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Missouri vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-65
52-35 31-30
Position#89
Record14-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#118
Record11-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri v Arkansas
07 Mar 2026
MISS84
ARKA88
18 Jan 2025
MISS83
ARKA65
31 Jan 2024
MISS84
ARKA91
18 Jan 2023
MISS79
ARKA76
15 Feb 2022
MISS57
ARKA76
13 Feb 2021
MISS81
ARKA86
08 Feb 2020
MISS83
ARKA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H08/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H31/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A04/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-51
63-42
39-25
37-42
45-24
43-37
41-40
42-32
32-37
45-43
42-24
40-41
33-45
35-39
42-27
41-40
41-32
34-34
50-34
33-48
155.0Avg total
81.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.969.3154.2+15.682%
Season at home (14)87.066.4153.4+20.693%
Season away (3)75.383.0158.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)81.373.7155.0+7.680%
Last 5 (5)78.272.8151.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.679.5149.2-9.99%
vs Similar (7)73.480.1153.6-6.714%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.865.2153.9+23.6100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
44-33
27-32
48-28
45-49
44-38
46-28
36-29
54-31
41-36
42-39
50-23
27-42
25-34
33-33
33-40
25-28
38-43
36-34
38-44
146.8Avg total
76.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.167.6145.7+10.565%
Season at home (10)81.161.6142.7+19.580%
Season away (7)73.976.1150.0-2.343%
Last 10 (10)76.470.4146.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)69.472.0141.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.880.4153.2-7.722%
vs Similar (11)78.977.1156.0+1.864%
vs Weaker (10)86.667.4154.0+19.280%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.9+4.9
MissouriArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H08/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H22/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/01
NCAA
73.9Avg total
40.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.370.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.532.671.1+5.865%-
Last 30 away (10)34.334.568.8-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.973.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.474.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.834.866.6-3.036%-
vs Similar (7)33.936.370.1-2.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.830.173.8+13.792%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.472.8+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.632.169.8+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.276.3-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.672.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.267.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.637.372.9-1.833%-
vs Similar (11)36.535.972.5+0.645%-
vs Weaker (10)39.933.273.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri wins
8
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Arkansas v Missouri88-73
01/02/24Missouri v Arkansas84-91
19/01/23Missouri v Arkansas79-76
05/01/23Arkansas v Missouri74-68
16/02/22Missouri v Arkansas57-76
13/01/22Arkansas v Missouri87-43
13/03/21Arkansas v Missouri70-64
13/02/21Missouri v Arkansas81-86 OT
02/01/21Arkansas v Missouri68-81
22/02/20Arkansas v Missouri78-68
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AFlorida83-82
11/01/25HVanderbilt75-66
08/01/25HLSU83-67
04/01/25AAuburn68-84
31/12/24HAlabama State82-65
22/12/24HIllinois77-80
18/12/24HJacksonville State83-72
14/12/24HLIU Sharks88-61
08/12/24HKansas76-67
04/12/24HCalifornia98-93
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ALSU74-78
11/01/25HFlorida63-71
09/01/25HOle Miss66-73
04/01/25ATennessee52-76
31/12/24HOakland92-62
21/12/24HN. Carolina A&T95-67
14/12/24ACentral Arkansas82-57
11/12/24AMichigan89-87
07/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners75-60
04/12/24AMiami (FL)76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %82%93%33%
Points / game84.987.075.3
Allowed / game69.366.483.0
Point differential+15.6+20.6-7.7
Avg total154.2153.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL65%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %65%80%43%
Points / game78.181.173.9
Allowed / game67.661.676.1
Point differential+10.5+19.5-2.3
Avg total145.7142.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%80%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1817194%85.766.1+19.6
2 Florida1816289%85.965.6+20.3
3 Tennessee1816289%76.858.8+18.1
4 Ole Miss1715288%78.764.6+14.1
5 Vanderbilt1815383%82.167.8+14.3
6 Alabama1815383%90.278.3+11.9
7 Missouri1714382%84.969.3+15.6
8 Mississippi St.1714382%82.869.5+13.4
9 Kentucky1814478%89.276.1+13.1
10 Georgia1814478%77.965.1+12.8
11 Oklahoma1814478%80.870.9+9.9
12 Texas A&M1713476%76.966.3+10.6
13 LSU1712571%81.069.7+11.3
14 Texas1812667%80.466.9+13.5
15 Arkansas1711665%78.167.6+10.5
16 South Carolina1810856%71.668.9+2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri523183
Arkansas353065
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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