last 10 (10)69.968.4138.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)74.463.8138.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.575.5127.0-24.00%
vs Similar (11)62.867.9130.7-5.118%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)70.164.0134.1+6.164%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.0+2.0
Arkansas StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#44
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.165.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.729.566.2+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)29.935.165.0-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.963.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.467.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.839.866.5-13.00%-
vs Similar (13)30.831.362.1-0.538%-
vs Weaker (11)38.331.169.4+7.273%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#351
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#147
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#658
W
45-11
45
11
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A28/11
NCAA
60.9Avg total
30.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.062.3+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.128.265.3+8.854%-
Last 30 away (17)28.631.459.9-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)30.230.760.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.626.257.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.532.557.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (11)29.633.663.3-4.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)31.230.161.3+1.150%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21HMorehead State51-75
20/11/21ASoutheast Missouri State72-60
16/11/21HCentral Baptist90-63
13/11/21AIllinois53-92
10/11/21HHarding81-55
06/03/21AGeorgia State68-71
05/03/21HGeorgia Southern62-58
27/02/21AUT Arlington56-64
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
23/02/21HTexas State52-57
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21AMorehead State62-70
23/11/21AIdaho State74-58
18/11/21HKansas Christian99-36
16/11/21AMissouri80-66
13/11/21AIowa57-89
10/11/21AMinnesota56-71
08/03/21ANorth Dakota St65-69
28/02/21ASouth Dakota St.77-89
27/02/21ASouth Dakota St.49-67
21/02/21HDenver80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game69.474.062.5
Allowed / game69.064.376.0
Point differential+0.4+9.7-13.5
Avg total138.4138.3138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game71.399.065.8
Allowed / game65.036.070.8
Point differential+6.3+63.0-5.0
Avg total136.3135.0136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison86275%77.165.5+11.6
2 South Alabama75271%77.458.9+18.6
3 Georgia Southern64267%72.560.0+12.5
4 Georgia State64267%78.069.0+9.0
5 Texas State64267%75.367.7+7.7
6 Marshall64267%82.274.7+7.5
7 Arkansas State53260%69.469.0+0.4
8 Troy74357%73.168.6+4.6
9 Southern Miss74357%65.369.4-4.1
10 Louisiana Lafayette63350%70.768.0+2.7
11 Coastal Carolina42250%72.069.5+2.5
12 Appalachian State73443%67.761.9+5.9
13 Old Dominion73443%61.965.4-3.6
14 Louisiana Monroe62433%75.881.5-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.86275%87.576.8+10.8
2 North Dakota St64267%66.564.7+1.8
3 South Dakota Coyotes64267%72.071.2+0.8
4 Oral Roberts63350%87.564.0+23.5
5 UMKC63350%71.365.0+6.3
6 St. Thomas (Minn.)73443%77.476.3+1.1
7 Denver83538%67.566.9+0.6
8 North Dakota62433%70.077.3-7.3
9 Nebraska O.61517%54.578.3-23.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State392766
UMKC322355
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.