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Missouri vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-76
34-35 45-41
Position#56
Record13-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game75.4
Missouri 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#112
Record12-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri v Arkansas
07 Mar 2026
MISS84
ARKA88
18 Jan 2025
MISS83
ARKA65
31 Jan 2024
MISS84
ARKA91
18 Jan 2023
MISS79
ARKA76
15 Feb 2022
MISS57
ARKA76
13 Feb 2021
MISS81
ARKA86
08 Feb 2020
MISS83
ARKA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
67-95
67
95
-28
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A12/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
32-39
50-40
46-49
33-50
34-45
35-36
33-30
51-27
42-44
42-30
47-45
34-27
34-47
34-34
51-48
25-43
39-39
28-28
36-45
157.3Avg total
78.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.475.4159.8+9.076%
Season at home (12)90.275.2165.5+15.092%
Season away (5)70.475.8146.2-5.440%
Last 10 (10)78.279.1157.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)74.077.2151.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.269.7132.8-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.379.5161.8+2.869%
vs Weaker (5)88.863.4152.2+25.4100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H22/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
59-23
21-26
44-32
43-40
45-38
37-25
39-32
44-24
41-27
19-24
38-36
27-34
47-34
25-36
34-36
33-33
36-51
42-34
42-63
143.9Avg total
75.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.266.1142.4+10.171%
Season at home (13)78.363.2141.5+15.285%
Season away (4)69.575.8145.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)75.668.3143.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)68.676.2144.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.474.8147.2-2.460%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.465.8138.2+6.775%
vs Weaker (9)77.665.1142.7+12.467%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +5.3+5.3
MissouriArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A12/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.069.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.234.773.8+4.553%-
Last 30 away (11)28.932.961.8-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.172.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.465.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.033.561.5-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.535.574.9+4.054%-
vs Weaker (5)42.631.674.2+11.080%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H22/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.1Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.263.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.029.362.2+3.765%-
Last 30 away (10)32.135.167.2-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.164.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.261.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.232.465.6+0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.130.961.0-0.944%-
vs Weaker (9)37.031.168.1+5.978%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri wins
6
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Arkansas v Missouri74-68
16/02/22Missouri v Arkansas57-76
13/01/22Arkansas v Missouri87-43
13/03/21Arkansas v Missouri70-64
13/02/21Missouri v Arkansas81-86 OT
02/01/21Arkansas v Missouri68-81
22/02/20Arkansas v Missouri78-68
08/02/20Missouri v Arkansas83-79 OT
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AFlorida64-73
12/01/23ATexas A&M64-82
07/01/23HVanderbilt85-82
05/01/23AArkansas68-74
29/12/22HKentucky89-75
23/12/22HIllinois93-71
17/12/22AUCF Knights68-66
10/12/22HKansas67-95
04/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State96-89
30/11/22AWichita State88-84 OT
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AVanderbilt84-97
12/01/23HAlabama69-84
08/01/23AAuburn59-72
05/01/23HMissouri74-68
29/12/22ALSU57-60
22/12/22HUNC Asheville85-51
17/12/22HBradley76-57
10/12/22HOklahoma88-78
07/12/22HNC Greensboro65-58
03/12/22HSan Jose State99-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL76%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %76%92%40%
Points / game84.490.270.4
Allowed / game75.475.275.8
Point differential+9.0+15.0-5.4
Avg total159.8165.5146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%20%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL71%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %71%85%25%
Points / game76.278.369.5
Allowed / game66.163.275.8
Point differential+10.1+15.2-6.2
Avg total142.4141.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%69%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama1816289%84.069.3+14.7
2 Tennessee1815383%74.154.3+19.8
3 Texas1815383%80.766.7+14.0
4 Auburn1815383%72.262.4+9.8
5 Missouri1713476%84.475.4+9.0
6 Texas A&M1813572%74.965.6+9.4
7 Georgia1813572%70.565.1+5.4
8 Arkansas1712571%76.266.1+10.1
9 Kentucky1812667%76.167.1+9.0
10 LSU1812667%68.667.1+1.5
11 Oklahoma1711665%69.263.5+5.8
12 Mississippi St.1811761%64.259.2+5.0
13 Florida1810856%72.965.7+7.3
14 Vanderbilt189950%72.570.0+2.5
15 Ole Miss189950%67.665.3+2.3
16 South Carolina1881044%63.772.2-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri344579
Arkansas354176
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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