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Arkansas State vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 52-57
25-21 27-36
Position#213
Record10-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#44
Record15-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Arkansas State v Texas State
10 Jan 2026
ARKA83
TEXA82
25 Jan 2025
ARKA80
TEXA65
11 Jan 2024
ARKA85
TEXA82
12 Jan 2023
ARKA58
TEXA61
22 Jan 2022
ARKA67
TEXA60
22 Feb 2021
ARKA52
TEXA57
04 Jan 2020
ARKA67
TEXA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
34-36
39-36
54-36
31-27
37-54
29-41
45-36
26-35
42-33
31-25
33-40
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
40-22
33-40
30-22
37-43
150.7Avg total
77.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.470.7146.1+4.653%
Season at home (11)84.168.5152.5+15.682%
Season away (8)63.473.9137.2-10.512%
Last 10 (10)77.473.3150.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)76.471.2147.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.977.9146.7-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.274.1146.3-1.831%
vs Weaker (10)79.466.0145.4+13.470%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A16/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H05/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
77-67 OT
77
67
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
29-34
40-34
27-22
27-13
30-34
41-36
28-27
24-31
36-31
35-38
38-36
37-24
20-23
33-23
29-39
36-27
27-29
42-30
37-38
126.4Avg total
66.5Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.262.3129.5+4.971%
Season at home (9)69.460.9130.3+8.667%
Season away (12)65.563.4128.9+2.175%
Last 10 (10)66.559.9126.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)69.862.4132.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.867.4136.2+1.555%
vs Weaker (19)70.361.2131.5+9.184%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
Arkansas StateTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H13/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A13/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.166.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.932.369.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)29.333.963.2-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.165.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.627.263.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.337.664.9-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.232.564.7-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)38.230.969.1+7.370%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A16/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
27-13
27
13
+14
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H05/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
34.9Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.628.261.9+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.027.063.0+9.071%-
Last 30 away (16)31.629.360.9+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.163.0+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.628.465.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.629.362.9+4.455%-
vs Weaker (19)33.627.661.3+6.079%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
2
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Texas State v Arkansas State69-64
04/01/20Arkansas State v Texas State67-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21AUALR67-65
13/02/21HUALR73-62
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87
30/01/21HUT Arlington64-65
30/01/21HUT Arlington83-75 OT
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette74-77
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette68-81
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe93-72
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HUT Arlington79-68
12/02/21AUT Arlington63-56
06/02/21HUALR77-67 OT
05/02/21HUALR57-47
30/01/21HLouisiana Lafayette73-74
29/01/21HLouisiana Lafayette60-62
23/01/21ALouisiana Monroe69-63
23/01/21ALouisiana Monroe57-47
16/01/21AUALR67-56
16/01/21AUALR63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%82%12%
Points / game75.484.163.4
Allowed / game70.768.573.9
Point differential+4.6+15.6-10.5
Avg total146.1152.5137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game67.269.465.5
Allowed / game62.360.963.4
Point differential+4.9+8.6+2.1
Avg total129.5130.3128.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %10%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1813572%78.569.6+8.9
2 Texas State2115671%67.262.3+4.9
3 Marshall1712571%82.573.1+9.4
4 Georgia State1611569%80.572.1+8.4
5 Coastal Carolina1913668%80.967.0+13.9
6 Louisiana Lafayette2215768%75.373.2+2.1
7 South Alabama2416867%73.969.5+4.4
8 Old Dominion1812667%69.369.2+0.2
9 Appalachian State2112957%70.862.4+8.4
10 Arkansas State1910953%75.470.7+4.6
11 Georgia Southern23121152%72.167.8+4.3
12 Troy24101442%64.267.5-3.3
13 Southern Miss2281436%64.966.6-1.7
14 Louisiana Monroe2281436%66.169.5-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State252752
Texas State213657
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