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Arkansas vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 88-75
0-0 38-32 0-0 50-43
Position#36
Record18-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#188
Record14-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas v Auburn
14 Feb 2026
ARKA88
AUBU75
06 Jan 2024
ARKA51
AUBU83
08 Feb 2022
ARKA80
AUBU76
20 Jan 2021
ARKA75
AUBU73
04 Feb 2020
ARKA76
AUBU79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-32
0-0
52-55
0-0
34-49
0-0
39-46
0-0
50-38
0-0
58-36
0-0
32-45
0-0
44-45
0-0
46-35
0-0
47-33
0-0
33-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
44-48
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-42
0-0
42-43
0-0
43-30
0-0
45-38
0-0
42-27
0-0
49-35
165.7Avg total
86.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.876.5165.3+12.275%
Season at home (17)91.875.7167.5+16.182%
Season away (7)81.678.6160.1+3.057%
Last 10 (10)86.878.9165.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)84.875.0159.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.581.2159.8-2.825%
vs Similar (13)84.078.3162.3+5.769%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.873.8166.7+19.092%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#82
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H10/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A15/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-37
0-0
41-53
0-0
49-34
0-0
46-39
0-0
34-38
0-0
40-46
0-0
30-24
0-0
41-43
0-0
28-27
0-0
50-39
0-0
43-28
0-0
33-39
0-0
34-42
0-0
54-40
0-0
31-41
0-0
38-36
0-0
41-37
0-0
51-59
0-0
31-42
0-0
45-42
159.3Avg total
80.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.378.7163.0+5.758%
Season at home (16)88.477.0165.4+11.469%
Season away (8)76.182.0158.1-5.938%
Last 10 (10)80.778.6159.3+2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.281.2161.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.685.0163.6-6.427%
vs Similar (12)83.872.5156.2+11.267%
vs Weaker (7)86.470.6157.0+15.9100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
ArkansasAuburn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A11/02
NCAA
78.4Avg total
40.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.035.779.7+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)39.137.876.9+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.378.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.275.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (13)41.240.481.5+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.832.176.8+12.785%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#82
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H11/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
36.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.073.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (22)39.033.872.8+5.373%-
Last 30 away (8)34.938.573.4-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.074.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.141.577.5-5.427%-
vs Similar (12)39.631.370.9+8.383%-
vs Weaker (7)38.031.369.3+6.771%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Arkansas wins
5
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Auburn v Arkansas95-73
20/02/25Auburn v Arkansas67-60
06/01/24Arkansas v Auburn51-83
10/03/23Auburn v Arkansas73-76
08/01/23Auburn v Arkansas72-59
09/02/22Arkansas v Auburn80-76 OT
21/01/21Arkansas v Auburn75-73
31/12/20Auburn v Arkansas85-97
05/02/20Arkansas v Auburn76-79 OT
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26ALSU91-62
07/02/26AMississippi St.88-68
31/01/26HKentucky77-85
28/01/26AOklahoma83-79
24/01/26HLSU85-81
21/01/26HVanderbilt93-68
17/01/26AGeorgia76-90
15/01/26HSouth Carolina108-74
10/01/26AAuburn73-95
08/01/26AOle Miss94-87
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HVanderbilt76-84
07/02/26HAlabama92-96
01/02/26ATennessee69-77
29/01/26HTexas88-82
24/01/26AFlorida76-67
21/01/26AOle Miss78-66
17/01/26HSouth Carolina71-67
15/01/26AMissouri74-84
10/01/26HArkansas95-73
07/01/26HTexas A&M88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %75%82%57%
Points / game88.891.881.6
Allowed / game76.575.778.6
Point differential+12.2+16.1+3.0
Avg total165.3167.5160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Auburn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %58%69%38%
Points / game84.388.476.1
Allowed / game78.777.082.0
Point differential+5.7+11.4-5.9
Avg total163.0165.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2521484%88.473.6+14.8
2 Florida2519676%86.571.4+15.0
3 Arkansas2418675%88.876.5+12.2
4 Tennessee2518772%81.069.3+11.8
5 Alabama2417771%91.983.0+8.9
6 Missouri2417771%80.573.9+6.7
7 Georgia2517868%90.378.4+12.0
8 Texas A&M2517868%89.878.6+11.2
9 Kentucky2517868%81.672.2+9.5
10 Texas2415962%85.274.6+10.6
11 Auburn24141058%84.378.7+5.7
12 LSU25141156%80.775.3+5.4
13 Oklahoma25131252%83.477.7+5.7
14 Mississippi St.25131252%78.077.7+0.3
15 South Carolina24111346%76.575.4+1.1
16 Ole Miss25111444%74.073.7+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arkansas03805088
Auburn03204375
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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