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Kentucky vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-88
40-41 33-47
Position#86
Record16-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#112
Record16-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kentucky v Arkansas
01 Feb 2025
KENT79
ARKA89
02 Mar 2024
KENT111
ARKA102
07 Feb 2023
KENT73
ARKA88
09 Feb 2021
KENT80
ARKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
52-78
52
78
-26
A07/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
32-33
24-35
28-43
32-42
36-29
33-26
30-30
34-42
51-29
29-31
47-36
36-27
33-26
34-41
34-36
32-32
43-34
33-22
39-45
137.9Avg total
70.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.266.8142.0+8.370%
Season at home (16)77.963.8141.7+14.181%
Season away (7)69.073.7142.7-4.743%
Last 10 (10)70.267.7137.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)72.066.0138.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.868.8130.6-7.040%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.371.3143.7+1.056%
vs Weaker (16)80.365.8146.1+14.681%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
47-34
25-36
34-36
33-33
36-51
42-34
42-63
35-34
41-45
32-29
37-28
38-14
22-26
33-27
31-40
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
139.8Avg total
70.1Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.465.2139.6+9.270%
Season at home (16)76.861.8138.5+15.088%
Season away (7)69.073.1142.1-4.129%
Last 10 (10)70.169.7139.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)67.859.4127.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.875.2147.0-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.766.9139.6+5.862%
vs Weaker (10)74.962.1137.0+12.880%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -3.7-3.7
KentuckyArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A07/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H05/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.266.9+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.031.768.7+5.360%-
Last 30 away (10)30.233.263.4-3.030%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.666.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.663.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.432.861.2-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.132.763.8-1.633%-
vs Weaker (16)38.831.870.5+7.062%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
34.3Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.663.5+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.928.962.8+5.070%-
Last 30 away (10)31.034.165.1-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.264.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.226.262.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.931.162.1-0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)36.128.664.7+7.590%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
26/02/22Arkansas v Kentucky75-73
10/02/21Kentucky v Arkansas80-81
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HFlorida72-67
01/02/23AOle Miss75-66
29/01/23HKansas68-77
25/01/23AVanderbilt69-53
21/01/23HTexas A&M76-67
18/01/23HGeorgia85-71
14/01/23ATennessee63-56
11/01/23HSouth Carolina68-71
07/01/23AAlabama52-78
04/01/23HLSU74-71
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70
28/01/23ABaylor64-67
25/01/23HLSU60-40
21/01/23HOle Miss69-57
19/01/23AMissouri76-79
14/01/23AVanderbilt84-97
12/01/23HAlabama69-84
08/01/23AAuburn59-72
05/01/23HMissouri74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWLW81%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %70%81%43%
Points / game75.277.969.0
Allowed / game66.863.873.7
Point differential+8.3+14.1-4.7
Avg total142.0141.7142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%0%14%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %70%88%29%
Points / game74.476.869.0
Allowed / game65.261.873.1
Point differential+9.2+15.0-4.1
Avg total139.6138.5142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2320387%83.168.7+14.4
2 Tennessee2319483%72.354.6+17.7
3 Texas2419579%79.468.5+11.0
4 Missouri2317674%81.974.8+7.1
5 Texas A&M2417771%75.166.7+8.4
6 Auburn2417771%72.364.6+7.7
7 Arkansas2316770%74.465.2+9.2
8 Kentucky2316770%75.266.8+8.3
9 Mississippi St.2314961%64.759.6+5.1
10 Georgia24141058%69.969.1+0.8
11 Florida23131057%71.364.8+6.4
12 Oklahoma23121152%67.866.3+1.5
13 LSU23121152%67.169.0-1.8
14 Vanderbilt23111248%70.772.0-1.2
15 Ole Miss24101442%67.768.2-0.5
16 South Carolina2381535%63.772.7-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky403373
Arkansas414788
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