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Bowling Green vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-75
34-31 47-44
Position#127
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game41.0
vs
Position#186
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game105.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H04/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A11/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H01/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
58-92
58
92
-34
A04/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-44
41-42
25-34
39-53
33-49
39-44
29-33
45-44
34-32
52-59
29-26
36-48
42-37
27-42
35-31
53-37
26-54
32-38
32-21
38-20
151.2Avg total
72.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.041.0111.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)70.041.0111.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.478.8151.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)70.070.8140.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.479.7151.1-8.318%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.283.0157.2-8.817%
vs Weaker (5)84.468.6153.0+15.880%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
45-33
30-33
32-33
24-30
29-38
27-30
35-37
35-38
40-32
29-41
45-44
26-29
38-32
34-30
52-39
34-30
25-33
41-56
35-49
139.5Avg total
68.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.0105.0181.0-29.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.0105.0181.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)68.471.1139.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)71.876.6148.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.772.2133.9-10.68%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.070.1137.1-3.150%
vs Weaker (4)71.860.0131.8+11.875%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
Bowling GreenArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H07/11
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.872.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.236.571.8-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.937.273.1-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)32.236.168.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.866.6-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.838.270.9-5.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.337.874.2-1.533%-
vs Weaker (5)41.830.672.4+11.280%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
30.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.632.562.1-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.132.262.4-2.125%-
Last 30 away (14)29.032.961.9-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)30.834.164.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.270.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.733.861.4-6.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.033.363.3-3.329%-
vs Weaker (4)34.026.260.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bowling Green wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HChicago State70-41
04/03/23AOhio58-92
01/03/23HEastern Michigan88-68
25/02/23HKent State69-79
22/02/23AMiami (FL)65-74
18/02/23HToledo86-91
15/02/23HCentral Michigan74-77
11/02/23ABall State72-93
08/02/23AKent State64-87
04/02/23HNorthern Illinois78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
28/02/23ACoastal Carolina86-69
25/02/23ALouisiana Monroe64-61
23/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette74-85
18/02/23HGeorgia State75-70
17/02/23HTroy62-67
11/02/23AGeorgia Southern53-68
10/02/23ATexas State62-66
04/02/23HCoastal Carolina73-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game41.041.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total111.0111.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game105.0-105.0
Point differential-29.0--29.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State110100%101.040.0+61.0
2 Toledo110100%94.060.0+34.0
3 Bowling Green110100%70.041.0+29.0
4 UMass110100%92.071.0+21.0
5 Ohio110100%88.070.0+18.0
6 Akron220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Kent State21150%93.585.5+8.0
8 Western Michigan1010%76.080.0-4.0
9 Buffalo1010%86.092.0-6.0
10 Miami (Ohio)1010%65.075.0-10.0
11 Northern Illinois1010%70.092.0-22.0
12 Central Michigan1010%59.089.0-30.0
13 Eastern Michigan1010%55.094.0-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Appalachian State110100%87.049.0+38.0
2 Old Dominion110100%71.057.0+14.0
3 Louisiana Lafayette110100%72.062.0+10.0
4 James Madison220100%96.092.0+4.0
5 Coastal Carolina110100%88.086.0+2.0
6 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
7 Texas State21150%70.568.0+2.5
8 Southern Miss21150%59.057.0+2.0
9 Troy31233%80.772.0+8.7
10 Georgia State1010%87.089.0-2.0
11 South Alabama1010%74.083.0-9.0
12 Georgia Southern1010%62.084.0-22.0
13 Arkansas State1010%76.0105.0-29.0
14 Louisiana Monroe1010%31.084.0-53.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green344781
Arkansas State314475
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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