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Arkansas State vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 91-54
40-14 51-40
Position#98
Record14-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#143
Record14-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
40-39
45-32
41-42
43-37
40-45
36-32
45-49
35-44
39-55
39-35
46-33
36-38
45-44
33-38
38-37
38-41
23-29
27-29
43-37
155.7Avg total
77.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.078.2159.2+2.858%
Season at home (10)81.971.5153.4+10.470%
Season away (14)80.483.0163.4-2.650%
Last 10 (10)77.278.5155.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)73.672.2145.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.379.7158.0-1.555%
vs Weaker (13)80.775.8156.5+4.862%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H31/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-54
55-39
34-34
52-52
45-45
48-51
27-43
40-34
46-36
39-43
32-23
40-31
38-39
34-34
32-39
46-50
32-20
27-42
40-27
37-25
156.2Avg total
78.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.370.1154.4+14.261%
Season at home (15)87.067.5154.5+19.567%
Season away (8)79.275.0154.2+4.250%
Last 10 (10)78.777.5156.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)71.666.0137.6+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.289.2164.5-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)65.865.2131.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (20)82.968.4151.3+14.570%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
Arkansas StateBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A05/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
36.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.233.474.6+7.875%-
Last 30 away (18)36.337.774.0-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.573.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.270.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.636.074.6+2.673%-
vs Weaker (13)35.935.871.8+0.146%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H31/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.371.4+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.433.471.8+5.061%-
Last 30 away (12)37.733.270.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.071.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.664.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.245.073.2-16.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.830.263.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker (20)39.832.171.9+7.670%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
1
Bowling Green wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Bowling Green v Arkansas State81-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26ACoastal Carolina70-66
31/01/26HMarshall61-70
29/01/26HOld Dominion71-75
24/01/26AGeorgia State81-82
23/01/26AGeorgia Southern85-68
17/01/26ATroy74-99
16/01/26ASouth Alabama87-91 OT
10/01/26HTexas State83-82
08/01/26HTroy86-74
03/01/26HJames Madison74-78
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HBall State77-52
01/02/26ACentral Michigan59-62
28/01/26HBuffalo78-89
24/01/26AToledo72-73
21/01/26AWestern Michigan72-54
17/01/26HEastern Michigan85-79
10/01/26HAkron67-77
07/01/26AKent State93-96
03/01/26AUMass101-100 OT
31/12/25HMiami (Ohio)83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeLWWLL70%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %58%70%50%
Points / game81.081.980.4
Allowed / game78.271.583.0
Point differential+2.8+10.4-2.6
Avg total159.2153.4163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %8%10%7%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %61%67%50%
Points / game84.387.079.2
Allowed / game70.167.575.0
Point differential+14.2+19.5+4.2
Avg total154.4154.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2416867%83.375.2+8.1
2 Appalachian State2617965%71.364.1+7.2
3 Marshall2315865%80.274.2+6.0
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Arkansas State24141058%81.078.2+2.8
6 Coastal Carolina26151158%73.772.3+1.3
7 Texas State25141156%73.571.1+2.4
8 Georgia Southern25141156%81.079.6+1.4
9 Southern Miss25121348%73.673.5+0.1
10 James Madison24111346%73.975.2-1.4
11 Georgia State2591636%70.873.9-3.1
12 Louisiana Lafayette2481633%61.568.6-7.0
13 Old Dominion2471729%74.077.8-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2442017%72.082.5-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2316770%86.781.0+5.7
4 Bowling Green2314961%84.370.1+14.2
5 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
6 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
7 Ohio24131154%78.077.3+0.7
8 Toledo23121152%81.377.7+3.7
9 Eastern Michigan2491538%70.772.4-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2281436%73.076.4-3.3
11 Western Michigan2281436%75.279.7-4.5
12 Ball State2271532%66.670.2-3.6
13 Central Michigan2371630%73.178.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State405191
Bowling Green144054
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