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Arkansas vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-85
41-48 51-37
Position#118
Record15-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game68.8
Arkansas 🏆
USA
vs
Missouri
USA
Position#89
Record20-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas v Missouri
02 Jan 2027
ARKA v MISS
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ARKA94
MISS86
22 Feb 2025
ARKA92
MISS85
24 Feb 2024
ARKA88
MISS73
04 Jan 2023
ARKA74
MISS68
12 Jan 2022
ARKA87
MISS43
12 Mar 2021
ARKA70
MISS64
02 Jan 2021
ARKA68
MISS81
22 Feb 2020
ARKA78
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H09/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
38-44
35-52
30-31
26-38
42-27
31-35
31-30
46-45
43-34
35-24
43-46
34-40
47-45
34-35
36-23
28-33
33-36
27-33
33-34
142.7Avg total
70.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.568.8144.3+6.658%
Season at home (14)78.063.5141.5+14.571%
Season away (12)72.575.1147.6-2.642%
Last 10 (10)70.871.9142.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)70.069.8139.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.976.8145.6-7.912%
vs Similar (12)74.672.4147.0+2.258%
vs Weaker (10)85.464.7150.1+20.790%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-34
33-48
52-35
31-30
25-32
28-29
38-31
45-44
45-31
43-30
34-28
47-57
29-38
35-29
44-24
38-34
38-41
49-33
59-46
51-52
154.0Avg total
81.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.770.1153.7+13.677%
Season at home (19)86.368.0154.3+18.389%
Season away (7)76.475.7152.1+0.743%
Last 10 (10)81.472.6154.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)84.876.4161.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.883.0157.8-8.220%
vs Similar (6)81.282.8164.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.565.4149.9+19.189%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
ArkansasMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H09/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A20/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
33.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.471.7+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.632.469.0+4.244%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.974.7-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.970.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.064.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.037.170.1-4.125%-
vs Similar (12)35.136.271.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (10)40.233.273.4+7.060%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H20/02
NCAA
75.4Avg total
41.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.073.5+7.570%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.032.774.7+9.476%-
Last 30 away (9)36.933.770.6+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.075.4+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.036.672.6-0.640%-
vs Similar (6)39.835.575.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.931.273.1+10.779%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Arkansas wins
3
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Missouri v Arkansas83-65
24/02/24Arkansas v Missouri88-73
01/02/24Missouri v Arkansas84-91
19/01/23Missouri v Arkansas79-76
05/01/23Arkansas v Missouri74-68
16/02/22Missouri v Arkansas57-76
13/01/22Arkansas v Missouri87-43
13/03/21Arkansas v Missouri70-64
13/02/21Missouri v Arkansas81-86 OT
02/01/21Arkansas v Missouri68-81
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AAuburn60-67
15/02/25ATexas A&M61-69
13/02/25HLSU70-58
09/02/25HAlabama81-85
06/02/25ATexas78-70
02/02/25AKentucky89-79
26/01/25HOklahoma62-65
23/01/25HGeorgia68-65
18/01/25AMissouri65-83
15/01/25ALSU74-78
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HAlabama110-98
15/02/25AGeorgia87-74
13/02/25HOklahoma82-58
08/02/25HTexas A&M64-67
06/02/25ATennessee81-85
01/02/25AMississippi St.88-61
25/01/25HOle Miss83-75
22/01/25ATexas53-61
18/01/25HArkansas83-65
15/01/25AFlorida83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeLWLLW71%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%71%42%
Points / game75.578.072.5
Allowed / game68.863.575.1
Point differential+6.6+14.5-2.6
Avg total144.3141.5147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%64%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26197
Win %77%89%43%
Points / game83.786.376.4
Allowed / game70.168.075.7
Point differential+13.6+18.3+0.7
Avg total153.7154.3152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%63%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2725293%84.368.1+16.2
2 Florida2724389%83.666.3+17.3
3 Tennessee2722581%74.760.8+13.9
4 Alabama2722581%90.880.4+10.4
5 Missouri2620677%83.770.1+13.6
6 Texas A&M2720774%73.666.0+7.6
7 Ole Miss2719870%77.669.2+8.4
8 Mississippi St.2719870%79.371.9+7.4
9 Kentucky2718967%85.776.4+9.2
10 Vanderbilt2718967%79.672.9+6.7
11 Oklahoma27171063%77.773.5+4.3
12 Texas26161062%78.769.3+9.4
13 Georgia27161159%74.868.7+6.1
14 Arkansas26151158%75.568.8+6.6
15 LSU27141352%76.272.5+3.7
16 South Carolina26101638%69.670.9-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas415192
Missouri483785
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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