PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Auburn vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-76
33-37 40-39
Position#106
Record20-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#112
Record19-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Auburn v Arkansas
10 Jan 2026
AUBU95
ARKA73
19 Feb 2025
AUBU67
ARKA60
09 Mar 2023
AUBU73
ARKA76
07 Jan 2023
AUBU72
ARKA59
30 Dec 2020
AUBU85
ARKA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A02/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-24
52-49
19-23
24-23
36-37
42-46
37-37
32-40
45-18
44-38
27-31
38-36
40-33
38-41
29-40
25-46
40-33
35-42
30-34
49-36
145.6Avg total
73.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.766.8139.5+5.965%
Season at home (16)75.164.4139.6+10.788%
Season away (15)70.169.3139.4+0.940%
Last 10 (10)73.472.2145.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)72.277.4149.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.070.8139.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.968.0138.9+2.957%
vs Weaker (12)76.265.2141.5+11.083%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
37-31
47-34
43-23
54-42
37-28
46-58
25-34
32-41
36-40
43-48
147.1Avg total
75.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.867.2142.0+7.661%
Season at home (20)77.663.8141.4+13.880%
Season away (11)69.773.5143.2-3.727%
Last 10 (10)75.471.7147.1+3.750%
Last 5 (5)80.075.8155.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.781.7151.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.467.8142.2+6.559%
vs Weaker (10)77.062.8139.8+14.280%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
AuburnArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H04/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.5Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.563.6+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.229.663.8+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)32.131.463.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.065.5+3.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.267.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.531.863.2-0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.032.066.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (12)32.728.361.0+4.358%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/03
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.564.7+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.430.265.5+5.263%-
Last 30 away (11)32.031.263.2+0.864%-
Last 10 (10)35.531.567.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.266.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.731.763.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.931.664.5+1.253%-
vs Weaker (10)37.028.365.3+8.790%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Auburn wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Auburn v Arkansas72-59
09/02/22Arkansas v Auburn80-76 OT
21/01/21Arkansas v Auburn75-73
31/12/20Auburn v Arkansas85-97
05/02/20Arkansas v Auburn76-79 OT
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HTennessee79-70
02/03/23AAlabama85-90 OT
25/02/23AKentucky54-86
23/02/23HOle Miss78-74
19/02/23AVanderbilt65-67
15/02/23HMissouri89-56
11/02/23HAlabama69-77
08/02/23ATexas A&M78-83
04/02/23ATennessee43-46
02/02/23HGeorgia94-73
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HKentucky79-88
01/03/23ATennessee57-75
25/02/23AAlabama83-86
22/02/23HGeorgia97-65
18/02/23HFlorida84-65
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%88%40%
Points / game72.775.170.1
Allowed / game66.864.469.3
Point differential+5.9+10.7+0.9
Avg total139.5139.6139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)100% (3)14% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL61%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %61%80%27%
Points / game74.877.669.7
Allowed / game67.263.873.5
Point differential+7.6+13.8-3.7
Avg total142.0141.4143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3126584%82.869.5+13.3
2 Texas3123874%78.868.7+10.2
3 Texas A&M3123874%73.365.6+7.7
4 Missouri3123874%80.174.8+5.3
5 Tennessee3223972%71.857.4+14.4
6 Kentucky31211068%75.167.6+7.5
7 Auburn31201165%72.766.8+5.9
8 Mississippi St.32201262%65.861.2+4.6
9 Arkansas31191261%74.867.2+7.6
10 Vanderbilt31181358%72.071.7+0.3
11 Florida32161650%71.968.7+3.3
12 Georgia32161650%68.571.5-3.0
13 Oklahoma32151747%67.767.5+0.1
14 LSU32141844%67.670.5-2.9
15 Ole Miss33122136%67.569.1-1.6
16 South Carolina32112134%64.372.6-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn334073
Arkansas373976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.