PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UT Arlington vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 64-56
35-33 29-23
Position#197
Record11-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#213
Record10-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UT Arlington v Arkansas State
19 Feb 2022
UT A49
ARKA58
27 Feb 2021
UT A64
ARKA56
26 Feb 2021
UT A73
ARKA71
13 Feb 2020
UT A77
ARKA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H23/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
75-83 OT
75
83
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H06/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-28
36-38
36-26
30-35
35-26
33-42
25-31
40-33
32-29
31-39
29-34
29-18
27-36
29-27
30-42
38-37
37-34
37-42
31-31
42-40
134.0Avg total
65.7Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.970.6142.5+1.348%
Season at home (12)72.866.7139.4+6.158%
Season away (11)71.074.8145.8-3.836%
Last 10 (10)65.768.3134.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)65.868.2134.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.078.3150.3-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.472.1140.5-3.739%
vs Weaker (9)79.664.3143.9+15.289%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
37-54
29-41
45-36
26-35
42-33
31-25
33-40
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
40-22
33-40
30-22
37-43
25-21
27-36
31-31
40-42
144.9Avg total
73.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.070.2144.2+3.948%
Season at home (12)81.467.5148.9+13.975%
Season away (9)64.273.8138.0-9.611%
Last 10 (10)73.071.9144.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)69.266.8136.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.977.9146.7-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.873.8144.6-3.123%
vs Weaker (10)79.466.0145.4+13.470%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.1-3.1
UT ArlingtonArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H23/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A30/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
30.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.067.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.731.866.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (12)33.834.868.6-1.142%-
Last 10 (10)30.531.762.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.466.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.736.365.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.933.964.8-3.033%-
vs Weaker (9)43.130.173.2+13.089%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
32.5Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.065.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)28.934.363.2-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)32.529.161.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.425.059.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.337.664.9-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.532.163.5-0.638%-
vs Weaker (10)38.230.969.1+7.370%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UT Arlington wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HArkansas State73-71
22/02/21ALouisiana Lafayette74-76
13/02/21ATexas State68-79
12/02/21HTexas State56-63
06/02/21HLouisiana Monroe58-52
06/02/21HLouisiana Monroe63-68
30/01/21AArkansas State65-64
30/01/21AArkansas State75-83 OT
23/01/21HUALR66-61
23/01/21HUALR59-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
23/02/21HTexas State52-57
13/02/21AUALR67-65
13/02/21HUALR73-62
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87
30/01/21HUT Arlington64-65
30/01/21HUT Arlington83-75 OT
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette74-77
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game71.972.871.0
Allowed / game70.666.774.8
Point differential+1.3+6.1-3.8
Avg total142.5139.4145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%75%11%
Points / game74.081.464.2
Allowed / game70.267.573.8
Point differential+3.9+13.9-9.6
Avg total144.2148.9138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian2219386%77.059.7+17.3
2 Southern Utah2017385%85.669.7+15.9
3 California Baptist1911858%79.173.1+6.1
4 UT Arlington23111248%71.970.6+1.3
5 Utah Valley State178947%74.975.8-0.9
6 Utah Tech1981142%70.576.8-6.3
7 Tarleton1551033%70.667.1+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2317674%66.361.3+5.0
2 Georgia State1813572%80.972.5+8.4
3 Coastal Carolina2014670%80.766.6+14.1
4 Louisiana Lafayette2316770%74.972.7+2.3
5 James Madison1913668%78.570.4+8.1
6 Marshall1913668%81.173.2+7.8
7 Old Dominion1913668%69.268.7+0.5
8 South Alabama2516964%74.270.1+4.1
9 Appalachian State24131154%70.864.1+6.7
10 Georgia Southern25131252%72.168.0+4.1
11 Arkansas State21101148%74.070.2+3.9
12 Troy25101540%64.067.8-3.8
13 Southern Miss2381535%64.766.7-2.0
14 Louisiana Monroe2381535%65.469.0-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UT Arlington352964
Arkansas State332356
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.