PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Armenia vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 80-100
17-22 18-17 21-21 24-40
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Mika Sport Complex
Other2029
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Armenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArmeniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gibraltar
#6
W
100-63
100
63
+37
A29/06
Small Countries European Championship
San Marino
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship
Andorra
#3
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H02/07
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A03/07
Small Countries European Championship
Austria
#54
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A22/02
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H25/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
80-129
80
129
-49
H24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A20/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#5
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H30/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
23-15
31-15
24-18
26-19
16-11
14-17
22-19
24-19
28-15
26-14
15-18
15-19
24-11
23-18
22-20
29-23
19-31
20-25
23-27
24-23
24-19
14-17
22-20
22-39
6-29
25-36
27-25
22-17
25-16
22-22
22-15
21-25
20-26
26-27
21-20
18-17
13-18
20-14
11-25
167.0Avg total
85.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
Season away (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)85.181.9167.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)81.090.0171.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.093.4172.4-14.420%
vs Similar (8)76.682.5159.1-5.938%
vs Weaker (12)83.664.6148.2+19.092%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
11-24
25-21
10-20
21-22
27-19
19-25
19-24
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
29-25
12-26
14-16
15-30
25-21
26-20
27-26
20-21
16-29
17-17
14-16
20-14
163.6Avg total
78.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.582.0164.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)67.076.0143.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)78.285.4163.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)78.484.0162.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.387.2166.6-7.925%
vs Similar (8)76.979.6156.5-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.874.3156.1+7.570%
This opponent (Armenia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
ArmeniaBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArmeniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gibraltar
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A29/06
Small Countries European Championship
San Marino
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship
Andorra
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H02/07
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A03/07
Small Countries European Championship
Austria
#54
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A22/02
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H25/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
28-68
28
68
-40
H24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A20/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/11
EuroBasket
82.8Avg total
42.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)41.438.079.4+3.472%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.736.177.8+5.677%-
Last 30 away (12)41.040.181.1+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.782.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.884.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.648.485.0-11.820%-
vs Similar (8)42.142.584.6-0.462%-
vs Weaker (12)42.830.773.5+12.2100%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/02
EuroBasket
82.0Avg total
36.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.679.6-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.677.9+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.681.3-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.745.382.0-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.244.580.7-8.342%-
vs Similar (8)39.838.678.4+1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.837.579.3+4.360%-
This opponent (Armenia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Armeniatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Armenia wins
1
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Bulgaria v Armenia98-88
Armenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HNorway62-74
27/11/25ABulgaria88-98
20/02/25AAlbania91-70
24/11/24HAustria80-129
25/02/24HAlbania84-79
22/02/24AAustria91-106
03/07/22AMalta84-68
02/07/22HAndorra93-66
30/06/22HSan Marino78-66
29/06/22AGibraltar100-63
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ANorway67-76
27/11/25HArmenia98-88
20/08/25ANetherlands70-97
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT
25/11/24HMontenegro86-90
22/11/24AMontenegro62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Armenia
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.062.088.0
Allowed / game86.074.098.0
Point differential-11.0-12.0-10.0
Avg total161.0136.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.598.067.0
Allowed / game82.088.076.0
Point differential+0.5+10.0-9.0
Avg total164.5186.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Macedonia440100%83.066.2+16.8
2 Norway220100%75.064.5+10.5
3 Slovakia220100%81.070.5+10.5
4 Luxembourg32167%84.782.0+2.7
5 Kosovo21150%88.586.5+2.0
6 Bulgaria21150%82.582.0+0.5
7 Azerbaijan41325%71.283.8-12.5
8 Ireland3030%76.084.3-8.3
9 Armenia2020%75.086.0-11.0
10 Albania2020%73.586.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Armenia1718212480
Bulgaria22172140100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.