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Norway vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-67
29-16 17-17 16-14 14-20
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game62.0
Norway 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Honefoss Arena
Other2029
Meetings · Norway v Bulgaria
27 Feb 2026
NORW76
BULG67
19 Jul 2023
NORW86
BULG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norway winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H05/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
H06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A16/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A30/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-23
22-18
21-16
24-9
19-23
8-20
21-6
20-26
18-17
12-12
12-20
15-21
15-17
22-8
16-13
22-23
20-18
15-22
14-22
15-25
21-20
17-20
18-24
21-20
18-31
12-27
17-23
12-15
15-22
22-18
21-24
14-28
8-34
13-22
18-18
17-18
18-13
14-20
25-11
147.7Avg total
69.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.378.4147.7-9.140%
Last 5 (5)67.286.6153.8-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.077.0142.0-12.027%
vs Similar (8)76.979.0155.9-2.150%
vs Weaker (5)86.864.2151.0+22.6100%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
21-8
11-18
28-17
16-20
11-24
25-21
10-20
21-22
27-19
19-25
19-24
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
29-25
12-26
14-16
15-30
25-21
26-20
27-26
20-21
162.2Avg total
78.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.284.0162.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)80.286.4166.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.387.2166.6-7.925%
vs Similar (9)77.178.6155.7-1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.474.1157.6+9.378%
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
NorwayBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H05/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
22-62
22
62
-40
A16/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/11
EuroBasket
77.3Avg total
35.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.539.474.9-3.939%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.638.375.9-0.743%-
Last 30 away (14)33.540.574.0-7.036%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.077.3-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.845.277.0-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.641.975.5-8.327%-
vs Similar (8)34.939.974.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (5)42.431.073.4+11.480%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
79.6Avg total
36.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.179.4-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.177.7+3.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.043.481.4-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.479.6-7.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.282.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.244.580.7-8.342%-
vs Similar (9)40.237.777.9+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.836.679.3+6.267%-
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norwaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norway: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.8
47.6%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
-12.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norway
WLLLLLWLWW
Bulgaria
WLWLLLWLLW
#7
League position
#5
-8.8
Net rating
-0.1
96.2
Offensive rating
107.9
105.0
Defensive rating
108.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.5%
3-point %
34.0%
67.1%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Norway   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Norway wins
1
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
29/07/23Bulgaria v Norway91-69
19/07/23Norway v Bulgaria86-80
Norwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AArmenia74-62
16/08/25ACroatia53-102
13/08/25HDenmark70-79
06/08/25HCroatia68-101
02/08/25ADenmark71-89
23/02/25ARomania71-85
20/02/25HLuxembourg68-59
21/11/24HRomania62-75
25/02/24ALuxembourg72-58
05/08/23HAustria84-74
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HArmenia98-88
20/08/25ANetherlands70-97
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT
25/11/24HMontenegro86-90
22/11/24AMontenegro62-85
25/02/24HGermany67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norway
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total136.0-136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Macedonia330100%84.765.0+19.7
2 Norway110100%74.062.0+12.0
3 Slovakia220100%81.070.5+10.5
4 Bulgaria110100%98.088.0+10.0
5 Luxembourg32167%84.782.0+2.7
6 Kosovo21150%88.586.5+2.0
7 Armenia2020%75.086.0-11.0
8 Ireland2020%76.588.5-12.0
9 Albania2020%73.586.0-12.5
10 Azerbaijan2020%69.591.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norway2917161476
Bulgaria1617142067
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