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Toledo vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-72
39-38 34-34
Position#156
Record10-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#143
Record13-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Bowling Green
12 Mar 2026
TOLE77
BOWL76
24 Jan 2026
TOLE73
BOWL72
21 Feb 2025
TOLE68
BOWL69
27 Jan 2024
TOLE88
BOWL72
28 Jan 2023
TOLE91
BOWL77
04 Mar 2022
TOLE96
BOWL56
13 Feb 2021
TOLE81
BOWL88
25 Jan 2020
TOLE79
BOWL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
0-0
31-41
0-0
47-34
0-0
37-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
36-56
0-0
37-31
23-22
23-13
25-22
16-16
0-0
52-50
0-0
49-35
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-52
19-23
21-17
24-16
17-27
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-49
165.0Avg total
84.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.778.6161.3+4.253%
Season at home (9)87.777.2164.9+10.467%
Season away (10)78.379.8158.1-1.540%
Last 10 (10)84.180.9165.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)87.082.4169.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.388.7160.0-17.30%
vs Similar (16)80.880.3161.1+0.538%
vs Weaker (10)88.374.2162.5+14.190%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#714
W
131-50
131
50
+81
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A20/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#591
W
125-66
125
66
+59
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H31/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
71-26
60-24
40-28
36-27
42-29
26-29
52-28
73-38
28-54
55-39
34-34
52-52
45-45
48-51
27-43
40-34
46-36
39-43
32-23
40-31
162.9Avg total
90.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.070.3157.3+16.768%
Season at home (13)88.567.0155.5+21.569%
Season away (6)83.877.5161.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)90.172.8162.9+17.370%
Last 5 (5)83.681.2164.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.289.2164.5-14.00%
vs Similar (7)68.166.4134.6+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.468.2152.6+16.283%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +10.1+10.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +10.1+10.1
ToledoBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/01
NCAA
78.6Avg total
38.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.876.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.478.3+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.075.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.878.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.350.082.3-17.70%-
vs Similar (16)37.937.675.5+0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)42.235.477.6+6.870%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#714
W
71-26
71
26
+45
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#591
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H31/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A21/01
NCAA
76.3Avg total
41.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.970.7+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.132.670.7+5.568%-
Last 30 away (11)37.333.470.6+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.676.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.245.073.2-16.80%-
vs Similar (7)33.029.162.1+3.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.932.071.9+7.978%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toledo wins
3
Bowling Green wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AUMass82-84
17/01/26AValle de Egues81-83
16/01/26AKent State84-87
14/01/26HOhio101-85
11/01/26HCBC Valladolid87-73
09/01/26HMiami (Ohio)73-87
07/01/26ANorthern Illinois75-61
03/01/26ACentral Michigan78-75
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AWestern Michigan72-54
17/01/26HEastern Michigan85-79
10/01/26HAkron67-77
07/01/26AKent State93-96
03/01/26AUMass101-100 OT
31/12/25HMiami (Ohio)83-93
22/12/25HSiena Heights125-66
20/12/25AOhio68-58
17/12/25HChicago State76-55
07/12/25HAquinas131-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game82.787.778.3
Allowed / game78.677.279.8
Point differential+4.2+10.4-1.5
Avg total161.3164.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game87.088.583.8
Allowed / game70.367.077.5
Point differential+16.7+21.5+6.3
Avg total157.3155.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%54%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)20200100%94.574.7+19.9
2 Akron2016480%92.775.2+17.4
3 Kent State2014670%89.783.2+6.5
4 Bowling Green1913668%87.070.3+16.7
5 Buffalo2013765%79.574.5+5.0
6 UMass2113862%79.774.2+5.5
7 Toledo1910953%82.778.6+4.2
8 Ohio21111052%77.577.6-0.0
9 Eastern Michigan2091145%72.071.8+0.2
10 Western Michigan1971237%75.979.6-3.7
11 Ball State2071335%67.969.8-1.9
12 Northern Illinois1961332%72.976.6-3.7
13 Central Michigan1951426%71.879.3-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo393473
Bowling Green383472
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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