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Georgia State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 71-68
34-33 37-35
Position#38
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.5
Georgia State 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas State
USA
Position#213
Record11-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · Georgia State v Arkansas State
24 Jan 2026
GEOR82
ARKA81
30 Dec 2023
GEOR91
ARKA90
06 Mar 2021
GEOR71
ARKA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A27/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
35-33
35-37
36-43
26-37
35-37
37-33
30-37
38-42
41-33
37-34
43-32
33-21
32-32
41-31
44-40
39-40
45-41
40-31
42-42
145.6Avg total
74.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.072.5153.5+8.574%
Season at home (10)83.465.6149.0+17.890%
Season away (9)78.380.2158.6-1.956%
Last 10 (10)74.571.1145.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)79.268.8148.0+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.070.3140.3-0.367%
vs Similar (13)77.880.5158.2-2.746%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.468.4150.9+14.079%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
42-33
31-25
33-40
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
40-22
33-40
30-22
37-43
25-21
27-36
31-31
40-42
33-35
23-29
31-26
31-32
138.9Avg total
70.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.769.4142.1+3.348%
Season at home (13)79.966.8146.7+13.277%
Season away (10)63.472.8136.2-9.410%
Last 10 (10)70.668.3138.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)61.663.4125.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.875.8141.7-10.017%
vs Similar (14)68.671.4140.0-2.729%
vs Weaker (10)79.466.0145.4+13.470%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -3.0-3.0
Georgia StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A28/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.773.8+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.233.375.5+8.976%-
Last 30 away (13)35.136.571.6-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.170.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.469.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.070.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (13)37.236.673.8+0.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.932.674.5+9.271%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
32.9Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.164.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.530.667.1+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)28.733.562.2-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.928.461.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)30.027.057.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)25.836.061.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (14)31.431.262.6+0.243%-
vs Weaker (10)38.230.969.1+7.370%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
07/01/20Arkansas State v Georgia State90-87
Georgia Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21ASouth Alabama82-73
27/02/21ASouth Alabama84-81
23/02/21HAppalachian State85-71
20/02/21HTroy65-53
19/02/21HTroy80-66
11/02/21HGeorgia Southern79-75
09/02/21HSouth Alabama67-70
23/01/21AAppalachian State61-74
22/01/21AAppalachian State71-80
16/01/21HCoastal Carolina71-68
Arkansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21HGeorgia Southern62-58
27/02/21AUT Arlington56-64
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
23/02/21HTexas State52-57
13/02/21AUALR67-65
13/02/21HUALR73-62
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87
30/01/21HUT Arlington64-65
30/01/21HUT Arlington83-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game81.083.478.3
Allowed / game72.565.680.2
Point differential+8.5+17.8-1.9
Avg total153.5149.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%77%10%
Points / game72.779.963.4
Allowed / game69.466.872.8
Point differential+3.3+13.2-9.4
Avg total142.1146.7136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2418675%66.161.1+5.0
2 Georgia State1914574%81.072.5+8.5
3 Coastal Carolina2115671%80.466.8+13.6
4 Marshall2115671%80.572.6+7.9
5 James Madison1913668%78.570.4+8.1
6 Old Dominion2215768%68.968.0+1.0
7 Louisiana Lafayette2517868%74.472.3+2.1
8 South Alabama28171161%74.170.9+3.2
9 Appalachian State25141156%70.664.0+6.7
10 Georgia Southern26131350%71.567.8+3.8
11 Arkansas State23111248%72.769.4+3.3
12 Troy27111641%65.268.7-3.5
13 Southern Miss2481633%64.767.0-2.2
14 Louisiana Monroe2581732%65.369.1-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State343771
Arkansas State333568
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