PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 92-53
48-26 44-27
Position#66
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game47.0
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas State
USA
Position#101
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game55.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
76-53
76
53
+23
A03/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Drexel
#119
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H19/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H21/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
W
71-47
71
47
+24
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
50-42
37-26
37-43
33-22
43-31
41-37
32-31
47-28
43-40
45-37
37-34
40-35
37-42
39-21
39-28
24-33
34-38
30-17
41-30
143.3Avg total
77.9Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.047.0118.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)71.047.0118.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.965.4143.3+12.590%
Last 5 (5)76.065.2141.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similar (4)74.067.5141.5+6.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.469.0148.4+10.480%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
40-22
33-40
30-22
37-43
25-21
27-36
31-31
40-42
33-35
23-29
31-26
31-32
33-34
35-37
40-25
41-30
137.7Avg total
70.8Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.866.9137.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)67.664.2131.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.476.0142.4-9.620%
vs Similar (14)68.671.4140.0-2.729%
vs Weaker (10)79.466.0145.4+13.470%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.3-2.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.3-2.3
IllinoisArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H14/03
NCAA
Drexel
#119
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H19/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H10/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
37.2Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.268.8+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.429.766.1+6.788%-
Last 30 away (13)36.835.572.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)37.228.465.6+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)35.628.664.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (4)36.233.269.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.932.169.0+4.872%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
62.8Avg total
34.5Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.730.266.9+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.463.5-3.221%-
Last 10 (10)34.528.362.8+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.263.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.436.065.4-6.60%-
vs Similar (14)31.431.262.6+0.243%-
vs Weaker (10)38.230.969.1+7.370%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HJackson State71-47
21/03/21HLoyola Chicago58-71
19/03/21HDrexel78-49
14/03/21HOhio State91-88 OT
13/03/21HIowa82-71
12/03/21HRutgers90-68
06/03/21AOhio State73-68
03/03/21AMichigan76-53
27/02/21AWisconsin74-69
26/02/21HNebraska86-70
Arkansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HHarding81-55
06/03/21AGeorgia State68-71
05/03/21HGeorgia Southern62-58
27/02/21AUT Arlington56-64
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
23/02/21HTexas State52-57
13/02/21AUALR67-65
13/02/21HUALR73-62
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game47.047.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total118.0118.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game55.055.0-
Point differential+26.0+26.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC110100%89.049.0+40.0
2 UCLA110100%95.058.0+37.0
3 Iowa220100%97.565.0+32.5
4 Wisconsin220100%76.546.0+30.5
5 Northwestern220100%87.558.0+29.5
6 Purdue220100%94.067.0+27.0
7 Illinois110100%71.047.0+24.0
8 Indiana220100%76.555.5+21.0
9 Oregon110100%83.066.0+17.0
10 Penn State110100%75.059.0+16.0
11 Michigan110100%88.076.0+12.0
12 Maryland220100%77.066.5+10.5
13 Minnesota220100%72.062.5+9.5
14 Ohio State220100%75.570.0+5.5
15 Rutgers110100%73.070.0+3.0
16 Michigan State21150%82.066.5+15.5
17 Nebraska21150%74.070.0+4.0
18 Washington21150%68.566.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison110100%135.040.0+95.0
2 Troy110100%104.042.0+62.0
3 South Alabama110100%102.041.0+61.0
4 Georgia State220100%90.050.5+39.5
5 Coastal Carolina110100%101.073.0+28.0
6 Louisiana Lafayette220100%73.546.0+27.5
7 Arkansas State110100%81.055.0+26.0
8 Old Dominion110100%80.060.0+20.0
9 Georgia Southern110100%82.071.0+11.0
10 Marshall110100%96.088.0+8.0
11 Southern Miss21150%63.066.5-3.5
12 Texas State21150%67.070.5-3.5
13 Appalachian State21150%61.066.0-5.0
14 Louisiana Monroe2020%52.097.0-45.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois484492
Arkansas State262753
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.